Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - April 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/6)-(2/3/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(7/3)-(6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
IND-2   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/3)-(6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(6/4)-(2/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
IND-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/4)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/6)-(7/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
IND-4   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(7/5)-(2/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
IND-5   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/2/3/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/2/3/10)-(7/5/2/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(2/3/5)-(8/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
IND-6   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(8/5)-(1/9/11/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-7   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5)-(8/5/2/7)-(8/5/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/5)-(1/9/11/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/5)-(1/9/11/3)-(9/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
IND-8   WIN (1/9/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/11/3)-(1/9/11/12/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/11/3)-(1/9/11/12/3)-(1/9/11/12/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/11/3)-(9/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
IND-9   WIN (9/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/7)-(9/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (9/7)-(9/7/1)-(9/7/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILMISS SASSYPANTS Dec14 Nov21 Nov14 Oct26 Oct03 (rechy ramon)RAMOS D 124 4.50 7% 12.80    
PUMPITUPJUSTICE Nov17 Oct31 Oct05 Sep12 Aug22 (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 120 3.00 51% 0.90    
MYGALJUSTICE Oct10 Oct03 Sep09 Aug22 Aug09 (sanchez em)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 5.00 18% 4.50    
IMA N H LADY CAT Nov03 Sep27 Sep06 Aug06 Jul18 (hayes michael )HISBY RONALD 124 8.00    
FAR'S LAST ONE Feb18 Jan26 Jan01 Nov23 Sep28 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
NOW HERES THE PLAN Feb16 Jan18       (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 110 2.50    
SCR  NUTHER BEE Feb08 Jan20 Dec30 Dec01 Nov21 (livers charli)COURT J 124 6.00    
 
IND-2   04/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT J J Mar13 Feb09 Jan07 Nov17 Oct13 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 4.50    
SCR  CLEARING WAIVERS Mar24 Mar10 May18 May07 Apr27 (hammond kim)MOJICA O 119 5.00 12% 7.40    
CACAHUETE Dec14 Nov08 Sep30 Sep07 Aug24 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 119 3.00 25% 3.10    
THAT KHENNY Mar16 Feb17 Jan14 Dec18 Nov16 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
UNBRIDLED BEAST Mar09 Dec29 Dec14 Oct20 Sep29 (eggleston ti)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00    
UPHOLD Nov15 Aug17 Aug03 Jul14 May24 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 8.00    
HAPPY CAMPER Mar31 Feb23 Jan14 Dec14 Nov19 (short travis)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
IND-3   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED FROST Mar31 Dec07 Oct26 Sep14 Aug10 (greenhill je)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 10.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SPOKEN NOT BROKEN by BROKEN VOW)
ABSCONDER         (medina tomas)RAMOS D 124 15.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of ON THE BEACH by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SWEET ALABAMA         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BAMA BELLE by THE NAME'S JIMMY)
PERFECTION SAVER Jan19 Nov16       (stewart dallas)PARKER L 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
MY BUTTERFLY Jun25         (catalano m)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of RUTLEDGE BALLADO by SAINT BALLADO)
WHO RUNS THE WORLD Feb15         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LUCY N ETHEL by DURING)
MAGIC BEAUTY Mar16 Aug10 Aug02 Jul16 Jun09 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MAGIC BELLE by GOLD CASE)
 
IND-4   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($27.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPRESSED ENERGY Nov23 Nov11 Oct29 Oct12 Sep28 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 15.00    
VARTON Jan12 Dec15 Oct12 Sep19 Aug29 (klopp randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  RICHIES GREAT GIRL Mar16 Feb18 Jan12 Dec09 Oct16 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
SUNNY ISLE BEACH Dec18 Nov16 Nov06 Sep21 Jul01 (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 122 1.20    
MIMAJOON Mar16 Feb16 Jan09 Dec01 Jan08 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 20.00    
SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Mar31 Jan29 Jan01 Nov25 Nov06 (shirer a)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
MISS BETTE LUTE Oct04 Aug29 Jul11 Jun23 Jun01 (paquett)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
 
IND-5   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY IMAGE         (luce nichole)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of LUCE MIA by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
SECOND TO NO ONE Nov17         (gorham m)PEREZ E 123 6.00    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of WHAT A CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
ZAPPINIT Aug04         (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 123 10.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of ZAPNOW by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  MAMA'S BOY         (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 20.00    
  (by PRAYER FOR RELIEF out of FAVORITE SHOW by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
BACKYARD JUSTICE Nov17 Oct29 Sep26 Sep13   (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of BREEZY POINTESS by MALIBU MOON)
NINE POINTER Nov21 Nov08 Oct29     (short ricky )RAMOS D 123 10.00    
  (by ELNAAWI out of MISS CHATTY CAT by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
SIR RONALDO Jul21 Jul07 Jun22     (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 123 3.50 54% 0.90    
  (by SKYLORD out of LITTLE SOMETHIN by GREATNESS)
SCENIC JUSTICE Nov08 Oct17 Sep21 Sep07 Aug23 (granitz )RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of YOU BE READY by MORE THAN READY)
ALL READY Oct29 Aug23 Aug04     (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 123 15.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  FRUITCAKE Sep07 Aug23       (lauer micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 12.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of CITRUS MISS by LIMEHOUSE)
 
IND-6   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUNSIGN Apr07 Mar23 Feb26 Feb04   (lauer michael)SANJUR SANTO 124 4.00 5% 17.30    
PRINCE SHIM Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 Sep20 Sep06 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 1.80 41% 1.40    
WHERE'S MOE Nov02 Oct13 Sep19 Aug24 Aug15 (nance mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 3.50 28% 2.60    
ZEN JOURNEY Jul19         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00    
SEMINOLE AUSTIN         (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
JACK D Nov29 Nov17 Sep28     (bland greg)HISBY RONALD 124 30.00    
MIKIE O'PRADO Sep29 Sep12 Aug17 Jul11   (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 111 20.00    
INEEDRELIEF Aug17 Jul06       (perez natasha)LEAHEY HANNAH 110 30.00    
PORKYISMYNAME Aug04 Jul06       (perez natasha)PEREZ E 117 20.00    
10  SAN RONIN Nov17 Oct29 Oct06 Sep26 Sep13 (duran antoni)RAMOS D 117 15.00    
 
IND-7   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3 F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY GRANCY         (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of FASIG GIRL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
TIZZY JUSTICE Nov10 Oct05 Sep12 Aug22   (medina tomas)PARKER L 120 4.50    
  (by LANTANA MOB out of KID JUSTICE by STORM AND A HALF)
BICARB BETTY Mar26 Feb26 Dec31 Dec09 Nov10 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 30.00    
  (by PRAYER FOR RELIEF out of FREAKIN AMAZING by ZENSATIONAL)
MEAN ELENITA Nov17 Oct31 Oct17 Oct05 Sep28 (garcia is)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
  (by ELNAAWI out of LUCY by AMERICAN LION)
E Z AVENUE         (eggleston ti)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by ELNAAWI out of WEDDING PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
UNBRIDLED DEVINE         (west m)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED SPRING out of PROPHESY by PULPIT)
LUCKY LINDA W         (nance w)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00    
  (by SKY FIRE out of YORK AVENUE by LEMON DROP KID)
FOREVER NOTED Nov17         (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of MORO'S DELIGHT by MORO ORO)
SCR  TIZ BAYOU         (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of JENNYS ROYALPURPLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
10  DISHIN' IT OUT Nov17 Nov10 Oct31 Oct19 Oct05 (patrick g)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of COLD DISH by ICE BOX)
11  SHANGHAI EXPRESS         (west m)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of BANBURY FAIRE by BANBURY CROSS)
12  LITTLEBITOFLASH         (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 120 8.00    
  (by GLASNOST out of FLASHY PHILLY by MAVERICK)
13  GIRLS ARE TUFFER Nov23         (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of ICEY ENERGY by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
SCR  HERE KITTY KITTY         (gorham )DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
  (by CSABA out of SHIELD by RAHY)
 
IND-8   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE RAYDAR Nov16 Oct27 Aug25 Jun23 Jun01 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
OH SO SOCIAL Nov16 Sep07 Aug29 Aug17   (duran antonio)PARKER L 118 30.00    
J'S NAUGHTY BOY Nov09 Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 Jul09 (davis d)PRESCOTT R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
INDIGO RICH Apr01 Feb24 Jan28 Nov23 Oct24 (riley do)RODRIGUEZ A 117 20.00    
SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN Dec28 Nov26 Oct31 Oct10   (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50    
KILLER HOTROD Nov09 Oct29 Oct12 Sep09 Aug17 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 6.00    
BASSCOAT Nov23 Nov03 Oct12 Sep12 Aug25 (lauer michae)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
TAILLIGHTS Nov16 Oct18 Oct05 Sep07 Aug08 (lauer mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00    
FOR MAMA Jun21 Jun01 May11 Apr20   (greenhill je)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
10  DREAM TRAVELER Feb24 Dec09 Nov22 Oct31 Aug22 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00    
11  CORONA GRANDE Nov14 Oct29 Oct17 Oct06   (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 115 10.00 8% 11.30    
12  TAPADERA Jun07 May16 Apr20     (klopp randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 8.00    
 
IND-9   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIVI BRASS Mar30 Oct26 Oct11 Sep16   (bahena ismael)MOJICA O 120 1.80    
WOO WOO GIRL Nov23 Nov10 Oct27 Oct05 Sep21 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 114 30.00    
SCRAPE Dec14 May24 May04     (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00    
PINK ROBE Jan26 Dec29 Dec07 Nov02   (short ricky )RAMOS D 120 15.00    
STRONG DEMAND Aug22 Jul12 Jun09 May12   (nance jonath)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00    
SCR  LITTLE JUDY B Mar10         (kinmon keith)ELLIOTT JANE 124 10.00 8% 11.50    
AMORADA Apr18 Jan06 Dec28 Dec02 Nov10 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 124 5.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  CHICAGO TYPHOON Apr13 Mar30       (morey w)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
ONTOTHENEXT Apr06 Mar18 Feb18 Jan26 Jan11 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 23% 3.30    
10  QUIET PRETTY KITTY Mar04 Feb09 Dec15     (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.