Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fresno
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FNO-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(3/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(3/6/4)-(2/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(2/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(2/6/5)-(3/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FNO-3   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(3/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(3/5/4)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-4   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(3/5)-(1/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-5   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(1/2/3)-(6/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-6   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(6/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(6/4/3)-(1/6/10/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-7   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(1/6/10/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FNO-8   WIN (1/6/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/10/9)-(1/6/10/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/10/9)-(1/6/10/3/9)-(1/6/10/3/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FNO-1   10/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT GIRL         (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 8.00 20% 3.90    
SAHARA SUE Sep29 Aug24       (morgan d)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.00    
JUST SERENE Sep25         (steiner jac)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 1.80 44% 1.30    
DAISY DANCER Jul09         (delima cli)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 2.00    
AUTISM SHINE Oct06 Sep18 Aug13 Jun10 Jun02 (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 122 5.00    
 
FNO-2   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY DAD IS THIRSTY Oct07 Sep16 Aug04 Jul09 Jul02 (perez ser)MARTINEZ CATALINO 122 1.60    
MISSING MAURICE Sep24 Sep02 Aug05 Jul15 Dec11 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00    
SGT POWELL Oct02 Aug27 Jul09 Jun18 May14 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
CALARI BLUECAT Oct02 Aug28 Aug13 Jul03 Jun10 (mathis andy)ROMAN A 125 12.00 5% 18.30    
WINTER SOLDIER Oct09 Sep10 Aug27 Jul08 May28 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
PORT O' CALL Sep11 Aug04 Jul23 Jun11 May05 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 125 5.00 21% 3.90    
 
FNO-3   10/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH RANDY B         (stortz marcia)ROMAN A 120 10.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of WESTERN ENGAGEMENT by GONE WEST)
LAST BABY Sep18         (s)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by COACH BOB out of CINDERELLA LIBERTY by LIBERTY GOLD)
REGAL REDWOOD Sep24 Sep03 Jul23 Jun25   (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LUSCIOUS LONNA by BENCHMARK)
EMBERS OF GOLD         (gonzalez)AMADOR RUIZ 120 12.00    
  (by PASSION FOR GOLD out of DAYLATEDOLLARSHORT by LEMON DROP KID)
ELEGANT BOY Oct08 Sep18 Aug27 Aug06   (perez ser)MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of TRAPPERS MAGIC by TRAPPER)
EFFORT         (jauregui j)PENA BRYAN 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
GOOD LOVIN         (thomas ruby)ALVARADO T 120 4.00    
  (by STANFORD out of WIFE APPROVED by STREET SENSE)
 
FNO-4   10/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALOPIN GOURMET Oct07 Sep24 Jul29 Sep24 Jul17 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
SCR  MR. MASON Apr23 Apr01 Mar12 Feb20 Feb03 (rivera leobardo)MONTALVO C 121 6.00    
HAY JUAN Oct09 Sep24 Aug27 Aug19 Jul29 (ramos jesus)RIVERA SANTOS 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
LESSONS OF AUTISM Oct09 Sep25 Jul21 Jul04 Jun11 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 4.50 10% 9.00    
MIDNIGHT SPECIAL Sep24 Sep15 Jul03 May12 Apr21 (rivera sally)OROZCO IRVING 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
BOSS OF THEMOSS Oct09 Sep16 Aug27 Jul23 Jul02 (gabriel lu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 5.00    
MOB BOSS Oct08 Sep16 Sep02 Jul07 Jun17 (preciado)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 5.00    
 
FNO-5   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONUNDRUM Sep25 Sep10 Sep02 Jul28 Jun03 (lenzini mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.00    
SUPERMAZEL Oct07 Sep24 Sep04 Jul21 Jun11 (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 125 5.00    
VANTAGE POINT Sep23 Nov25 Nov04 Oct01 Sep04 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 4.00 44% 1.30    
GALOPING CAT Sep24 Sep15 Sep17     (delima cli)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 6.00    
PLAYING HARDBALL Oct01 Sep03 Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  ANITANEWMERCEDES Oct07 Sep02 Jul21 Jun11 May27 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 3.50    
 
FNO-6   10/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET MY POINT Oct02 Sep17 Jul23 Jul14 Jun18 (puentes jos)ORTIZ A 122 4.00 62% 0.60    
DANCING BONBON Sep23 Aug28 Aug05 Jul08 Jun16 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 122 3.50 8% 11.20    
LUVAHAPPYENDING Oct08 Sep17 Sep10 Sep03 Aug05 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00 7% 13.20    
G G RULES Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul07 (bean robert )OROZCO E 122 2.00    
LUCKY LOCKETT Oct07 Sep11 Jun18 May04 Apr09 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
SHEZA QUEEN BEE Oct07 Sep18 Aug28 Jul23 Jul08 (preciado gu)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 10.00    
MARNAYS QUEEN Oct07 Sep18 Aug28     (perez ser)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 2.00    
SCR  SOME ROYALTY Jun03 Mar12 Feb20 Jan16   (rivera sally)OROZCO IRVING 125 15.00    
 
FNO-7   10/15/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bull Dog Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROWTH ENGINE Sep23 Aug27 Aug11 Jul02 Jun03 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
  (by TAPIT out of WILD VISION by WILD AGAIN)
LOVE CANDY Oct02 Sep08 Aug13 Jun04 May05 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 122 2.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of LOVE WINNING by TAPIZAR)
CELESTIAL MOON Sep30 Sep03 Apr30 Apr06 Mar11 (glatt mark)ROMAN A 122 8.00 8% 11.70    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GLOBAL HOTTIE by DIXIE CHATTER)
DRUIDIC Sep04 Aug12 Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 119 4.00 10% 8.80    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SHARED IMAGE by ROCKY BAR)
GLORIOUS SPRING Aug25 Jul02 Mar27 Feb10 Jan13 (blacker dan)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 119 5.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of MAZIETTE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
I'MGONNABESOMEBODY Sep30 Sep04 Jul30 Jul09 May29 (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.00 51% 0.90    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BROWN RICE by BIG BROWN)
 
FNO-8   10/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG FASHION Sep17 Sep03 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 (morgan dan)OROZCO E 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
DECIMATE Sep09 Aug27 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 (gabriel luciano)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
OBVIOUS Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Aug19 Jul29 (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 121 4.00    
ZHIVAGO Oct06 Aug27 Aug19 Aug13 Jul29 (greiner gary)FLORES P 118 15.00    
PERFORMATIVE Oct08 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul21 (thomas ruby)OROZCO IRVING 120 8.00    
WHATWASITHINKING Oct08 Sep18 Sep03 Aug25 Aug12 (puentes jos)ORTIZ A 121 20.00 22% 3.40    
DR PESCADO Oct08 Aug27 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 (preciado )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 121 6.00    
WART Sep16 Jul29 May07 Nov06 Sep30 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 6.00    
DUMB LUCK Oct07 Aug25 Aug18 Jul30 Jul22 (tamayo isidro)RIVERA SANTOS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  ARTHUR SPOONER Oct08 Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 Jul07 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.