Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - May 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (5/9/10/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/10/4/7)-(5/9/10/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/10/4/7)-(4/1/3)-(4/7/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(4/7/2/5)-(8/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (4/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/5)-(8/4/7)-(5/7/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/7)-(8/4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7)-(5/7/2/6)-(8/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-5   WIN (5/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/6)-(8/7/6)-(1/7/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-6   WIN (8/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/6)-(8/7/6/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6)-(1/7/3/4)-(12/9/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/4)-(12/9/3)-(7/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (12/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/9/3)-(12/9/3/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   05/05/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIMMI QUANDO Apr16 Mar26 Mar04 Jan25 Aug01 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 20.00    
SCR  STEELE MONEY Apr16 Mar03 Dec17 Nov20 Oct29 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 118 20.00    
3  UNORTHODOX Feb20 Dec19 Nov14 Oct28 Oct07 (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 10.00    
4  STIMULUS MAKER Feb12 Jan27 Jan08 Dec02 Nov04 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 12.00 10% 9.30    
5  READY REWARD Oct12 Sep14 Sep02 Aug24 Jul31 (dowling w)CARRASCO R 126 8.00 32% 2.20    
6  NICKY BEAR Dec30 Nov07 Oct22 Sep09 Aug15 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
7  SCOTTY BROWN Feb18 Aug20 Jul30 Jul11 May29 (cibelli jan)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 10.00 9% 10.20    
8  DOWN COLD Apr20 Mar19 Jan14 Nov25 Nov07 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00    
9  THE ADDISON POUR Apr20 Feb05 Jun12 Apr30 Mar25 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 6.00 12% 7.30    
10  SEVILLE ROW Nov14 Oct22 Sep17 Jul31 Jul08 (stettinius suza)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
11  OROCOVIX Apr29 Apr16 Mar31 Mar24 Mar16 (sanchez-salomo)HIRALDO JOHN 114 30.00    
12  SIR TERRE Feb15 Jan27 Nov25 Nov07 Oct21 (farrior antho)KARAMANOS A 126 4.50    
 
LRL-2   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMITY ROAD Mar28 Mar11 Jul30 Jul04 Jun26 (santaella-ca)HERNANDEZ ANDY 126 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  ALOTTACENTS Feb19 Feb12 Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 118 8.00    
3  SUPERSTITIEUX Apr06 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 12.00 14% 6.10    
4  KENNER Jul06 Jun25 Jun07 May09 Mar29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 0.80 42% 1.40    
5  MY MAMBA Oct27 Oct02 Sep06 Aug09 Jul18 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 10.00    
6  TWICE GOLD Apr01 Mar26 Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 5.00    
 
LRL-3   05/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOW MILEAGE         (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 4.50    
  (by MINESHAFT out of CHABESO by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  DIVINE MAGIC         (salzman timothy)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of IMAGISTIC by DEPUTY MINISTER)
3  BUCKIN' LUCKY         (robb j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of RIMANISEMPREFORTE by ESKENDEREYA)
4  BUCKIN' GREAT         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of NASEEM by POINT GIVEN)
5  SHE'S FANTASTIC         (gonzalez clau)ALVELO C 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIBLICAL out of MILA JANE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
6  FAMILY GAL         (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 6.00    
  (by BIBLICAL out of RUNS IN THE FAMILY by CEE'S TIZZY)
7  CALL THE QUESTION         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 3.50 18% 4.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAGICIAN'SQUESTION by STREET MAGICIAN)
 
LRL-4   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYMNAST Apr16 Mar26 Mar02 Feb11   (cash l)KARAMANOS A 117 4.00    
1A  QUEEN TAPITURE Apr06 Feb23 Feb09 Jan18 Dec29 (cash l)CRUZ ANGEL 121 4.00 ★    
2  THENCOMEMORNING Apr13 Mar19 Feb11 Jan22 Dec11 (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 10.00    
3  ROWSIE EXPRESS Mar03 Jan07 Dec03 Nov07 Oct26 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00    
4  ONE LAS OLAS Mar19 Feb05 Jan20 Nov19 Oct23 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 5.00 31% 2.20    
5  DON'T TELL DEREN Apr13 Apr06 Mar17 Feb20 Jan08 (robb j)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.00 ★    
SCR  OUT OF LUCK Apr16 Mar24 Mar03     (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 15.00    
7  JACKSON'S DIXIE Dec29         (howard c)ARAUJO DENIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BOSSYNESS Apr16 Mar31 Mar11 Jan28 Jan07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
LRL-5   05/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZYRAMID Sep23 Sep02 Jul29     (crook-dem)CARRASCO R 123 2.50    
2  REDEEM EDDIE Mar25 Feb13 Jan14 Dec13 Oct22 (simoff andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPEAK UNITY Apr16 Feb26 Jan29 Jan14 Dec31 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
4  BOMBOLONI Jan26 Jan06 Dec17 Nov27 Oct30 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00    
5  PSYCHEDELIC SHACK Mar12 Feb10 Jan22 Nov25 Sep30 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 36% 1.80    
6  BOURBON CURRENCY Jan11 Dec21 Dec06 Nov04 Oct11 (wolfe jr)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  STRIKE ME DOWN Mar20 Dec21 Nov13 Oct07 Sep06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ARISTOCAT Apr13 Mar04 Feb25 Feb04 Jan16 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
SCR  PREMIERE CHOICE Oct09 Aug21 Jul15 Jun17   (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 4.50    
 
LRL-6   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHING STARS Mar24 Mar11 Feb10     (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 120 20.00    
2  HE'S PURE TALENT Apr14 Feb26 Jan27     (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
3  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Apr06 Mar31 Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 30.00 ★    
4  SAGE RUNNER Oct28         (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
SCR  MR. HOUGHTON Apr14 Feb26       (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 124 6.00    
6  PORCH SWING Apr06 Mar19 Aug17     (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
7  VAX A NATION Mar31 Mar10 Feb11 Jan21 Dec09 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
8  DELEGATED Apr14 Feb11 Jun18     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
9  TEMPESTIVO Apr13         (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 15.00 ★    
10  OCCASIONAL MOON Mar31 Feb26 Aug10 Jul18   (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 124 10.00    
 
LRL-7   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE HATE ME Apr20 Mar28 Mar15 Feb28 Feb13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  FLAT LUCKY Apr04 Nov05 Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50    
2  SHOOT THEMESSENGER Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 Feb18 (mohan r)HIRALDO JOHN 119 15.00    
3  ARISTOCRATIC Apr20 Mar25 Mar04 Jan20 Dec17 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 6.00 9% 10.10    
4  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Mar26 Mar07 Feb12 Jan28 Jan03 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BACKATYA Apr20 Mar26 Mar03 Feb06 Dec29 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
SCR  BOURBON AND ICE Apr16 Aug20 Aug10 Jul30 Jul03 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 10.00    
7  SATCHEL DE RITCHES Apr11 Mar29 Mar08 Feb14 Jan16 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 1.60 16% 5.40    
SCR  RAHMER Apr16 Feb20 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 8.00    
 
LRL-8   05/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WILLOW WOOD Feb15 Jan21 Dec24 Nov18 Oct23 (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
2  CROSSLAND Apr13 Feb25 Feb05 Jan27 Nov11 (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00    
3  WHO'S COUNTING Oct15 Aug31 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26 (mcdermott )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  FREE SQUARE Mar26 Mar05 Feb18 Feb05 Jan06 (gaudet lacey)NO RIDER 123 5.00    
5  SPIRITUAL GHOST Jan16 Jan06 Dec18 Nov24 Nov11 (buckley r)CARRASCO R 123 30.00    
SCR  WHAT DOES IT TAKE Apr13 Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 Apr21 (magee kier)RIVERA R 116 15.00    
SCR  OMO DADA Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 Dec10   (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 115 8.00    
8  MINT GAME Nov07 Oct22 Sep17 Aug24 Aug17 (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 ★    
9  JARDANI Apr13 Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 26% 2.90    
10  BENNY HAVENS Oct22 Sep25 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 ★    
11  JONES FALLS Jan22 Jan07 Nov13     (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 115 30.00    
12  FRIGHTLAND Apr13 Mar12 Feb05 Jan06 Dec11 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
13  STARDUST ZIGGY Mar25 Mar10 Feb11 Jan14 Dec30 (smith d)CRUZ ANGEL 115 20.00    
14  REEL WELL Oct29 May26       (mcdermott sean)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
SCR  MR JEFFERSON Apr13 Mar12 Jan14 Dec18 Jul08 (trombetta michael )NO RIDER 126 15.00    
16  LACCO AMENO Jul27 Jul13 Jun19 Jun03 May13 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00    
 
LRL-9   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEER ELEMENT Jan21 Nov22 Oct21 Sep17   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 12.00 10% 9.40    
2  DART Apr15 Mar25 Mar03 Feb03 Jan14 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
3  ALVY Mar25 Mar10 Nov21     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 15.00    
4  SIR SMOAK Apr29 Apr02 Mar25 Mar12 Mar04 (serey m)BRICENO GREGOR 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
5  THTWASTHENTHISISNW Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Feb25 Feb11 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50    
6  BORUFF Apr16 Mar05 Jan27 Oct28 Sep24 (vukelic ro)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 20.00    
7  B WEST Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 (de hor)RIVERA R 114 1.00 24% 3.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.