Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(2/7/5/4)-(3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-2   WIN (2/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/4)-(3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(8/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(8/6/4)-(3/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-4   WIN (8/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/4)-(8/6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/4)-(8/6/5/4)-(8/6/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/6/4)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(4/6/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-5   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(4/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(4/6/9/1)-(6/4/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-6   WIN (4/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/1)-(4/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/1)-(4/6/9/1)-(4/6/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/9/1)-(6/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/9/1)-(6/4/3/7)-(4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-7   WIN (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/7)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNION PARK Jul30 Jul11 Jun18 Mar20 Mar06 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00    
SUN OF SILVER Dec07 Nov16 Sep29 Aug20 Jul30 (yovanovich )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 12.00    
REBEL JOKE Jul26 Jul13 Jun21     (machado ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.50 24% 3.20    
MORALES LITTLE KID         (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
TUNA N STAMPS Jul21 Jun01 Mar19 Jan11 Nov30 (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
UNXPECTED TIGER Jun23 Apr28 Apr16 Apr08 Mar22 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 4.00    
 
DEL-2   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM IT Jul27 Jul07 Jun01 Oct26 Sep29 (cronk samuel)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 10.00    
MEAN TWEETS Jul22 Jun23 May06 Apr07 Feb03 (moysey che)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
DUCK DUCKY GOOSE Jul17 Jun10 Apr04 Mar01 Feb13 (allen randy)NGUYEN JASON 123 8.00    
JEST ABOVE Jul26 Jul04 May29 Apr08 Mar19 (preciado guada)CORREA JULIO 123 3.00 6% 15.20    
FATHER GLADO Aug05 Jul15 Jun15 May04 Feb22 (d'angelo jo)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 11% 7.90    
WOOTDAREITIS Jul27 Jul07 Mar26 Mar11 Feb15 (werneth rober)ALICEA JEREMY 114 8.00    
TOUCH CODE Mar25 Mar10 Feb17 Feb04 Jan14 (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00 31% 2.20    
 
DEL-3   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP GOTHAM Jul23 Jul05 Jun12 May06 Apr18 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 122 8.00    
CODE NAME BRODY Jul19 Jun15 Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 (cronk samuel)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00    
PAPA JIMMY Jul15 Jun14 May31 May24 Mar31 (wagner karin)CENTENO E 120 1.60 39% 1.60    
IM YOUR PAPI Jul26 Jun23 Oct22 Oct05 Sep22 (nazario pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
HE'SSOSUBTLE Jul24 Jul04 Jun14 May15 Apr05 (lin)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
POWER (BRZ) Aug03 Jul05 Jun02 May19 Apr30 (morzan j)RODRIGUEZ L 110 10.00    
LAWLESSNESS Jul24 Jun15 Dec12 Dec05 Nov21 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00    
 
DEL-4   08/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAPORICAL Aug03 Jul15 Jun28     (moysey che)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of RHETORICAL COLORS by AFLEET ALEX)
DEVINE FLAMEAWAY Jun28         (sanchez-pinero a)CASTILLO A 119 12.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SPEED TO VICTORY by BODEMEISTER)
DRINKIN N DREAMING         (smith g)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of GET YOUR SHINE ON by ALKE)
HOYA         (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ADORABLE YOU by GRAND SLAM)
NIGHTSCAPE         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 4.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MIDNIGHT HOOT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
INCHON Jul26         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BLOODY POINT by WAR FRONT)
LADDIE DANCE Aug06 Jul16       (leaf jr)DELGADO A 119 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of ENTERPRISE VALUE by BELLAMY ROAD)
ORANGE JUICE         (stidham michae)CEDENO CAROL 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ORAGEUSE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  OLIGARCH         (pregman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00    
  (by LOST TREASURE (IRE) out of MISIA LUISA by STRONG CONTENDER)
 
DEL-5   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($40K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO TRAFFIC Jul19 Jul08 May03     (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 1.80    
JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Jun13 Apr21 Mar24 Mar12   (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 123 6.00    
TIPSY GIRL Jul22 Dec12 Nov23     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
RITABOOK Jul06 Jun17 Jun02 May05 Apr19 (rigattieri john)MENA E 123 8.00 8% 11.40    
TOUISSET Jul19 Jul05 Jan07 Dec03 Nov03 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 119 3.50    
PENNY POLKA Jul28         (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 119 8.00 30% 2.40    
 
DEL-6   08/16/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 SOFT Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORONOVA Aug05 Jul21 Feb20 Jan29 Dec17 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00 5% 18.30    
SCR  RUSH CENTER Aug05 Jun21 Jun10 May21 Apr21 (mosco robert)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 8.00    
PRALINE'S CAT Jul22 Jul14 May31 Apr23 Apr07 (posadas pedr)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 12.00    
MISSION MAN Jul08 Jun21 May19 Mar19 Dec10 (hendriks mclane)RUIZ JORGE 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
BIG LOUIE Jul27 Jun09 May06 Apr26 Apr07 (marino ga)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
WRECKING BALL Jul08 Mar31 Feb05 Jan22   (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  OUT OF TOWNER Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 Oct12 Oct01 (strauss bev)MARIN A 122 20.00    
SCR  PARKERNESS Jul10 Jun18 May30 Apr30 Apr15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 4.50    
KING OF SONG Aug03 Jun02 May19 Feb10 Dec17 (brinkman bret)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 11% 7.70    
10  SAM STORMY Jul20 Jun01 Apr21 Feb25 Oct30 (lopez rob)CENTENO E 118 12.00    
SCR  ANDREZ CONQUIST Jul15         (ovando melvi)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
 
DEL-7   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STACKS OF SILVER Jul19 Oct01 Aug25 Jul27 Jul08 (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 8.00    
ST ANDREWS Jul27 Jul07 Jun02 Apr28 Apr15 (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 2.00    
BRETT'S WORLD Jul25 Jun09 May24 Apr25 Mar28 (bravo-estrad)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
GREYZER Jul27 Jul08 Jun23 Feb19 Jan25 (de ka)MARIN A 121 8.00 23% 3.40    
MY DANNY BOY Aug03 Jul15 Jun14 Oct08 Aug27 (strauss beve)ARROYO S 121 10.00    
AIN'T WASTING TIME Jul15 Jun09 May27 Jan07 Dec09 (alvarado diane)MENA E 121 3.00 31% 2.30    
AWESOME LAUNCH Jun26 May30 May20 Dec16 Nov23 (gue)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.00 7% 12.80    
 
DEL-8   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BIG DRAMA Aug04 Jul20 Jun28 Jun10 Apr30 (rigattieri john)MENA E 124 8.00    
SEAX Aug04 Jun22 Jun01 May06 Apr29 (ochoa gera)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 3.50    
VEGAS PLAYBOY Aug04 Jul15 Jul01 Jun02 May13 (sacco d)ROSE J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
APPENDAGE Jun28 Jun09 Apr29     (smith jas)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
CAPE COD SUMMER Aug04 Jun28 Jun01 Apr29 Apr15 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
CUP MATCH Aug04 Jun28 Jun10 May27 May06 (nambo cesar)ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00    
ESTILO FAVORITO Aug23         (arriagada j)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 4.50    
BUKOVEL Aug26 Aug06 Jul09     (clagett chr)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.