Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grande Prairie
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GPR-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GPR-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/1/3)-(2/5/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GPR-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(6/3/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GPR-4   WIN (2/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GPR-5   WIN (6/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/4)-(4/2/6)-(6/7/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GPR-6   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GPR-7   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GPR-1   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEY SHADOW Jun19 Jun05 Sep19 Sep07 Aug08 (oberholtz)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.50    
SHINBORO Jul23 Jun20 May29 Oct09 Sep24 (weaselhead godf)APANGO JUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BUZZSAW MCCLEARY Jul15         (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 1.40 49% 1.00    
STARWALKER Jul09 Sep24 Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 (rutherford elly)SIMPSON W 124 2.50    
YEROSILVERBIZ Jun27 Jun13 May29 Sep26 Sep06 (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 6.00 19% 4.10    
 
GPR-2   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Distaff Series ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROTTEN TO THE CORE Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 Nov05 (mcconaghie)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of APPLEWITCH by GRINDSTONE)
WAR MAIDEN Jul23 Jun23 Jun11 Jun04 Sep07 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00    
  (by WARTIME out of LADY COMIC by COMIC STRIP)
LANDRY KYLE Jul23 Jun18 Jun11 May28 Sep11 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KIPLING out of LE GRAND FROMAGE by WAR)
JUST CLASSY Jul23 Jun24 Sep25 Aug12 Jul31 (smith jackie)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of JUST DETAILS by BELONG TO ME)
CAUSIN MISCHIEF Jul23 Jun24 Jun11 May27 Oct09 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.40 62% 0.60    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of DYNAMIC LADY by DYNAFORMER)
ROCKET ON Jul08 Sep18 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (clarke chandra)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of SOUPS ON by ALPHABET SOUP)
 
GPR-3   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Grande Prairie Oaks Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMILY IS GOLD Jul15 Jun23 Oct08 Sep10 Aug27 (bugeaud mik)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by ILIAD out of WHITEY'S GOLD by PETIONVILLE)
SHES A COOL CAT Jul09 Jun09 May06 Oct22   (davies dea)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 3.00    
  (by EDISON out of THE CAT'S AFFAIR by TALE OF THE CAT)
YOGA RULER Jul22 Oct08 Oct01 Aug27 Aug06 (blattler codi)APANGO JUAN 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of MOVE WITH JOY by WHERE'S THE RING)
NORTHERN MISSILE Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 Oct08   (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of NORTHERN SWALLOW by NORTHERN AFLEET)
FLASHING JOKER Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 Oct29 Oct08 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 6.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
 
GPR-4   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELLPHONE Oct08 Oct02 Jun15 Apr09 Mar04 (weaselhead godf)APANGO JUAN 124 2.00    
CANDY RED Jul15 Jun04 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
MERMAID KISSES Jul23 Jul15 Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 (tourangeau russel)ROCHA O 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
ONEFINEDAY Jul15 Jun30 Jun16 May26 Sep03 (ferguson lauri)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.00 9% 10.80    
BIG AL'S PRINCESS Jul15 Jun06 Apr18 Mar21 Mar06 (tourangeau )GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00 30% 2.30    
TEGAN'SBESTWILKO Jun23 Jun11 May28 Oct09 Sep25 (marks garry)POWELL ANDRE 124 6.00    
BIG CYN Jul08 May12 Apr15 Apr01 Mar13 (mcnally k)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00    
 
GPR-5   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Sprint Series ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNUSUAL ACCOUNT Jul17 Jul10 Jul04 Jun21 Jun07 (kinch bil)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 12.00    
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of CRAVIN' THE HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
BOURBON BANDIT Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 May28 (robson travi)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
  (by PARKER'S STORM CAT out of BOURBON BABY by SPEEDING LIGHT (ARG))
BERNALINHO Jun10 Jun03 Jan04 Dec22 Dec08 (smith jackie)POWELL ANDRE 124 5.00 20% 3.90    
  (by MR. BIG out of DEMOCRATIC SWEEP by GOTHAM CITY)
TOP OF THE ROCK Jul22 Jun10 Sep24 Sep18 Sep03 (tourangeau russ)SIMPSON W 124 3.00 8% 11.30    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of ROCKY TOP GIRL by ROCKY BAR)
GRAY GEM Jul23 Jun25 Jun03 May21 Oct10 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by MATTY G out of WHATDIDSHESAY by KNIGHT IN SAVANNAH)
EL DORADO STORM Jul22 Jun10 May21 Sep25 Aug28 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by COAST GUARD out of KULA GIRL by HESABULL)
NACHO MONEY Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 May20 Oct09 (gardipy ra)APANGO JOSE 124 15.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of OCHOCO MISS by OCHOCO)
 
GPR-6   07/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Grande Prairie Derby Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES NO MAYBE SO Jul22 Jul09 Jun25     (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 10.00    
  (by ILIAD out of LOST MEMORY by THUNDER GULCH)
THE ITALIAN MAN Jul22 Jun23 Jun10     (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of SHE'S ITALIAN by HAIL THE RUCKUS)
FLASHIN ACES Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May05 Apr11 (brown r)SIMPSON W 124 1.60    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of SWEET DREAMIN by NAJRAN)
ALTITUDE Jun24 Jun17 Jun09 May21 Apr16 (cameron de)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 4.00 51% 1.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of GRATZIE by TWO PUNCH)
FULLOUT FIRE Jul15 Jun25 Oct29 Oct08   (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 8.00    
  (by FIRESPIKE out of OTHLADY by OTHELLO)
COOL DOMINION Jul08 May27 Nov05 Oct08   (coney jason)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NUMAANY out of COOL COMMOTION by KAHUNA JACK)
 
GPR-7   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHY NOT LIVE Jun10 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Sep04 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 4.50    
SILENT MUSKETIER Jun21 Jun28 Mar16 Feb16 Jan10 (tourangeau )GORDON GARFIELD 124 15.00    
SPEEDY DAREDEVIL Jul23 Jun20 May29 Oct10 Sep25 (smith rusty)SIMPSON W 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
OLD DOUBLE DIAMOND Jul09 Jun23 Jun11 Jun04 May21 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
MAS MISCHIEF Jul23 Sep23 Sep18 Sep03 Aug22 (tourangeau russel)ROCHA O 124 10.00 8% 11.80    
JAKE THE GREAT Jun18 Jun03 Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.00 43% 1.40    
DR A TO D Jun24 Jun18 Jun03 Oct28 Oct14 (little be)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.50 27% 2.80    
WHENTHEDOVESCRY Jul22 Jun17 May26 Apr23 Mar02 (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.