Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - December 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (1/8/7/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/3/6)-(1/8/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/3/6)-(1/8/7/3/6)-(1/8/7/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/7/3/6)-(3/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/3/6)-(3/2/7)-(8/1/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(8/1/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(8/1/3/9)-(1/6/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (8/1/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/9)-(8/1/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/9)-(8/1/3/9)-(8/1/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/9)-(1/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/9)-(1/6/4/3)-(7/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/3)-(7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/3)-(7/2)-(2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-5   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/2)-(2/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(2/4/8)-(1/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-6   WIN (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/8)-(2/4/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8)-(2/4/6/1/8)-(2/4/6/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/8)-(1/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8)-(1/8/5)-(5/1/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-7   WIN (1/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/5)-(1/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/5)-(1/8/5)-(1/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/5)-(5/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5)-(5/1/8)-(4/7/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/8)-(5/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/8)-(5/1/8)-(5/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/8)-(4/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   12/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK STARTNESS Aug30 Jul15       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 2.50    
1A  SILVERBULLETTWENTY Oct28 Oct13 Jun28     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  TIZAWINNER Oct28         (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 10.00    
3  SUMMERSTATEOFMIND Nov03 Oct14 Sep15 Aug06   (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 122 3.50 9% 10.40    
4  AVES MAKIN' WAVES Oct21 Sep10 Aug26 Aug04 Jul15 (martin ramon )CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 20.00    
5  DOUBLE NICKEL Nov03         (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
6  RESTLESS         (iannotti thom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH Nov03 Oct15 Sep02     (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
8  FORMAL AFFAIR Nov09 Oct15       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 2.00 18% 4.70    
9  SIN PERMISO Nov16         (salazar marco)MENA E 118 50.00    
 
LRL-2   12/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRATEGY QUEEN Nov08 Aug31 Jul19 Mar03 Jan01 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 114 30.00    
2  SHINY SLAM Oct27 Oct07 Sep04 Jul29 Jul08 (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  LOVELY LIZA Nov17 Oct29 Oct05 Sep04 Jun25 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  THENCOMEMORNING Nov23 Oct22 May05 Apr13 Mar19 (howard david )ROJAS MARTINA 113 4.50    
5  GINGER GIRL Nov09 Oct22 Oct05 Sep09 Aug20 (magee kieron)ALVELO C 118 1.80    
6  THE HAUNTED ROOM Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 Aug12 Jul05 (pradenas)RODRIGUEZ L 113 12.00    
7  TIMELY SECRET Oct01 Jul22 Jun04 May20 Apr14 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 12.00 12% 7.20    
 
LRL-3   12/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT OPPORTUNITY         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.00 20% 4.10    
  (by CONNECT out of SUSTAINED by AFFIRMED)
2  EL DIVINO NINO Nov24 Nov03 Oct22 Oct05   (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 10.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of CAROLINA TAPPER by TAPIT)
3  NEIL TO THE KING Nov11 Oct21       (capuano phi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of STRAIGHT BLUES by STRAIGHT MAN)
4  ALWAYS FUN Nov18         (perri gin)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of SKY AY AY AY by SKY MESA)
5  GOODBYE NOTE Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Sep15   (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 5.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of MADAM ALEX by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  ALBERT FINNIGAN Oct29 Oct15       (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of RENAISSANCE ROSIE by JUMP START)
7  SAISIR LE JOUR Sep02 Aug05 Jul15     (sanchez-piner)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 30.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of HIGH STYLE by KING PELLINORE)
8  GRUMPY GRIN         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.80 28% 2.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HOT BLOODED GIRL by TAPIT)
9  HOYA Oct11 Sep08 Aug16     (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 8.00 7% 13.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ADORABLE YOU by GRAND SLAM)
 
LRL-4   12/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACE NINE NINE Nov19 Nov02 Oct06 Sep02 Aug03 (howard david)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  WHAT SAY YOU Nov17 Nov02 Oct12 Sep04 Jul12 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50    
3  CLAW Nov17 Nov03 Oct21 Sep29 Sep02 (bailon h)MENA E 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  WALK AWAY JOE Nov10 Jul14 Jun09 May27 Apr29 (capuano phi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 18% 4.70    
5  GALATIANS Nov19 Oct20 Sep08 Aug12 Jul21 (eubanks annet)KARAMANOS A 123 3.50    
6  BRASSTOWN Nov19 Oct21 Oct12 Sep24 Aug30 (serey j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 10.00 23% 3.30    
7  BAHAMA CHANNEL Nov19 Nov02 Oct21 Sep24 Sep04 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
8  UP AGAINST IT Nov19 Nov10 Nov02 Oct20 Aug26 (mohan r)ROSADO JOHAN 126 4.00    
 
LRL-5   12/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPINGJAGGERFLASH Jun11 May07       (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 115 5.00    
2  LITTLE LANCE Oct19 Sep17 Sep01     (ness jamie)MENA E 115 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  ALL THE WAY Nov03 Sep29 Sep08     (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
SCR  MISTER AGENT Dec02 Nov16 Oct21 Oct12   (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 8.00    
5  LE VIN Nov14 Oct08 Sep23 Aug22   (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 117 12.00    
SCR  ONE WAY TRAFFIC Nov24 Nov03       (salzman joh)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.00    
7  PACO THE TACO MAN Nov06 Sep22 Aug30     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
8  BIGDADDYSBOY Oct14 Sep01       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 12.00    
 
LRL-6   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUN STREAMING Sep09 Aug26 Aug02     (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00 ★    
2  DETERMINED BLUE Nov02 Oct01 Aug24 Aug11   (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 2.00 66% 0.50    
3  HONEY B B Oct08 Sep01 Aug11     (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 12.00    
4  COLLECTED SUCCESS Nov08 Oct08 Sep06     (ginter j)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 6% 15.00    
5  SKIP THRU DA FIRE Nov17 Oct21 Sep22     (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00    
6  SWEET SUMMER LOVE Oct28 Oct18 Sep21 Sep07   (nambo cesa)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 8.00 ★    
7  MARTHA'S HEART Nov17 Oct22       (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 122 30.00    
8  R B'S BIG MOMENT Nov09 Oct22 Oct05 Sep03   (geralis eman)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SIPPIN' TIME Nov09 Oct22 Oct05 Aug11 Jul22 (smith hamilto)ROJAS MARTINA 113 20.00    
10  CUNDI Nov10 Oct22 Sep29 Sep03 Aug25 (corrales jose)MENA E 118 20.00    
11  EL DORADO QUEEN Oct05 Sep03       (gonzalez clau)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 30.00    
 
LRL-7   12/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  JARDANI Oct26 Sep10 Aug29 Jul19 Jul03 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 33% 2.00    
SCR  SHADY MUNNI Nov24 Oct14 Sep30 Sep03 Aug19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80    
SCR  ORDER OFTHE KETTLE Nov09 Sep29 Sep08 Oct14 Sep24 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 10.00    
3  YOUR ANALYSIS Oct30 Oct05 Aug19 Jul08 Jun02 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 126 6.00    
4  DOLICE VITA Oct14 Sep30 May27 May12 Apr13 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 5.00    
5  GREAT HEAVENS Nov09 Aug04 Jul02 Jun10 May04 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00 16% 5.10    
6  RHUMJAR Nov09 Oct14 Sep28 Sep03 Aug05 (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 20.00    
SCR  TWIST 'N TWIRL Oct12 Sep09 Jul08 May19 Jul08 (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 8.00    
8  FRIGHTLAND Nov09 Sep02 Aug11 Jul01 Jun11 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50 26% 2.80    
9  LAMARVELOUS Oct26 Aug24 Aug03 Apr30 Feb20 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 122 30.00    
 
LRL-8   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKAHOMINY Nov02 Sep06 Aug03 Jul15   (bailes r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  ANGEL ART Nov02 Oct06 Sep09 Aug03 Jul02 (shuman mark)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 8.00    
3  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Nov20 Oct23 Sep09 Aug02 Jul19 (ness jamie)ROJAS MARTINA 121 10.00    
SCR  UNCONSCIOUS MIND Nov04 Oct13 Sep22     (davis e)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00    
5  DEEDS OF LOVE Nov11 Sep30 Sep09 Aug04 Jan13 (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  GENIEINABRIDLE Nov10 Oct11 Aug25 Aug05 Jul15 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 125 2.00    
7  CYNERGY'S ELECTRA Nov11 Oct15 Sep15 Jul22 Jul02 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
8  ANGELOFCANTERBURY Apr07 Mar13 Jan28 Jan07 Dec18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   12/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE AND KNIVES Oct08 Aug02       (merryman ed)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 125 15.00    
2  CHEATIN SONG Nov02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 (allen ferris)MENA E 126 10.00    
3  THE BIG ENCHILADA Oct28 Oct01 Aug19 Aug06   (magee kieron)BOYCE FOREST 121 30.00    
4  INFINITE SERIES Nov19 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 (mcmulle)BRICENO GREGOR 125 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  THE LAST JUMPSTART Nov26 Nov10 Oct27 Oct13 Sep14 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 121 5.00 7% 13.30    
6  ARMY RANGER Oct27 Sep22       (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 121 2.50    
7  MO MONEY MO BETTA Jul08 Jun09 May25 Mar04 Oct30 (rivera jus)MENDOZA JHONATAN 126 2.00 11% 8.00    
8  BOX OF ROCKETS         (plummer bobby)ROJAS MARTINA 121 20.00 6% 15.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.