Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/5)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FNO-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(2/3)-(5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(5/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(5/3/4)-(3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-4   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(3/1)-(2/7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/7/6)-(5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-6   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(5/3)-(1/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-7   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FNO-8   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-1   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY IS Sep23 Aug26 Aug05 Jun30 Jun09 (rondan fe)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 2.00 61% 0.70    
2  STANDFORGRIT Sep18 Sep03 Aug03 Jul08 Jun25 (hansen roger)ALVARADO T 122 3.50    
3  ALL HALLOWS Sep18 Aug27 Aug04 Jul07 Nov05 (mcca)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 1.80 7% 12.80    
4  ENGEE OMBEE Aug25 Aug19 Jul21 Jul02 Jun18 (hansen roger)FLORES P 125 6.00    
5  MISSING PENNY Sep23 Jun09 May07 Apr07 Mar04 (lenzini mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 5.00    
 
FNO-2   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA POPIS Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul07 Jun16 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 121 4.50    
SCR  CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Sep11 Aug26 Aug03 Jul28 Jun18 (perez ser)MARTINEZ CATALINO 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
3  KERRYGOLD LADY Oct01 Sep03 Jul28 Jun30 Jun18 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  LAKER JET Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Aug06 Jun24 (bean a)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
5  LUCY L Aug10 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 Jun09 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RIVIERA SUNRISE Sep17 Aug26 Aug19 Aug05 Jul21 (tamayo isidro)RIVERA SANTOS 121 3.00    
 
FNO-3   10/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. T'S THIRSTY Sep10 Aug27 Aug11 Jun23 Apr29 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 8.00    
2  ANITANEWMERCEDES Sep02 Jul21 Jun11 May27 May06 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 1.60 64% 0.60    
3  WINDRIBBON Sep10 Aug11 Jul22 Jun18 May26 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 125 6.00 10% 8.60    
4  SUPERMAZEL Sep24 Sep04 Jul21 Jun11 May26 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 3.00    
5  ENOS SLAUGHTER Sep23 Sep04 Aug06 Jul21 Jun11 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 127 2.00    
 
FNO-4   10/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA QUEEN BEE Sep18 Aug28 Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 (preciado gu)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 5.00    
2  MARNAYS QUEEN Sep18 Aug28       (perez ser)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 6.00    
3  NOMI LACKEE Sep25 Sep17 Sep10 Aug26 Jul08 (gabriel luciano )PENA BRYAN 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  LUCKY LOCKETT Sep11 Jun18 May04 Apr09 Mar18 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00 7% 12.40    
5  AFTER SUNDOWN Oct22 Oct10 Aug27 Aug20 Jul04 (delima cliffo)OROZCO IRVING 125 2.00 50% 1.00    
6  G G RULES Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul07 Jun17 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 122 4.00    
 
FNO-5   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY GREGORY Sep11 Aug25 Aug18 Jul23 Jun25 (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 125 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW Oct02 Aug17 Jul29 May19 Sep04 (thomas ruby)PENA BRYAN 122 1.60    
3  FRIED ASPARAGUS Sep10 Aug19 Aug10 Jun23 Jun11 (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  PRETTY THIRSTY Sep04 Jul07 Jun18 May14 Apr07 (bonde jeff)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
5  MARY MARGARET Sep11 Feb25 Dec30 Nov18 Oct29 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 125 10.00    
6  AUSTRIAN NAVY Sep02 Aug11 Jul08 Jun18 Apr28 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 8.00    
 
FNO-6   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SONOFAFINCH Sep24 Aug13 Jun11 May29 May05 (thomas ruby)FLORES P 125 2.00    
2  MR. CLUTCH Sep04 Aug12 Jul30 Jul23 Jun30 (thomas ruby)ALVARADO T 125 4.50 33% 2.00    
3  GALOPIN GOURMET Sep24 Jul29 Sep24 Jul17 Jun18 (ramos jesus)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.00    
4  MADE THE TEAM Sep11 Jul29 Dec09 Nov18 Oct10 (pald)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 5.00    
5  THE SANDY SURPRISE Sep16 Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 125 6.00    
6  DUMB LUCK Aug25 Aug18 Jul30 Jul22 Jun24 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 10.00 17% 4.80    
7  THE CALABRESE KID Sep09 Aug25 Aug11 Jul23 Jul03 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 26% 2.80    
 
FNO-7   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Harris Farms Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LARRY'S LEGEND Sep10 Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 May19 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 122 12.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LAUGH N YODEL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  LMLOOKNFORMISCHIEF Jun09 May19 Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 (taylor faith)OROZCO IRVING 122 8.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of JUST LOOKN AGAIN by TIZBUD)
3  CLOVISCONNECTION Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 Apr30 Apr08 (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by VRONSKY out of LA DARLING by PERFECT MANDATE)
4  EVENEREVENWORSE Aug31 Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 May13 (mclean bill)ROMAN A 125 2.00    
  (by DECARCHY out of RAHBADABADOU by RAHY)
5  TOP HARBOR Jul01 Jun10 Apr29 Apr01 Feb18 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 125 1.40 41% 1.40    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of REBA IS TOPS by HE'S TOPS)
 
FNO-8   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING DERBY Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Jul29 Jul04 (preciado gu)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 4.00 51% 1.00    
2  MY DAD IS THIRSTY Sep16 Aug04 Jul09 Jul02 Jun24 (perez ser)MARTINEZ CATALINO 122 12.00    
3  EL JOY Sep17 Aug13 Jul29 Jul04 Jun23 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 5.00    
4  N. K. ROCKET MAN Sep18 Sep04 Aug02 Jul22 Jun28 (hernandez j)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 8.00 7% 13.80    
5  EFFECTIVE GIG Sep17 Aug26 Aug20 Jul29 Jul01 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 6.00    
6  VANISKY Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 (trujillo victor )PENA BRYAN 125 2.50 17% 5.10    
7  J T'S WATCH Sep08 Aug04 Jul09 Jun23 May05 (bonde jeff)ROMAN A 125 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.