Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-3   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SWF-4   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
SWF-5   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
SWF-6   WIN (6/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-7   WIN (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/6)-(8/3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/6)-(8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-3   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSEIDON'S MAGIC Aug27 Aug11 Aug09 Jul23 Jul15 (fitzpatrick rya)GARNETT G 126 6.00    
2  WAPITI ROSE Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Jun10 Sep18 (hall dru)FINN AISLINN 126 1.60 20% 4.00    
3  REINA DE REYES Jul08 Jun25 Jun02 May19 Oct15 (ekstrom l)DE TORRE 126 4.50    
4  FAST SOPHIA Jul30 Jul16 Jul08 Jun17 Jun09 (thompson grady)LARSEN S 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHAYS CURLIN CANDY Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 Oct01 Sep11 (giles cha)RIVAS CARLOS 126 8.00    
6  TIME FOR KISSES Aug05 Jul01 Jun25 Jun10 Oct02 (openshaw james)LUSK TYSON 126 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
SWF-4   09/02/2023 2310ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGAVE KID Mar19 Feb27 Feb02 Jan05 Dec17 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  BUG ZAPPER Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 (womochil jeff)GARNETT G 126 8.00    
3  SOUTHWESTERN HOPE Aug05 Jul08 Jan10 Dec06 Oct09 (bunn shaw)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 10.00    
4  MISS WILDCAT Jul29 Jul14 Jun16 Jun04 May27 (giles raelee)CARILLO DANIEL 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
5  SMOKIN TY Jul29 Jul01 Oct01 Jul24 Jun12 (green d)LUSK TYSON 126 6.00    
6  SUNSHINE EMILY Aug27 Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (bunn shawn)CERVANTES OSCAR 123 6.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  DREAM ON BROTHER Jun26 Jan29       (openshaw james)LARSEN S 126 4.50    
8  BRAVE HELIOS Jul22 Jun25 Jun11 Sep26 Sep12 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 5.00    
 
SWF-5   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORIOUSLY WICKED Jul23 Jun24 May29 May05 Apr28 (zechman kati)BETHKE A 121 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  AX 'S SHORE Aug10 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 Jun18 (dennis clifto)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 3.00    
SCR  ELENA'S DIAMOND Aug05 Jul22       (martin francy)RAMOS MANUEL 121 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT KID         (openshaw james)LARSEN S 124 5.00    
SCR  D P KING LOUIE Jul30 Jul15 Jun11     (giles chad)CARILLO DANIEL 126 8.00    
6  PADDYS FOUR ROSES Jun17 Jun04       (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 8.00    
7  C G BEER MONEY Jul30 Jul15 Jun11 Jun04 Jul30 (goodrich colby)VIRGEN JESUS 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
8  GHOST PROSPECTOR Aug06         (ekstrom l)DE TORRE 126 6.00    
SCR  MARGOT Jul30 Jul23 Apr30 Mar14 Feb14 (schindler jeff)LARSEN S 123 4.00    
SCR  THE BUSINESS MAN Aug19 Aug04 Jun16     (brown ros)RIVAS CARLOS 124 3.50    
 
SWF-6   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY FIRST CLASS Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 (thompson grady)LUSK TYSON 126 4.00    
2  CIRCLE BACK Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 (greene paul)VIRGEN JESUS 126 8.00    
3  OH BE ONE Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 (openshaw james)LARSEN S 126 4.50 12% 7.40    
4  GO THRU THE HOLE Aug18 Aug06 Jul22 Jun03 May13 (story shaun)BETHKE A 126 8.00 13% 6.60    
5  ALTERNATE TIME Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jul01 Jun17 (greene skyler)FINN AISLINN 126 6.00    
6  KEARNEY Jun25 Jun16 May28 May20 May06 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  FRANKS DEHERE Aug19 Aug06 Jul14 Jun18 Jun10 (bunn shaw)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 8.00 22% 3.60    
8  JIMMY'S MARCO Jul30 Jul22 Jul15 Jun18 Jun11 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 8.00    
SCR  XTREME LYRA Jul30 Jul22 Jun25 Jun04 May21 (schindler jeff)LARSEN S 126 3.50    
 
SWF-7   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR OF STARS Aug19 Aug10 Jul15 Jul02 May12 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 2.50    
2  VISONARY STAR Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 Jun16 (womochil jeff)GARNETT G 126 10.00    
3  EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE Aug21 Jul30 Jun19 May06 Apr09 (goodrich colb)JIMENEZ DAVID 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  RAFAEL'S SURPRISE Aug18 Jul22 Jul08 Jun11 May20 (schindler jeff)LARSEN S 126 4.00 ★    
5  LEVEL Aug06 Jul09 May27 May13 Apr28 (thompson grady)LUSK TYSON 126 5.00    
6  AFTER BURN Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 Jul02 Jun03 (womochil )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOON HOLLOW Aug05 Jul30 Jul24 Jul03 Jun18 (nielsen rod)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 12.00    
8  BALI STAR Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 Jul02 Jun04 (story shaun)VALENZUELA R 126 3.50 73% 0.40    
SCR  CHISMOSO Aug09 Jun24 May30 Apr23 Apr10 (fitzpatrick r)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.