Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/5)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/4/1)-(6/3/2/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
GP-3   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
GP-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1/5/2)-(4/6/1/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(9/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-5   WIN (9/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/8)-(9/3/8/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/8)-(9/3/8/1/11)-(9/3/8/1/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/3/8)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
GP-6   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/4/8/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/4/8/5)-(1/4/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(7/4/8/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-7   WIN (7/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/5)-(7/4/8/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/5)-(7/4/8/5/3)-(7/4/8/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/8/5)-(2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/4/6)-(2/7/5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(3/10/9/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-9   WIN (3/10/9/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/9/1/7)-(3/10/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/9/1/7)-(3/10/9/1/7)-(3/10/9/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   03/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK QUICK WHIT Jan27 Jan06 Nov26     (trombetta mi)ZAYAS J 118 8.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
SCR  ROLLERCOASTER MAN Feb22 Feb05 Jan18 Aug28 Jul31 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 118 20.00 6% 16.90    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of BOP SHE BOP by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  FORTHELOVEOFART Feb17 Jan13 Nov12 Oct07   (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 ★    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of PETUNIA FACE by CONGRATS)
4  ENSIGN SKIP Oct02 Sep03 Aug13 Jul15   (cazares laur)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 12.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of MADAMA BUTTERFLY by GRAND SLAM)
5  HEATHGUARD Feb18         (lerman s)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 11% 8.00    
  (by SAXON WARRIOR out of EVIDENTLY by SMART STRIKE)
6  FOR THE CHIEF Feb18 Jan19 Dec21 Oct30 Oct08 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of GREELEY'S GIRL by MR. GREELEY)
7  AARON Jul03         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of FLEET DUDE by FIRST DUDE)
8  VICTORIA'S CHIEF Feb17 Jan19 Oct30 Oct02   (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of VICTORY TO VICTORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
GP-2   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTY FLASH Feb09 Jan14 Dec15 Nov05 Oct16 (acker d)SUTHERLAND C 120 20.00 ★    
2  QUITE READY Feb11 Jan19 Dec16 Nov13 Sep25 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 13% 6.40    
3  ADIOS ASHER Mar02 Jan22 Nov26 Aug23 Aug04 (winebaugh cher)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 15% 5.50    
4  BIG AND CLASSY Feb01 Aug20 Jul17 May29 May13 (fawkes dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 ★    
5  TORETTO Mar02 Jan21 Jan05 Dec23 Dec02 (garoffalo jose)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
6  MONFORTE         (gracida rube)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
7  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Feb18 Jan08 Nov26 Apr24 Mar26 (young jennifer )JARAMILLO E 120 10.00    
 
GP-3   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR LA DOLCE VITA Feb17 Jan27 Dec16     (sano antonio)RIOS M 125 20.00    
2  APPLE SAUCY Feb18 Jan26       (acker d)PANICI LUCA 118 30.00    
3  BLUEBERRY QUEEN Jan13         (servis c)JARAMILLO E 125 20.00    
4  MARTHAMAYWHOVIER Feb25 Jan07 Dec22 Sep30 Aug28 (palmer nichola)REYES LEONEL 125 6.00    
5  GOOD TALK         (antonucci je)MORELOS E 125 3.00 ★    
6  MURDER HORNET Feb18 Dec09       (dunslow m)WILSON JAYNE 125 15.00    
7  INTERESTING GEM Jan20 Dec15 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 (sierra ruben)SUTHERLAND C 125 20.00    
8  MACASSA Jan25 Dec21 Nov06     (ritvo p)LEON SONNY 118 5.00 ★    
9  ALGARCA Mar02 Feb18       (amaya gu)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 118 20.00    
10  KINDNESS IS FREE Feb24 Feb02 Jan06 Dec28 Oct07 (silvestri r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50    
11  MY INSANITY Jan14 Dec15 Nov11 Sep16   (williams matthe)PEREZ EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  HEADING WEST Feb24 Jan22 Dec18     (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  METAXA GRANDE Feb25 May20 Mar06     (manning denni)MORALES ANGEL 118 12.00    
SCR  ALWAYS CONNECTED Feb25 Feb04 Jan07 Dec11 Oct21 (weaver georg)ZAYAS J 125 1.60 65% 0.50    
SCR  SPONGER Feb25 Feb12 Jan06 Dec15   (orseno)VASQUEZ ANGEL 125 4.50    
SCR  LOVE UNLIMITED Feb25 Feb04 Jan21 Dec23 Sep03 (ochoa ernesto)SUTHERLAND C 125 8.00 ★    
 
GP-4   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($35K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC AMSTER Feb25 Jan28 Aug23 Jul30 Jul17 (antonucci )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 8% 11.60    
2  LIVING WATER Mar03 Jan21 Dec17 Nov06 Sep17 (dobles elizabe)REYES LEONEL 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  KING'S OVATION Feb02 Nov23 Apr20 Mar05   (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
4  COLLABORATE Mar04 Jan05 Nov12 Sep04 Apr02 (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 120 1.20 53% 0.90    
5  YES I'M A BEAST Oct02 Sep09 Jul02 Jun10 May12 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 ★    
6  PICKING UP PENNIES Jan28 Jan07 Oct01 Jul09 Apr30 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 3.00 10% 8.80    
 
GP-5   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACE THE MUSIC         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★    
2  HITS DIFFERENT         (sweezey ke)ZAYAS J 118 12.00    
3  OUR FORTUNE COOKIE Feb15         (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  MISS BIA Feb15         (catanese joseph)PANICI LUCA 118 30.00    
5  CHILLY CHOCOLATE Jan22         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
6  CHAINA         (sweezey kent)PEREZ EDGAR 118 10.00    
7  STARSHIP SUNRISE Jan27 Nov11 Oct21     (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
8  FOREVER UNCAPTURED Feb15 Jan18 Nov25     (garoffalo jose)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 9% 10.40    
9  MEETMEATTHEBEACH Feb15         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
10  DAN'S CANDI GIRL         (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00    
11  KRABI         (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★    
12  DANDELION Feb18 Sep23 Aug10 Jul19   (danner kelsey)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00    
13  MIGHTY GIN GIN         (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
GP-6   03/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($41K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIBRATOR Feb26 Jan19 Dec04 Nov12 Sep24 (david carlos)ZAYAS J 118 1.60 73% 0.40    
2  VLADISLAV Feb15 Feb04 Jan15 Dec02 Nov07 (sano a)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
3  SPLIT THE WICKETS Jan20 Sep05 Aug22 May20   (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
4  LIGHT FURY Feb26 Jan20 Oct21 Sep08 Aug06 (spatz b)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 ★    
5  BORDER TOWN Feb26 Jan20 Dec22 Nov11 Oct23 (young jennife)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 ★    
6  BOB MARCO Feb11 Oct23 Oct08 Sep25 Aug20 (eppler e)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  A ROSE FOR RAVEN Mar04 Feb12 Jan20 Jan01 Nov20 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CALL CURT Feb25 Feb12 Sep24 Aug25 Jul27 (sano anton)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 ★    
 
GP-7   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEKANTER         (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 125 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MORNING RUSH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  MAERDAMA         (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of ROSE OF CAIRO by CAIRO PRINCE)
3  CINDYLOUWHO Mar03 Jan21 Sep03 Jul30   (palmer nichola)REYES LEONEL 125 8.00 ★    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of GOLDSPUN by HARD SPUN)
4  SNOW PRINCESS         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CANDY DRAWER by CANDY RIDE)
5  SUGAR BOO Feb03         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 125 12.00 9% 9.80    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of MISS MOON by HOMEBUILDER)
6  ETNA'S NAPPER Jan27         (sancal murat)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ETNA'S ANGER by PULPIT)
7  ACCEDE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JIBBOOM by MIZZEN MAST)
8  SHE'S AWESOME Jan06 Dec14 Oct21 Sep22 Jul27 (klesaris steve)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 19% 4.30    
  (by FLATTER out of AWESOMEKAYLEE by AWESOME AGAIN)
9  PORTAGE         (sweezey kent)PEREZ EDGAR 125 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
GP-8   03/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($86K) 3 ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIVE IS LIFE Feb04 Dec18 Nov27 Nov13 Sep24 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 6.00    
2  GOLD MAGIC Feb11         (attard ke)WILSON JAYNE 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  ENGLISH BOB Jan29 Dec23       (pita daniel)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
4  BANK FRENZY Jan29 Dec24 Nov12     (lewis lisa )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 ★    
5  TICKING Feb18 Jul23       (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
6  STREET SWAGG Nov03 Sep21       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 ★    
7  GREAT NAVIGATOR Jul16 Jun04       (owens eddie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  DIAMOND COOL Feb23 Jan29 Jan13 Nov12 Oct30 (biancone patri)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
 
GP-9   03/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE THE BOYS WINK Feb05 Jan08       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 6% 14.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PACIFIC PINK by PRIVATE VOW)
2  TAR HEEL GIRL Jan22         (lynch a)PEREZ EDGAR 118 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UPPERLINE by MARIA'S MON)
3  RED ROULETTE         (thomas jonat)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of INITIATION by DEPUTY MINISTER)
4  MILIEU Jan29 Dec11 Oct22 Sep18 Jul31 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SLEW'S QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  FANCY Jan29         (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LACADENA by FASLIYEV)
6  CONSEILLANTE Aug14         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WILD FOREST by FOREST WILDCAT)
7  LAKESIDE GETAWAY Feb11 Jan08 Dec07 Oct28   (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 12.00 6% 16.20    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SUMMER ESCAPE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  PARTY TIME Jan22         (devaux ch)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LAWN PARTY by SLEWVESCENT)
9  SOLICITATION Feb05 Dec11       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of WILSHEWED by CARSON CITY)
10  PRELIMINARY (GB)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LIPSTICK ROSE by DREAM AHEAD)
SCR  SECRETS GALORE Oct15 Sep10 Jul31     (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of NO USE DENYING by MARIA'S MON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.