Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (2/10/9/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/1/3)-(2/10/9/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/1/3)-(2/10/9/1/3)-(2/10/9/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/9/1/3)-(7/9/4/1/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ALB-2   WIN (7/9/4/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/1/2)-(7/9/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/1/2)-(7/9/4/1/2)-(7/9/4/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/4/1/2)-(10/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ALB-3   WIN (10/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/8/1)-(10/5/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/8/1)-(10/5/8/1/6)-(10/5/8/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/5/8/1)-(7/1/4)-(1/4/6/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ALB-4   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-5   WIN (1/4/6/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/8/11)-(1/4/6/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/8/11)-(1/4/6/8/11)-(1/4/6/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   10/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AHEAD OF TIME KID         (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
WESTERN CHARM Sep10 Aug27 Jul30 Jul22 Jul02 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 32% 2.10    
BALD IS BEAUTIFUL May21 Feb19 Feb07 Jan10 Dec19 (marquez j)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TOMMY'S UP Jun17 May29 Apr30 Mar12 Dec01 (hudson)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 12.00    
ROLL TO RICHES Sep10 Aug26 Aug04 May29 May14 (madrid enri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
AL GRANO D ORO Jun03 May14 Apr30 Apr16 Aug03 (pierce w)VALDEZ S 124 8.00    
SCR  EL ZARAPE Aug26 Nov21 Oct25 Sep25 Aug20 (fournier irving)CARRENO J 122 15.00    
QUEENS EFFORT Sep09         (gleason m)JUAREZ J 122 15.00    
F J COLIMA Sep10 Aug26 Jun17 Dec20 Dec12 (padilla francisc)MEDELLIN A 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
10  PIP PIP May06 Apr22 Mar26     (summers n)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  CHA CHING CHARLIE Sep13 Sep03 Apr30 Apr23 Mar19 (olguin ever)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00    
SCR  HUNKY DUNN Oct11 Jul29 Sep08 Aug05 May15 (duarte javier)MEDELLIN A 124 20.00    
 
ALB-2   10/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DINOS DA DADDY Sep23 Sep03 Jun16 Apr23 Mar21 (aldavaz jaim)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 25.00 5% 19.00    
MISS TRICKY INDY Oct01 Aug19 Jul14 Jun18 Apr23 (m)DE CRUZ 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
MICKEYS GOLD Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 Dec20 (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00    
TIZ'A STELLAR DUDE Sep23 Jul16 Jun25 May20 Jan17 (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 121 3.00 8% 10.90    
JUVAL Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 Jul16 Jul08 (silva lillian)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
SCR  REEL EM IN Aug18 Jul22 Mar21 Sep30 Aug26 (lello p)VALDEZ S 121 12.00    
DIABOLICAL PACKAGE Sep14 Apr08 Mar14 Mar05 Feb12 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 3.50 39% 1.60    
ALL YOUR JAZZ Sep23 Sep02 Jul16 Mar05 Jan17 (gutierrez)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
D C GUN RUNNER Sep23 Sep02 Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 (saucedo rene)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
10  ZESTY JAZZMAN Sep23 Aug18 Jul22 Jul16 May29 (villalobo)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 10.00    
 
ALB-3   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ILOVEHER Sep30 May21 May07 Apr22 Mar28 (summers nancy)ROSENDO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S SAUL RIGHT Oct01 Sep03 Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 (gonzalez sal)VERGARA P 122 12.00    
CHASING DIVINITY Aug27 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 (m)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
WHAT A WAY TO GO Sep02 Aug14 Jun18 May05 Apr18 (whitehouse wilton)CARRENO J 124 25.00    
NATION OF LAWS Sep27 Aug05 May20 Mar12 Jan03 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
PRINCESS KITTEN Sep02 Aug05 May20 Apr29   (martinez dan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 8.00    
FIRST ZAP Oct01 Sep03 Aug05 Jul09 Apr02 (gonzalez sal)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
WILLOWMYGIRL Sep02 Aug06 Jul16 Jun18 Jan12 (woolley l)MEDELLIN A 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
M G BIG MARIA Jul02 Jun08 Apr29 Mar25 Mar07 (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 4.50    
10  CAIRO MOON Sep27 Mar26 Feb28 Feb14 Jan29 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
ALB-4   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manzano Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITE RANCHIN KID Sep10 Aug19       (barraza rafael )LOPEZ KARLO 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of LORELEI'S SONG by AMERI VALAY)
MY GOOD GOOD BOY Sep30         (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 4.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MARAZION GIRL by BELLAMY ROAD)
CANDY AISLE Aug06         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 115 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ROSALIE ROAD by STREET CRY (IRE))
FERRARI RED Sep10 Aug13 Jul16     (martinez a)JUAREZ J 120 15.00 19% 4.40    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of COOPER'S KEEPER by TEMPLE CITY)
SCR  AYE CANDY         (fincher w)HEBERT J 115 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ROSE'S DESERT by DESERT GOD)
SALSATION Aug27 Aug11 Jul08     (mendez )FUENTES T 118 3.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of MUSIC AND ART by MUNNINGS)
GREASE MISSLE Sep30         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 115 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MIDNIGHTHUSH by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
ALB-5   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLSHERWONTSHE Sep27 Sep02 Aug05 Apr22 Apr09 (olguin ever)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
THE TIME'S RIGHT Sep16 Aug05 Jul14 May14 Nov21 (duarte javier)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00    
FLIPLIT Jul22 Jul08 Jun19 Apr25 Mar24 (whitehouse wilton)CARRENO J 121 25.00    
SHORT POCKETS May13 May07 Mar28 Mar21 Jan29 (cappelluc)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00 27% 2.70    
ZENMAGIC Sep15 Mar12 Feb11 Jan01 Sep21 (cardenas emil)MARQUEZ LARRY 121 30.00    
MS. LEA Jun24 May06 Apr22 Apr09 Mar28 (van ro)CEBALLOS F 121 12.00 18% 4.50    
PIPER ROSE Sep16 Aug24 Aug02 Jul08 Jun10 (woolley l)HEBERT J 121 6.00    
RAISE OUR FLAG Sep23 Aug04 Jul14 May07 Apr09 (garcia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
DESTINY WHO Sep10 Jul23 Jun24 Mar05 Feb05 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 30.00    
10  KELL'S KISS Sep16 Sep02 May14 Apr29 Apr22 (gherardi ja)TORRES J 124 8.00    
11  AUTUMN TOUCH Sep16 Dec12 Oct30 Sep30 Aug20 (chavez artur)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 25.00 5% 19.00    
12  CREATING MEMORIES Sep16 Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 (barraza rafael )LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.