Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Pennsylvania Hunt Cup
Sunday - November 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
UNI-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
UNI-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
UNI-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
UNI-4   WIN (3/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
UNI-5   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
UNI-1   11/05/2023 15840ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 5UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PADDY'S CROWN May13         (hannum emily)DAVIES TEDDY 160   39% 1.60    
  (by PADDY O'PRADO out of CROWN OF SHEBA by ALYSHEBA)
2  MEKONG Apr30         (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 165      
  (by JUMP START out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  QUEENS EMPIRE (IRE) Nov05 Oct08 May14     (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 165   6% 14.70    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CROWN QUEEN by SMART STRIKE)
4  YA BOY YA (IRE)         (gomens juli)GALLIGAN GERARD 165      
  (by UNKNOWN out of MOUNTAINVIEWQUEEN by NORWICH)
5  THE BUTLER YATES (IRE) Oct14 May13 May07 Apr22   (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165   35% 1.90    
  (by YEATS out of KERRY'S GIRL by FLEMENSFIRTH)
6  HERO'S RETURN May07 Apr22 Oct29 Oct08   (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 160      
  (by TO HONOR AND SERVE out of CITY EMPRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  HARD STRIKE Aug24 Aug17 Jul27     (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 160      
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAY BE NOW by SMART STRIKE)
 
UNI-2   11/05/2023 15840ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAFAJAY (GB)         (valentine richa)MILLER ZACH 165      
2  MR. FINE THREADS Oct14 Apr15 Nov06     (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 160   26% 2.90    
3  RHYTHMIA May07 Apr22 Mar26     (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 160   35% 1.80    
4  BROOKLYN SPEIGHTS May13 Apr15 Mar26     (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 160      
 
UNI-3   11/05/2023 21120ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pennsylvania Hunt Cup Timber Purse ($35K) 5UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME ADRIAN Oct14 May13 Apr15 Mar27   (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 165      
  (by GREAT NOTION out of RIVER KWAI by VALLEY CROSSING)
2  ROYAL RUSE Oct14 Apr29 Apr22 Apr15 Nov06 (neilson san)HENDRIKS PARKER 165   48% 1.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  MONBEG STREAM (IRE) Oct14 May13 Apr22 May14   (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165      
  (by LIBERTARIAN out of NO ORDINARY LOVE by EXPELLED)
4  SHOOTIST Apr29 Apr22       (mckenna todd)GARNER THOMAS 165   31% 2.20    
  (by SMART STRIKE out of HEATHERDOESNTBLUFF by OLD TRIESTE)
5  RENEGADE RIVER Oct14 May13 Apr22 Mar27   (dowling will)WATTERS GRAHAM 165      
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of RIVER DYNA by DYNAFORMER)
 
UNI-4   11/05/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($.001K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE RED FOX Oct18 Oct06 Sep20 Sep01 Jun09 (beecher mark)BOUCHER MELL 145      
2  ELEAZAR Dec04 Nov14 Oct29 Oct08 Sep30 (young f)YOUNG TOM 150   5% 19.00    
3  BRAVE DEACON May07 Oct29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul13 (davies g)DAVIES SCARLET 150   32% 2.10    
4  LADY RAVEN Oct12 Sep06       (voss elizabeth)OWINGS BRETT 142   ★    
5  GET KHOZY Aug12 Jun02 Apr06 Mar09 Feb17 (hendriks r)SCULLY ELIZABETH 145      
6  PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) Oct11 Sep21 Aug09 Aug02 Jul15 (hendriks rich)TIERNEY CONOR 155   28% 2.50    
7  LYING JEFF Oct25 Aug19 Jul13 Jun21 Jun02 (garner th)SCHWEIZER WHITNEY 150      
8  BIALYSTOCK Sep20 Aug02 Jun12 May23 Apr28 (young lesl)GHRIST GWENDOLYN 140      
9  SCOTTY Jul18 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 May17 (brion keri)DAVIES TEDDY 155   19% 4.30    
10  BAND TOUR Oct27 Sep09 Sep01 Jul28 Jun30 (mccue el)EISENBERG GRETCHEN 140      
 
UNI-5   11/05/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($.001K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABIN FEVER         (voss elizabet)PINKARD CASEY 142      
2  INBOUND Oct24 Oct13 Sep19 Sep09 Nov11 (hendriks r)SCULLY ELIZABETH 150      
3  WITHOUTDESTINATION (GB)         (wyatt j)NO RIDER 155      
4  AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM Sep09 Aug18 Feb17 Jan20 Sep10 (bourke liam)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 155   58% 0.70    
5  WEEKEND CHARGE Oct12         (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 145      
6  THE POWER OF PEACE         (brion keri)DAVIES TEDDY 155      
7  UNION GEN. GEORGE Mar11 Feb04 Jan06 Dec17   (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 155   20% 4.10    
8  EXUMA (IRE) Aug04 Jul08 Jun04 Apr16 Mar26 (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 155   5% 19.00    
9  HUMAAM         (young lesl)KORRELL VIRGINIA 155   ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.