Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - March 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/4)-(3/5/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/4)-(3/5/2/7)-(2/6/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/7)-(2/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/7)-(2/6/4/5)-(2/1/7/9/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/5)-(2/1/7/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/5)-(2/1/7/9/10)-(7/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/1/7/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/9/10)-(2/1/7/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/9/10)-(2/1/7/9/10)-(2/1/7/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/7/9/10)-(7/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/9/10)-(7/2/4)-(11/2/8/4/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-5   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(11/2/8/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(11/2/8/4/10)-(8/7/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (11/2/8/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/8/4/10)-(11/2/8/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/8/4/10)-(11/2/8/4/10)-(11/2/8/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/2/8/4/10)-(8/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/2/8/4/10)-(8/7/2/3)-(4/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-7   WIN (8/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/3)-(8/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/3)-(8/7/2/3)-(8/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/2/3)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2/3)-(4/3/1)-(1/7/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(1/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (1/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOX N BEN Feb04 Dec31 Dec09 Oct07 Aug19 (mckenzie dani)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50    
GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 Dec29 Nov09 (bourne will)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00    
FERRARI KID Dec06 Oct31 Sep27 Jul30 May05 (lake a)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 15.00    
SUPER BOURBON Dec30 Nov26 Oct20     (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
VON HOFF Feb18 Jan27 Dec29 Nov25   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 1.40 27% 2.70    
LOST WEEKEND Dec01 Nov09 Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 (capuano ph)SANCHEZ J 126 5.00 18% 4.60    
THE BIG ENCHILADA Dec31 Dec03 Oct28 Oct01 Aug19 (magee kieron)BOYCE FOREST 126 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
LRL-2   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEATHERS (IRE) Dec08 Nov10 Oct29 Oct06 Sep14 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ L 113 12.00    
WILL OR WON'T Jan25 Dec08 Nov22 Oct29 Oct14 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
IRISH LACE Feb23 Feb02 Jan05 Dec22 Dec10 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
REDWHITEANDTACOS Feb11 Jan05 Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 (horn elizab)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 20.00    
THUNDER BUGGY Feb23 Jan05 Dec10 Nov05 Oct13 (maldonado jona)TORREALBA JG 118 1.60 28% 2.60    
SWEET TALIA Feb09 Jan05 Dec07 Nov12 Oct27 (mcfarlane br)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 10.00    
MATOULA Feb23 Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 Nov12 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
CONGRESS HALL Feb09 Dec30 Dec07 Nov12 Oct26 (mcfarlane b)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00    
 
LRL-3   03/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 45 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCAT DANZ Jul30 Jun01 Mar19 Feb25   (ginter j)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
WHERE'S RAY Feb16 Jan12 Apr30     (salzman timot)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00 24% 3.20    
I WANNA ROCK Feb16 Jan12 Dec29 Dec09 Nov19 (aguirre)BRICENO GREGOR 122 12.00    
NICO LUCKY Feb16 Jan05 Feb25 Feb10   (ginter raymond)TORREALBA JG 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
BRIDGE TO SUCCESS Feb16 Dec09 Nov10 Oct26 Jun17 (geralis emanu)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
ARMY CADET Feb10 Jan05 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
PERSPICACIOUS BOY Sep14 Jul01 May13     (alvarado dia)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.00    
 
LRL-4   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH RICO Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 Dec17 Dec01 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 2.50 9% 9.50    
NICK'S LITTLE BOY Feb23 Jan31 Dec17 Dec01 Nov01 (capuano phi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  SILENT SERVICE Dec17 Dec08 Nov26 Nov11 Sep25 (serey jr)TORREALBA JG 118 10.00    
SCR  PRESSING CONCERN Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 Dec15 Nov19 (mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
GRAND MANNER Feb03 Jan14 Jan05 Dec15 Dec08 (maldonado joel)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
CLASS ACTOR Feb09 Feb03 Dec29 Dec01 Nov12 (rodriguez jose)AGUILAR JEAN 116 3.50    
MR. MOX Dec09 Nov12 Jun24 May06 Mar23 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 8.00 8% 11.40    
PATRIOTIC PARTY Feb16 Feb03 Dec29 Dec02 Nov10 (dilodovico da)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 15.00    
ONE MORE FACTOR Feb08 Jan24 Dec08 Nov22 Sep22 (maldona)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 10.00 7% 13.90    
10  WORKIN ON A DREAM Feb10 Jan27 Dec31 Dec15 Jun09 (graham robin )ALVELO C 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-5   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADS OR TAILS Feb02 Dec29 Dec08 Nov25 Nov03 (parram derric)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 4.00    
MASAI MAN Mar01 Feb02 Jan26 Jan10 Nov15 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 118 10.00 26% 2.80    
BIG ROWDY DAN Feb16 Jan28 Jan13 Dec02 Nov24 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 3.50    
COMMANDING GENERAL Feb09 Jan14 Dec16 Oct27 Oct14 (tessore bruno)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
ADDY'S LADDY T N T Feb16 Jan14 Aug10 Jun15 Jun02 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 5.00    
SCR  AEQUOR Oct06 Sep15 Jul30 Jul08 Jun03 (tessore)BRICENO GREGOR 123 4.50    
HOTPOT Feb16 Jan31 Dec26 Dec11 Nov08 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
LRL-6   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUARE SLICE Feb16 Jan13 Dec17 Nov16 Oct05 (bracciale vinc)BOYCE FOREST 121 6.00    
STOP BEING GREEDY Feb17         (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 6.00 17% 4.70    
ASCENDANCE Feb24 Feb09 Feb02 Dec30 Nov27 (serey jr)MENA E 117 20.00    
ONE WAY FARRIOR Feb16 Jan28 Dec15 Nov22 Nov09 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 8.00 11% 8.00    
BUCKIN' DREAMER Feb25 Feb16 Jan28 Dec31 Nov16 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 121 15.00    
MISTER AGENT Feb09 Jan28 Jan07 Dec02 Nov16 (singh s)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 6.00    
FORCE OF JUSTICE Feb04 Jan14 Dec22 Dec08 Oct08 (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 121 4.50    
BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH Jan14 Dec30 Dec03 Nov03 Oct15 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
IRISH BANDIT Aug05 Jul16 Jun15     (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
10  DUBAI FIRE Jan25 Dec01 Oct28 Sep29 Sep08 (beecher mark)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  RAKIA Feb16         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 6.00 30% 2.40    
 
LRL-7   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ VINNO Feb04 Jan06 Dec16 Oct26 Jul22 (cox m)TORREALBA JG 119 6.00    
NO WALK INTHE PARK Feb03 Jan07 Dec15 Nov17 Oct22 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00 10% 9.10    
EASTER SUNDAY GIRL Dec29 Jun03       (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  MAXIMUM EMILY Feb11         (contessa ga)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00    
YUMYUM EAT EM UP Jan27 Jan07 Dec15     (smith hamilto)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 6.00    
FLAG SONG FLYIN Feb10 Dec29 Oct01     (gonzalez claud)AGUILAR JEAN 117 15.00    
HATEFUL Feb23 Feb03 Nov16 Nov02 Oct13 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
BY THE GLASS Dec28 Nov24 Oct14     (dutrow e)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
LRL-8   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL ART Feb02 Jan06 Dec03 Nov02 Oct06 (shuman mark)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
DEVIL PAYS IN GOLD Feb25 Dec31 Dec02 Oct29 Oct05 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 3.50    
ANGELOFCANTERBURY Feb06 Dec31 Dec03 Apr07 Mar13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
ROYAL SEAMSTRESS Feb02 Dec01 Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 1.20 31% 2.20    
SCR  LASSIE'S NOTION Feb10 Jan06 Dec16 Jun16 Jun02 (martin f)ACOSTA D 126 20.00    
CHICKAHOMINY Feb02 Jan06 Dec03 Nov02 Sep06 (bailes w )CARRASCO R 126 3.00    
 
LRL-9   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMING CHROME Feb11 Jan07 Dec10 Nov18 Nov02 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 51% 1.00    
BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Feb04 Dec22 Nov02 Oct13 Aug05 (bourne william)ROSADO JOHAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
BROOKLYN GUY Feb11 Jan06 Dec08 Nov18 Oct25 (alvarado diane)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00    
EDGE OF GLORY Feb10 Jan05 Jan23 Jan11 Dec21 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 126 4.50    
CENTURION Feb05 Dec13 Sep24 Aug04 Jul08 (lake a)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 6.00 8% 11.20    
FIND FAITH Feb18 Jan14 Nov16 Oct14 Sep15 (graham l)BOYCE FOREST 126 5.00    
MASTER OF NONE Feb11 Jan05 Dec09 Nov18 Oct12 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 126 5.00 9% 10.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.