Handicappers' Racing Form

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Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ASD-1   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ASD-2   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ASD-3   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ASD-4   Win (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ASD-5   Win (5/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ASD-6   Win (3/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ASD-7   Win (4/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ASD-8   Win (8/1/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ASD-1   08/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEGRASS SOUL Aug02 Jun25 Jun11 May21 May14 (hanson deborah )CUMBERBATCH R 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) Aug14 Aug09 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 25.00 5% 19.00    
WITT NINE Jul31 Jun21 Jun07 Sep26 Aug29 (anderson carl)AEBLY FRASER 118 4.00    
WITT'S MEMORIES Jun28 Jun07 Sep28 Sep20 Sep12 (anderson carl)BALROOP SVEN 123 20.00    
WHERETHEMONEYWENT Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun05 Apr19 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 123 1.40 31% 2.20    
STREAMER Jul31 Jun14 Apr18 Mar26 Mar06 (sanderson b)CHADEE JR 123 5.00    
 
ASD-2   08/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LONNA RANGER Aug07 Jul26 Jun16 May27 Feb25 (anderson w)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 2.50 13% 6.80    
MY BOY CHRISTIAN Aug08 Jul17 Jul05 Jun26 Jun14 (rowe michael)ALI RONALD 122 6.00    
LOVE OURS Jul31 Jun27 Jun20 Jun14 May30 (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.50    
ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Jul31 Jul26 Jun22 May29 May18 (gourneau jerry)CARRENO J 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
GUARANTEEDDELIVERY Jul31 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 Sep27 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 122 10.00 12% 7.50    
FINE SOFT MORNING Aug09 May29 Apr16 Mar17 Feb20 (cole terry)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 15.00    
SUNSPOT Jul31 Jul12 Jul04 Jun14 Apr29 (morin shaun)CUMBERBATCH R 124 25.00    
 
ASD-3   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS Z Aug07 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 Feb08 (keplin jr)CARRENO J 123 1.80 34% 1.90    
TEXAS RAIN Aug02 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 Sep26 (duncan murray)AEBLY FRASER 116 12.00    
OTTER POP Aug09 Aug02 Jun09 Apr28 Apr07 (anderson wendy)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 4.00    
MACLEAN'S BELLA Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 May06 Apr05 (keplin stev)CHADEE JR 123 8.00    
TECATE GOLD Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May30 (stanford m)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 25.00    
ADAM'S CREED Aug02 Jun28 Jun21 May30 Apr28 (anderson wendy)CUMBERBATCH R 123 3.00 10% 9.40    
WAIT A SEC Aug02 Jul05 Jun06 May22 Mar29 (buffalo marvin)CHOW CHAVION 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
 
ASD-4   08/23/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD NEW TRICKS Aug01 Jun23       (cole terry)TARASENCO P 119 12.00    
SCR  CAN'T KATZE ME Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 Sep28 (maxwell curtis)CHOW CHAVION 119 20.00    
LOOKIN FOR KICKS Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20   (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 5.00 32% 2.10    
MOVE TO ORDER Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Jun07 May22 (morin shaun)BUDHU ARTHUR 114 25.00    
PARTYATMYPLACE Jul17 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 May23 (brown shell)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 4.00    
SALTO DEL LUPO Aug09 Jul26 Jun20 Sep27 Sep06 (duncan murr)CHADEE JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SILICON VALLEY Jul17 Jul04 Jun14     (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 119 3.00    
OH MAN OH MAN Aug01 Jul19 Jun20 Sep27 Sep13 (hrymak bre)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
ASD-5   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEYSTONE CASH Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 Sep20 (gittens )LEWIS ANTHONY 119 15.00    
PAYITFORWARD Jul31 Jul17       (hrymak bre)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 114 25.00    
MILAN OHIO Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG BIG ENERGY Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 114 8.00 22% 3.50    
GOING SUCCESS Jul19 Jul05 Jun13     (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 1.80 44% 1.20    
MILAMARIA Aug01 Jul24 Jul04 Jun19   (husbands ti)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 114 6.00    
AMMA'S STAR Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 Aug22 (desjarlais ryan)CARRENO J 124 3.00    
G B'S TURBO Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 May30 May06 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 5.00 5% 17.50    
 
ASD-6   08/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
L L COOL GREY Aug02 Jun25 May20 May05 Apr23 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 117 12.00 7% 13.00    
TARA TATTOO Aug08 Jul26 Jul10 Jun27 Dec08 (taphorn mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 4.00    
MORO OUTLAW Aug09 Jul26 Jul02 Jun15 Jun08 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 2.00 26% 2.80    
HIGHRISEINTHEPEG Aug09 Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 Jun07 (husbands ti)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 3.00    
RIGGED RIGHT Aug07 Jul24 Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 (rowe michael)AEBLY FRASER 119 7.00    
RUNAWAY HURRICANE Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 Jun26 Sep27 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
UNCLE MO'S CAT Aug08 Jul26 Jul18 Jun19 Jun06 (duncan murr)CHADEE JR 122 30.00    
BEAR ME A MOMENT Aug08 Jul18 Jul11 Jun19 May29 (brown allen)CUMBERBATCH R 122 20.00 13% 6.80    
 
ASD-7   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY LUKE Aug07 Jul26 Jul19 Jul03 Jun13 (senebald donald)BELLE SHAVON 122 15.00    
HOUSE LIMIT Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 Jun14 May29 (gardipy jr)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.50    
LAB RAT Aug07 Jul31 Jul11 Jun23 Jun02 (gourneau je)CHADEE JR 124 8.00    
RAILSPLITTER Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 May30 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 6.00 33% 2.10    
OLD TRAFFORD Jul22 Jun25 Jun11 May13 Apr29 (taphorn mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
TOIL AND TROUBLE Jul24 Jun21 Jun06 May23 Apr26 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.50    
LAST RENEGADE Aug07 Jul11 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 (anderson wendy)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
MARK YE WELL Aug07 Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 (brown jared)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
SMART CALL Aug01 Jul15 Jul03 Jun11 Apr24 (keplin jr)AEBLY FRASER 119 15.00    
 
ASD-8   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 8.00 16% 5.40    
OLIVE'S CANDY Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 May22 (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
I'VE GOT ALL NITE Aug02 Jul17       (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 117 4.00    
HATSHEPSUT Jul12 Jun28 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 40.00    
ISLAND HIGH Aug01 Jul11 Jun19     (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 117 25.00    
THE COMRIE RULE Aug02 Jul10 Jun28 Jun07 Apr04 (brown alle)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 30.00    
DANZIGS STAR STORM Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun20 Apr07 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 117 2.00    
CUSS'N CAT Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 May29   (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 117 3.00 53% 0.90    
SPARKLING SILVER Aug02 Jul12 Jun19 Jun07 May22 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 117 15.00    
10  MECHANIC SUSIE Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 (dickey elto)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 12.00 5% 18.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.