Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - October 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
SWF-8   WIN (2/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-9   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/8)-(1/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/8)-(6/7/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
SWF-10   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-7   10/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BLUE CAT Sep03         (guadarrama o)CARILLO DANIEL 126 8.00 ★    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of LISA LULU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  OBSIDIAN GOLD Sep08 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08   (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 124 4.00 72% 0.40    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of STORMY PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  DANGERELLA Sep11 Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (warren ka)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 4.50    
  (by DADDY NOSE BEST out of MYSTICAL HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  MONGOLIAN SHOP         (lusk travis)PADILLA ANSELMO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of WINDOW SHOPPER by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  DESERT PEPPER Sep11 Sep02 Aug26 Aug19 Dec20 (marquez jos)VORRATH VALENTE 121 3.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of LADY RIESLING by DOME)
6  MIDNIGHT DARE Sep02 Aug19 Jul01 Jun11 May21 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 123 3.50    
  (by GOVENOR CHARLIE out of LOVE DARE by OSIDY)
7  IM THE ONLY BEWARE Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 6.00    
  (by YOU BETTOR BEWARE out of DROP OF VANILLA by REVERSAL)
8  DIABLOS MOON Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 Jun18 Jun04 (graber jessic)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 8.00    
  (by POINT DEFIANCE out of SPECTACULAR VOW by BROKEN VOW)
 
SWF-8   10/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLY B Sep16 Sep02 Aug25 Aug06 Jul09 (gibbs tyler)LARSEN S 126 6.00 6% 15.80    
2  WASSUP BRO Sep09 Sep01 Aug19 Oct01 Sep03 (mitchell r)LUSK TYSON 126 3.50 43% 1.30    
3  WAYLAY Sep09 Sep04 Aug05 Jul29 Jul09 (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50 20% 3.90    
4  ASSETS INCLUDED Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jan10 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 126 4.00    
5  SOUTHWESTERN HOPE Sep16 Sep10 Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 (bunn shaw)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 8.00    
6  THE GREATEST EAGLE Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul22 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 8.00    
7  FASCINATED Sep03 Jul01 May28 May12 Apr25 (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00    
8  GO THRU THE HOLE Sep16 Sep02 Aug18 Aug06 Jul22 (story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 5.00 7% 14.00    
 
SWF-9   10/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY CLIFF Sep15 Sep03 Jul15 Jun03 Oct02 (green d)VIRGEN JESUS 126 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  TICKET LADY Sep10 Aug27 Jun10 Oct01 Sep18 (giles raelee)CARILLO DANIEL 123 8.00    
3  SUPERMAN SHAQ Sep15 Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Sep18 (dominguez)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50    
SCR  POPS AWESOME Sep15 Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jul22 (williams )RIVAS CARLOS 126 3.50    
5  REINA DE REYES Sep02 Jul08 Jun25 Jun02 May19 (bunn shaw)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 8.00    
SCR  KEARNEY Sep15 Sep09 Sep02 Jun25 Jun16 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 10.00    
7  MAINTAINANCE MATT Sep15 Aug19 Aug05 May20 May06 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 5.00 29% 2.40    
8  MCGEORGE Sep15 Sep04 Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 (christoffers)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 10.00 18% 4.60    
 
SWF-10   10/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hasta La Vista Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY MUCHACHO Sep09 Sep03 Jul23 Jul15 Jun25 (ness john)GAMEZ M 126 5.00    
  (by MACHO UNO out of TRISHA by FOREST CAMP)
2  OH BE ONE Sep08 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 (bunn shaw)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 12.00    
  (by TWICE THE APPEAL out of CITIZEN BERNSTEIN by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  GOOD ONE Sep09 Sep08 Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 (ecoffey gil)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
4  HALFBARBERBINGIE Aug19 Jul22 May20 Apr29 Jan21 (dominguez ca)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TOPIC by SPEAK)
5  KOA CAT Sep04 Aug19 Jul15 Jul01 Jun24 (scudder mike)VALENZUELA R 126 8.00    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of PLAY MISTY FOR US by BOB AND JOHN)
6  BARBIERE Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by LAST DRAW out of CREME RINSE by LAHOOQ)
7  FURLONGIN FOR LUV Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by DON'TSELLMESHORT out of EXCESSIVE CINDI by IN EXCESS (IRE))
8  OUTRIGHT Sep09 Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 May28 (ecoffey gilb)CARILLO DANIEL 126 4.50 11% 8.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CODETTA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.