Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/1/4)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(3/6/1)-(3/1/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(3/1/2)-(2/6/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(2/6/7)-(3/1/2/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(3/1/2/6)-(8/5/4/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (3/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (3/1/2/6)-(8/5/4/7)-(2/4/1/10/9) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-6   WIN (8/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (8/5/4/7)-(2/4/1/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (2/4/1/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/10/9)-(2/4/1/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/10/9)-(2/4/1/10/9)-(2/4/1/10/9) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICKIN' RIFFS Jul04         (miller blair)TARASENCO P 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHARP A by LIMEHOUSE)
2  MATRIX MECHANICS Jul10         (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 114 20.00    
  (by NONIOS out of QUANTUM MECHANICS by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
3  JUSTLEMMEATEM Jul04         (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.40 60% 0.70    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SIPHON VICE by SIPHON (BRZ))
4  BANKER'S DAY         (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NONIOS out of NOTE TO SELF by NOTEBOOK)
SCR  J L COPPER         (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 8.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
6  OFFLEY SPECIAL         (gaskin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 4.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of YELLING TIMBER by FORESTRY)
 
ASD-2   07/24/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVING SKY Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May29 Nov04 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 10.00 14% 6.10    
2  DUN RIGHT Jun26 Jun07 May23 Apr22 Mar26 (morin shaun)TARASENCO P 122 15.00    
3  TECATE GOLD Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May30 Apr18 (stanford maria)AEBLY FRASER 109 4.00 37% 1.70    
4  RIGGED RIGHT Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May15 May03 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 1.20    
5  MACER THE RACER Jul12 Jun14 May03 Apr04 Mar07 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 5.00    
6  MOURVEDRE Jun25 Jun02 May18 Apr29 Mar07 (hanson debor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
ASD-3   07/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 Sep26 Sep05 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 1.40 16% 5.20    
  (by NONIOS out of RUSSIAN JEWEL by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  ANNAKHOZANA Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May29 Sep20 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 113 15.00 15% 5.60    
  (by KHOZAN out of LOOKS LIKE SIS by MUTAKDDIM)
3  MECHANIC SUSIE Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May30 Sep26 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 1.20 46% 1.20    
  (by NONIOS out of QUANTUM MECHANICS by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
4  MILAMARIA Jul04 Jun19       (husbands tiffany)CARRENO J 119 20.00    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of JUNGLE STORM by STORM BOOT)
5  I AM MILA Jul10 Jun19 May29 May22 Sep27 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 115 12.00    
  (by NONIOS out of I AM PERSNICKETY by MR. GREELEY)
6  DIANE'S WISH Jul11 Jun21 May29 Sep20 Sep05 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 6.00    
  (by NONIOS out of ESTHER'S WISH by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
ASD-4   07/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAYFORPEACE Jun28 Jun07 Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.50    
2  BROCK ON BY May29 May11 Apr23 Feb10 Nov08 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
3  VANGILDER Jun15 Apr29 Apr08 Mar24 Feb24 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 10.00    
SCR  STEAL HOME Jun19 Jun06 May23 Apr18 Mar28 (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 119 12.00    
5  WARRIOR'S MAP Jul03 Jun26 Jun07 May06 Apr13 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 2.50    
6  PRIMO TOUCH Jun28 Nov13 Oct13 Jul30 Jul03 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
7  PLENTIFUL Jun28 Jun14 Aug23 Aug01 Jun21 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 122 20.00 11% 8.10    
 
ASD-5   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST A POSE Jul11 Jun19 May29     (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 112 1.60 16% 5.20    
2  SALTYBUTSWEET         (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 8.00 10% 8.70    
3  BIG BIG ENERGY Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May29 Sep20 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 117 2.50 50% 1.00    
4  JACKIE'S THUNDER Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May29 Sep20 (miller blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 25.00    
5  MILAN OHIO Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May29   (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 123 3.00    
6  BROWNELL BAY Jul17 May29       (miller bl)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  DEBALICIOUS Jun12         (hanson debor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 30.00    
8  NONO MIDNITE Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May29   (johnston donna)BELLE SHAVON 117 40.00    
 
ASD-6   07/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOIL AND TROUBLE Jun21 Jun06 May23 Apr26 Apr05 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 8.00    
2  MONSTRODAMOUS Jun26 Jun07 May29 Sep26 Aug23 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00    
3  LUCKY CHUCKEE Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 Sep26 Sep13 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00    
4  LOOKIN HIGH Jul11 Jun23 Jun09 May27 May06 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
5  GALLANT OAK Jul11 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 Apr10 (danelson gary)AEBLY FRASER 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  MUROMEC Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 Nov19 Nov03 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 20.00    
7  ETHAN'S ANIMAL Jun26 Jun06 May23 Apr11 Feb23 (desjarlai)CHADEE JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MANO DURA Jun17 Jun10 May28 Apr08 Mar26 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 1.80 36% 1.70    
 
ASD-7   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRESH ONE Jul03 Jun05 May10 Apr12 Mar18 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  HARD WEST Jul10 Jun19 Jun06 May23 Feb14 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.50 54% 0.80    
3  CLUB CHAMP Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 May30 Sep27 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 5.00    
4  GOLDENEYED Jul03 Jun12 May29 Sep12 Aug17 (danelson gary)AEBLY FRASER 117 6.00 20% 4.00    
5  TERAWATT Jul05 Jun19 Jun07 May09 Apr25 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 124 20.00    
6  DEANO Jul03 Jun21 Jun06 May23 Aug17 (tourangeau w)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 15.00    
7  DOUGS PAL Jul05 Jun21 Sep24 Sep18 Aug30 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 124 20.00    
8  DROP A CARIBOU Jul03 Jun21 Jun13 May29 Nov26 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 12.00    
9  DANZ A REBEL Jul10 Jun28 Jun21 May30 Sep27 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
10  EURONTHEMONEY Jul13 Jul05 May16 May01 Dec08 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.