Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grande Prairie
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GPR-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
GPR-5   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2)-(1/2/5/3)-(3/6/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GPR-6   WIN (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GPR-7   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(4/7/2)-(2/5/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GPR-8   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(2/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GPR-9   WIN (2/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GPR-3   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY EXPRESSION Jun23 May12 Apr03 Mar21 Mar12 (rycroft cl)APANGO JOSE 124 4.50    
CATWALK QUEEN Jun24 Jun04 Oct08 Sep25 Sep12 (oberholtzer danie)ROCHA O 124 10.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  ANWARA         (sanderson danie)SIMPSON W 124 3.00    
WICKED WOMAN Jul08 Jun25 Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.00    
PUDDLES Jul15 Jun23 May28 Oct09 Aug28 (rycroft clinto)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.00 16% 5.20    
MERMAID KISSES Jul15 Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug01 (tourangeau )GORDON GARFIELD 124 6.00 47% 1.10    
 
GPR-5   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Distaff Series Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSIN MISCHIEF Jun24 Jun11 May27 Oct09 Sep25 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.60 54% 0.80    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of DYNAMIC LADY by DYNAFORMER)
TIMBERLAKE GAGE Jun18 Apr08 Mar29 Mar04 Feb19 (rumsey cor)RIZO ALEXIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRIMAL INSTINCT out of RUBIES N ICE by RUBIANO)
LANDRY KYLE Jun18 Jun11 May28 Sep11 Aug16 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00    
  (by KIPLING out of LE GRAND FROMAGE by WAR)
WAR MAIDEN Jun23 Jun11 Jun04 Sep07 Aug08 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.50    
  (by WARTIME out of LADY COMIC by COMIC STRIP)
SCR  KISSABLE U Jul08 May26 May12 Oct28 Oct07 (rycroft t)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 12.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of CASH SHREDDER by SIGHTSEEING)
SCR  GET BAKK Jul22 May27 May13 Sep30 Sep09 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 12.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of THENDOFTHERAINBOW by AMARUK)
ROTTEN TO THE CORE Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 Nov05 Oct28 (mcconaghie)APANGO JOSE 124 15.00    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of APPLEWITCH by GRINDSTONE)
JUST CLASSY Jun24 Sep25 Aug12 Jul31 Jul23 (smith jackie)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of JUST DETAILS by BELONG TO ME)
 
GPR-6   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J. CRUZ Jul09 Jun24 May26 May06   (coney jason)SIMPSON W 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
INTO BOURBON Jun21 May29 Feb04 Dec11 Oct30 (fogle all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 5.00 27% 2.60    
SPEEDY DAREDEVIL Jun20 May29 Oct10 Sep25 Sep03 (smith rusty)ALLEN LARRIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
IMPERIAL GO BOY Jul09 Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Aug06 (mcconaghie)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00    
SHINBORO Jun20 May29 Oct09 Sep24 Sep17 (weaselhead godf)APANGO JUAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOBBY BUCKETS Jul09 Dec22 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (mcnally kat)GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.00    
SOUTHERN LASS Jul08 Jun23 Nov04 Sep25 Sep10 (robson travis)ROCHA O 119 4.00    
HEY JASPER Feb11 Dec22 Oct30 Sep18 Sep04 (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 6.00    
 
GPR-7   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Marathon Series ($3.2K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COZY BEAR Jun17 May28 Oct10 Oct02 Sep24 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
KVOTHE Jun24 Jun18 Jun10 May06 Oct10 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 4.00    
MEET AT JAKES Jul15 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
FLASH OF GLORY Jun24 Jun16 Sep27 Sep19 Sep05 (bolin jack)SIMPSON W 124 12.00 16% 5.40    
DOC ROSS Jul09 Jun17 May28 Oct09 Oct02 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00    
EVER TRUE Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May28 Nov04 (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 8.00 26% 2.80    
ANELLO Jul12 Jul03 Jun13 Oct09 Sep25 (kinch bill)APANGO JOSE 124 3.00    
 
GPR-8   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPICHULO Jul09 Jun25       (mcconaghie shawn)ROCHA O 124 4.00    
SOUL OBSESSION Jun24 Jun11 May28 Sep24 Sep11 (smith rusty)APANGO JUAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
STUMPANATOR Oct08 Oct02 Sep24 Sep10 Sep04 (olsen ron)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 15.00    
CHRISTINE'S JACK Jul09 Jun10 May28 Feb21 Feb11 (smith jackie)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50 71% 0.40    
MAS MISCHIEF Sep23 Sep18 Sep03 Aug22 Aug01 (tourangeau r)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 12.00    
DRAW THE FOUL Jun03 May21 Mar19 Mar04 Feb19 (smith jacki)GORDON GARFIELD 124 6.00    
BLUE JEANS N BEER Jul09 Jun10 May28 Oct10 Sep25 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRAY GEM Jun25 Jun03 May21 Oct10 Sep25 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50    
 
GPR-9   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP DOC Sep10 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.00    
FAST EH Jul08 May12 May06 Oct29 Oct07 (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
SPEIGHTSFORCE Jul09 Oct10 Sep24 Sep11 Sep04 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 6.00    
MCKENZIE RED Jul09 Sep11 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 (rycroft clinton)SIMPSON W 124 2.50    
KALUGA BOB         (gwilliam bob)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 15.00 30% 2.40    
EQUIVOCATOR Oct01 Sep23 Sep10 Aug28 Aug21 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
YNOTGIVEITAGO Jul09 Jun23 Aug21 Aug14 Jul31 (mcnally k)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00    
MINIMUM NOISE Jul16         (mccracken memory)BUGEAUD L 124 15.00 8% 11.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.