Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Wednesday - May 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/3/9/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/3/9/2/7)-(1/6/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-2   WIN (1/3/9/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/2/7)-(1/3/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/2/7)-(1/3/9/2/7)-(1/3/9/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/9/2/7)-(1/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/2/7)-(1/6/3)-(2/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-3   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-4   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(5/4/2/7)-(7/2/1/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-5   WIN (5/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/7)-(7/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/7)-(7/2/1/3)-(10/5/9/6/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-6   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(10/5/9/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/3)-(10/5/9/6/3)-(1/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PRX-7   WIN (10/5/9/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/9/6/3)-(10/5/9/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/9/6/3)-(10/5/9/6/3)-(10/5/9/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/9/6/3)-(1/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (10/5/9/6/3)-(1/5)-(8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PRX-8   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(8/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(8/9)-(8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRX-9   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/9)-(8/9/6/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/9)-(8/9/6/3/7)-(8/9/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9)-(8/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
PRX-10   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/9)-(8/5/9/13/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/9)-(8/5/9/13/1)-(8/5/9/13/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   05/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH POLE Mar22 Feb12 Feb02 Dec29 Dec17 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
RUNNIN JOKE Apr18 Mar13 Mar06 Feb14 Dec06 (guerrero gu)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
SEMPER FIDELIS Apr17 Mar03 Jan10 Dec03 Nov16 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 123 2.50 15% 5.60    
DON'T BLAME FREDDY Mar17 Jan11 Dec07 Nov14 Oct04 (velazq)GONZALEZ JR 118 6.00    
SHIFTINGGEARS Apr05 Mar13 Jan31     (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 4.00 24% 3.10    
SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Apr18 Mar27 Feb20 Jan30 Jan11 (santaella-)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
CABAR SUL Jan12 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Sep17 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 8.00    
 
PRX-2   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Apr19 Apr11 Mar18 Feb12 Jan27 (lake scott )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
FULL CONTACT Apr11 Mar14 Feb01 Jan02 Dec14 (soto c)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
STEVIE T Apr19 Apr11 Mar29 Mar08 Feb21 (diaz jorge)VIVES SOFIA 116 6.00 23% 3.30    
FREDDYNESS Apr02 Mar12 Mar05 Feb11 Jan30 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50    
LYFE IS SIMPLE Apr11 Jan23 Dec07 Nov14 Oct25 (king clarence)GUERERE ANGEL 118 12.00    
KING SWANSBORO Apr18 Apr03 Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 15.00    
WISPERING SPRINGS Mar15 Feb22 Jan23 Dec13 Nov16 (ashton)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SIR CUPID Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 123 4.50    
STRAWBERRY CONE Apr25 Mar14 Jan17 Nov02 Oct05 (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 123 8.00 9% 10.40    
 
PRX-3   05/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIELD LETTERS Apr26 Mar17 Mar01 Feb07 Jan30 (aristone philip)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.50 47% 1.10    
YOURINDENIAL Apr26 Mar20 Mar13 Feb14 Jan25 (nicholson junio)RUIZ ELISEO 116 20.00    
SUGAR STREAK Apr18 Apr05 Mar13 Feb27 Feb07 (hogan william)PEREZ M 123 8.00 12% 7.60    
MANI PEDI Apr10 Mar13 Feb07 Jan25 Dec20 (castillo mic)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 8.00    
ALWAYS A QUEEN Mar29 Feb22 Jan15 Dec07 Nov15 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.60    
JUST STAY HOME Apr18 Apr10 Mar29 Mar13 Feb27 (ramirez silv)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.50 15% 5.90    
HEY DEWZPOTS Apr10 Mar28 Oct31 Sep28 Aug30 (castillo mich)GUERERE ANGEL 123 10.00    
 
PRX-4   05/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALK WITH ME Mar28         (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of PLAY WITH ME by BIG SPLASH)
TATUM Mar28 Feb21 Feb07 Jul30 Jul09 (velazquez dan)OCASIO M 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CROON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
AZ SHARP         (hendriks m)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of TIME TO ENJOY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
DESANTIS Mar28 Mar06 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.50    
  (by PALACE out of CLASSE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
NOT NORMAL Aug13         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SILK PURSE by ABAGINONE)
FINALLY CAPTURED Mar28 Feb07       (lake a)PENNINGTON F 121 15.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of MORE THAN A PARTY by MORE THAN READY)
SMILIN JACK         (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of GENUINE TREASURE by PRIVATE TREASURER)
 
PRX-5   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GRAYT PUMPKIN Apr17 Dec06 Nov09 Oct20 Sep22 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00    
MR LAOBAN         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00 8% 12.20    
KAIQUE Feb21 Feb07 Jan03     (linder jr)VIVES SOFIA 114 12.00    
ROYAL MOVER Aug25 Jul23 Jun04     (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 121 5.00 16% 5.40    
GO EAST Feb15 Jan24 Dec06 Nov16   (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  BOX N BEN Apr14 Mar11 Aug06 Jul01   (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00    
PARADISE VALLEY         (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 121 6.00 8% 12.20    
FLORIANOPOLIS Apr19         (mosco robert)OCASIO M 121 10.00    
CARRICKMACROSS         (dotolo david)CASTILLO A 121 15.00    
 
PRX-6   05/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGELUS WARRIOR Apr04 Mar21 Jan10 Dec13 Nov05 (pattershall )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 12.00 14% 6.10    
WIZARD SERRAT Apr12 Mar28 Feb28 Feb13 Jan18 (velazq)GONZALEZ JR 123 4.50 19% 4.30    
SUPER DUDE Apr19 Mar28 Jan02 Nov30 Nov22 (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00 10% 9.20    
LONG TERM THINKING Apr12 Jan31 Jan11 Dec21 Nov28 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
SCR  WILLY MC Apr17 Mar20 Feb14 Feb01 Jan02 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 123 8.00    
FRENCH TOAST Apr04 Feb14 Jan16 Dec20 Nov30 (bouchard leslye)RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00    
ABUELO NUNO Apr11 Mar14 Feb14 Feb01 Jan03 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
YES SIR COLONEL Mar13 Feb17 Jan24 Jan09 Nov23 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 4.00    
 
PRX-7   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T'WAS THE NIGHT Apr17 Mar28 Feb28 Feb08 Jan24 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00    
  (by JUMP START out of CHRISTMAS EVE by EXCHANGE RATE)
BEAR OR BULL         (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of CORPORATE QUEEN by COLONEL JOHN)
SEPARATE WAYS Apr17         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MASTERY out of GIDDY UP by HIGH COTTON)
SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE         (preciado guadalu)CASTILLO A 121 8.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of BREE ZEE LEE by SKY MESA)
CAPITAL CONQUEST Apr17 Mar20 Mar06 Jan02 Dec06 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SHE CRAVES CAPITAL by SHARP HUMOR)
RABBIT         (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 121 5.00 7% 13.10    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of LUCABUNNY by SILVER TRAIN)
SCR  KEEN LOOKIN         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 121 6.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of HUMBLE STREET by STREET SENSE)
UPFOR PAROLE Apr17 Mar21 Feb01 Jan12 Nov23 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 121 8.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BILLYGETS ARRESTED by LOUIS QUATORZE)
SPIRIT SKY Apr17         (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00 21% 3.70    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of BLAME DIXIE by BLAME)
10  IF WE GET LUCKY         (kravets bruce )PENNINGTON F 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of MAJESTIC FORESTRY by FORESTRY)
 
PRX-8   05/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY DAY Mar25 Mar07 Feb13 Jan17 Jan03 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
DALTON Apr25 Mar20 Feb27 Jan31 Jan09 (bouchard leslye)RUIZ ELISEO 116 12.00    
SCR  AWESOME LAUNCH Dec16 Nov23 Nov01 Oct14 Sep27 (guerrero c)TORRES A 118 20.00    
HOLDTHEFLIGHT Mar28 Mar01 Jan30 Dec14 Oct10 (noble jame)SANCHEZ J 123 1.80    
EGO MAN Apr05 Mar20 Feb13 Jan09 Dec19 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 6.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  CELTIC TREASURE Mar28 Mar13 Feb22 Dec03 Nov03 (guerrero melecio)CASTILLO A 123 12.00    
TOUGH TICKETS Apr11 Mar07 Feb25 Jan04 Nov23 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 5.00    
COMMISSIONER G Apr17 Apr04 Mar28 Feb20 Feb13 (smith everton)OCASIO M 123 10.00    
 
PRX-9   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALIANT MAJESTY Apr12 Mar27 Feb26 Jan31 Nov09 (betancourt el)RANGEL JOEZER 123 12.00    
ONTHISHARVESTMOON Apr12 Jul12 Jun11 May23 May02 (crook-demasi )SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00    
SUNDRIA Apr12 Feb20       (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 123 8.00    
FILTERED LIGHT Feb10 Jan21 Dec12 Oct26   (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00    
ARGENTINA GIRL Apr22 Mar27 Feb21 Dec20 Nov28 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 123 6.00    
DREAM CHASER Mar30 Mar06 Feb08 Jan04 Dec06 (reid robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00    
RUBY FOO Mar10 Dec31 Dec04 Oct24   (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00    
MS. BUCCHERO Mar26 Mar11       (alvarado diane)CEDENO CAROL 118 2.00 67% 0.50    
CHRONOLOGY Mar27 Feb27 Feb13 Jan18 Nov23 (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 6.00 8% 10.80    
10  HOP ON ME Apr12 Apr03 Mar15 Feb06 Jan04 (lake a)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 8.00    
 
PRX-10   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YELOMA Mar07 Oct08 Aug28 Jul31   (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 126 15.00    
PEACEMON Mar22 Mar15 Feb15 Feb07 Apr22 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 126 20.00    
ORB'S PARTY GIRL Feb07 Jan09 Oct26 Oct11 Sep21 (soto c)RUIZ ELISEO 119 20.00    
BIONIC KAT Apr19 Apr04 Mar07 Feb21   (padilla hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00    
UPTOWN CHARLOTTE Apr04 Mar21       (cole)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 4.50    
SCR  MAGNOLIA ROAD Feb15 Jan17 Nov16 Nov01 Oct25 (wyner harold)SILVERA RUBEN 126 5.00    
NO SUGAR PLEASE Nov29 Sep24       (smith everton)GILPIN SEAN 120 12.00    
BET ON DRAMA Apr05 Mar22 Mar07 Feb22 Feb14 (flores-coba fel)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.00 71% 0.40    
SCARLET'S SONG Mar07 Feb14       (aro c)ADORNO ABNER 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  TWYLA Feb22 Jan24 Jan09 Dec14 Nov21 (carango antho)RIVERA D 126 15.00    
11  LUCKY BREEZE Apr26 Apr10 Mar09 Jan24 Dec20 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 6.00    
12  DONS LAST CALL Apr05 Mar21 Feb21     (dandy j)MOYA F 120 12.00    
13  ONLY GIRL Apr17 Apr05 Mar22 Feb22 Feb07 (hogan j)RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.