Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/2)-(8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/2)-(8/2/3)-(7/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-3   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(7/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3)-(7/3/8)-(6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-4   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/1/4)-(7/3/8/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/8)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8)-(6/5)-(9/10/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/4/5/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/4/5/2/3)-(6/4/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5)-(9/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(9/10/4)-(7/1/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-6   WIN (9/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/4)-(9/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/10/4)-(9/10/4)-(9/10/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/10/4)-(7/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/10/4)-(7/1/8/2)-(8/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-7   WIN (7/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2/3)-(7/1/8/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/8/2)-(8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/2)-(8/5/1)-(1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-8   WIN (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/1)-(8/5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1)-(8/5/1/2/4)-(8/5/1/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/5/1)-(1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HOU-9   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   03/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OFF THE ROSTER Jan25 Jul17       (gustafson)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  COUNTRY FLYER Dec09 Oct13       (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 122 10.00 5% 17.50    
3  SLIM JIMMY Feb11 Jan16 Dec14 Nov26 Nov07 (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
4  IMMA BLINGY LAD Feb24 Feb11 Jan27 Jan14   (tuley rhonda)JUDE JOHN 122 20.00    
5  WAY TOO WINDY Feb18         (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.00    
6  BRILLIANT COLORS Feb17 Jan20 Jan06 Dec02 Nov17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
7  LOOPY DUDE Feb18 Feb04 Jan06 Nov26   (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 122 1.20 28% 2.60    
 
HOU-3   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 35 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFF TO THE RACES Mar04 Nov14 Oct31 Oct09 Sep27 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00    
2  TEO Jun02 May03 Mar04 Jan15   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  FREEPORT         (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 115 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  RUSSET MOON Feb09 Jan26 Dec28 Dec15 Nov10 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00 15% 5.50    
5  PEARL'S EARL Jan27 Dec07 Nov07 Oct01   (young scott)WETHEY JR 115 20.00    
6  SPEND AGAIN Feb04 Jan16 Nov25 Feb21 Jan02 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00 ★    
7  UNCLE CHAN Feb17 Feb04 Dec20 Nov10 Aug20 (mallery vonn)SANCHEZ M 123 50.00    
8  DRAG MALIBU Feb17 Jan06 Dec11 Nov30 Nov03 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 123 1.80 20% 3.90    
 
HOU-4   03/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLET POSITION Jan21 Dec17 Nov22 Nov12 Nov03 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 ★    
2  MY BABYS GONE Feb20 Jan21 Nov12 Oct20 Oct08 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 2.50    
3  HALE'S ANGEL Feb19 Jan22 Jan06 Nov30 Nov12 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  FETCHING Jun25 Jun11 May12 May01 Mar23 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 8.00 ★    
5  TAYLOR'S SECRET Feb11 Jan22 Oct19 Jul24 Jul02 (gelner j)LUZZI J 123 6.00    
6  MY GOLDEN BLING Feb20 Feb04 Jan21 Dec09 Nov18 (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 5.00    
7  TIZ HOPPIN Feb17 Nov11 Oct09 Sep17 Sep02 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
8  STALEMATE Feb20 Jan21 Nov22 Oct20 Sep29 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 8% 11.20    
 
HOU-5   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GJALLARHORN Feb19 Nov22 Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 (love alan)DIEGO V 123 10.00    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of PHILOGYNY by JOHANNESBURG)
2  MOROLICIOUS Feb25 Feb19 Feb03 Jan13 Sep30 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.50 ★    
  (by MORO TAP out of GORGELICIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
3  UNCLE BUFF Mar03 Feb03 Jan13 Nov01 Oct03 (love alan)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 ★    
  (by HAKASSAN (CHI) out of SANTERRA by TEJABO)
4  TEXAS HOLDEM Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Oct22   (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 123 4.00 ★    
  (by RACE DAY out of LIL SWEET SEA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Feb25 Feb19 Feb03 Jan13 Sep18 (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 5% 17.60    
  (by PICK SIX out of DELLA FOX LADY by EASTERN ECHO)
6  TIZ BODHI BOY Feb26 Feb11       (pish danny)WETHEY JR 115 2.50 66% 0.50    
  (by HALF OURS out of CADEBRIE by TIZNOW)
7  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Dec02 Sep26 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
8  JOHN LOUIS' BEVO Mar03 Nov03 Oct22 Oct14 Sep28 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00    
  (by JOHN LOUIS' MONEY out of JOHN LOUIS' PENNY by CHIEF THREE SOX)
 
HOU-6   03/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPER JACK Feb17 Feb05 Jan22 Dec02 Nov16 (g)DE CRUZ 119 3.50    
2  SECRET BLARNEY Feb19 Feb05 Jan22 Oct01 Sep26 (young scott )ALVAREZ L 123 5.00    
3  MORRICONE Feb19 Feb04 Jan19 Jul02 Jun06 (morris ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 15.00    
4  BELEWS GOLD Feb05 Dec03 Nov12 Oct14 Sep16 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  DARE TO BE WILD Feb10 Jan13 Dec16 Nov18 Nov03 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 15.00    
6  SALADO Feb10 Jan22 Jan14 Nov05 Oct07 (triana alfr)MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00    
7  GRAB THE MUNNY Feb19 Jan08 Dec28 Dec17 Dec03 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
8  COLLOQUIST Feb19 Jan20 Oct20 Sep25 Jan21 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 119 12.00    
9  SATURDAY'S GOLD Jan22 Aug17 Jun21 May14 Jan28 (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
10  PAYNTER PARTY Sep09 Aug20 Jul22 May27 May13 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOVER Feb24 Feb04 Jan06 Nov14 Oct12 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 4.00 6% 14.40    
SCR  KIERKEGAARD Mar03 Feb05 Jan16 Dec31 Nov26 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
HOU-7   03/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICKY CARLA Feb25 Jan27 Jun05     (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  PIEL MORENA Feb25         (c)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHEBOO Feb17         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 15.00 ★    
4  GRACES PACE Jan07 Dec15 Jun26 Jun05   (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00    
5  GOVERNOR ANN Feb25 Sep09 Sep03 Jul21 Jun26 (gustafson a)HAMILTON WESTON 122 4.50    
6  SKYSPEIGHT Feb17 Feb05       (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 122 20.00    
7  ANNA B Feb25 Feb05 Jan06 Oct12 Sep23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  MOLA MIA Feb26 Jan22 Jan06     (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-8   03/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSIN CURFEW Jan15 Jun26       (diodoro robert)LUZZI J 122 4.50 9% 9.70    
2  PERFECT PRANK Feb19 Jan20 Nov05 Oct08 Sep08 (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 122 5.00 ★    
3  ALTO ROAD Feb19 Jan28 Dec26 Dec09 Oct28 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.00    
4  AARON'S SPIRIT Feb19 Dec16 Nov22 Nov05 Oct21 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00 ★    
5  BOHEMIAN BO Feb26         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 8.00 28% 2.50    
6  BIG TICKET Feb18 Feb04 Jan27     (jacks karen)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
7  TRES SOLES Feb18 Nov26 Nov04 Sep29   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00    
8  CAJUN EDDIE Feb24         (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  JERSEY JIM Mar04 Jan27 Nov22 Nov07   (hebert matt)DIEGO V 122 15.00    
 
HOU-9   03/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCREET SMILE Feb18 Jan15 Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00 11% 8.50    
2  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Feb26 Feb12 Jul09 Jun19 May28 (saavedra mar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 30.00    
3  TUDELA Feb18 Jan13 Jul08 Jun10 May21 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 10.00    
4  GASTOWN Feb25 Feb11 Oct13 Sep24 Sep09 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 6.00 ★    
5  TAHITIAN BREEZE Feb18 Feb11 Jan13 Aug21 Jul21 (hurley tina)HAMILTON WESTON 119 4.00    
6  PRINCESS PAULINE Feb11 Jan06 Sep05 Jul23 Jul02 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00    
7  SILVERSCAPE Feb11 Jan06 Dec07 Nov05 Sep30 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 119 4.50    
8  COLORS OF THE WIND Dec07 Nov05 Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 10.00 6% 16.00    
9  CHA CHA MISSION Feb11 Jan15 Oct13 Sep25 Aug26 (davis s)GONCALVES R 119 15.00    
10  HOURGLASS FIGURE Feb11 Jan14 Oct27 Oct06 Sep14 (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00    
SCR  SET THE PACE Jan16 May28 May06 Mar12 Feb05 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Feb03 Jan13 Nov14 Oct01 Sep14 (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 121 0.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  MISSION BELLE Feb25 Jan06 Dec22 Dec14 Nov25 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 3.00 11% 8.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.