Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (2/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1/3)-(2/5/4/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/4/1)-(2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/1)-(2/4/7)-(5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-2   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(5/1/3)-(2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/2/6)-(5/1/3/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
PRX-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5/7/3)-(2/4/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
PRX-5   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
PRX-6   WIN (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/3)-(8/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3)-(8/5/2)-(8/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-7   WIN (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/2)-(8/5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2)-(8/5/2/7/6)-(8/5/2/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/5/2)-(8/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2)-(8/1/2)-(5/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-8   WIN (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/2)-(8/1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/2)-(8/1/2/6)-(8/1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/2)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2)-(5/3/6)-(1/9/3/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-9   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(1/9/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (1/9/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/10)-(1/9/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/10)-(1/9/3/10)-(1/9/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   02/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT-11:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALONZO MOSELY Jan25 Apr27 Apr13 Mar22 Feb23 (bouchard lesly)MARIANO ABEL 121 4.00 8% 12.00    
VANCOUVER D'ORO Jan17 Jan02 Dec19 Nov11 Sep04 (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
WHATA GUY Jan13 Jan02 Dec13 Nov22 Nov07 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
STARSHIP GOTHAM Jan25 Dec19 Nov22 Oct17 Sep13 (dominguez ma)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
BUSTER BRUNO Feb01 Jan13 Aug10 Jul13 Jun24 (bentley fennek)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.50 21% 3.90    
FIELD OFFICER Jan25 Nov07 Oct12 Sep27 Sep19 (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 121 6.00    
LIBERTY RUNNER Jan31 Nov14 Oct19 Oct05 Sep19 (leung carlos)BURKE JERMAINE 121 15.00    
 
PRX-2   02/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT-12:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISEN CHANGE Feb13 Feb01 Jan18 Jan03 Dec19 (hogan william)PEREZ M 121 5.00    
CATALON Jan25 Jan04 Dec07 Nov21 Oct25 (linder louis )OCASIO M 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  FALL CAMPAIGN Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 111 15.00    
TOURING MARYANNE Feb08 Jan18 Dec06 Nov07 Oct31 (castillo sa)RAMOS C 116 3.00 16% 5.30    
TIZ HER WAY Feb01 Jan25 Jan11 Nov15 Oct21 (king clarenc)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00    
SCR  SHEZ A DOUBLETAKE Jan24 Jan11 Nov28 Nov01 Oct12 (pere)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 4.00    
I LOVE MAGEL Feb13 Dec07 Nov28 Oct26 Sep14 (romero rafae)ORTIZ JONATHAN 111 6.00 14% 5.90    
 
PRX-3   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT-12:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYTHREEBUTTERFLIES Jan24 Dec20 Nov02 Sep27 Jan03 (linder louis )OCASIO M 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MAJESTIC LADY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SUNDRIA         (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 124 5.00    
  (by RED VINE out of DEONA by YANKEE VICTOR)
MIDNIGHT IN ALASKA Dec14 Nov13 Aug31     (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 3.00 11% 7.70    
  (by ALMASTY out of WORKING AT NIGHT by TIZNOW)
METANOIA Jan24 Jun14       (krebs steven)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 6.00    
  (by MR. Z out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
BRODY'S CODE Jan24 Dec20       (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CODE VARIANCE by AWESOME AGAIN)
JAVA'S LUCKY LADY         (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 124 5.00    
  (by RED VINE out of JAVA SCRIPT by NOTEBOOK)
 
PRX-4   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROSPECTIVE CANDY Feb01 Jan04 Dec20 Nov28   (bedard alan)RAMOS C 116 20.00    
SCINTILLATING STAR Jan30 Jan04 Oct29 Oct07   (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
VANISHING FAITH Feb01 Jan16 Jan04 Dec21 Nov16 (maymo alejand)RIVERA D 121 15.00    
BE LIKE BETH Feb01 Jan16 Dec05 Nov22 Oct14 (noble f)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00 24% 3.20    
QUEEN LUCKY Jan23 Jan10 Dec20 Nov21 Nov02 (padilla hugo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 3.00    
POOR NO MORE Feb01 Jan04 Nov01 Oct05 Sep21 (hogan william)OCASIO M 121 15.00    
ONE PAIR OF HANDS Feb01 Jan09 Dec14 Nov21 Jun16 (aristone p)SANCHEZ J 121 4.00    
INSPECTOR RELOAD Feb01 Jan16 Dec08 Nov24 Nov03 (linder)GONZALEZ JR 121 3.50    
 
PRX-5   02/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONDAY'S WITH MIKE Jan20 Nov30 Oct31 Oct07 Sep20 (mercedes pe)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 20.00    
DRENA'S BULLET Jan18 Jan09 Dec12 Nov08 Sep28 (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 6.00    
INDIRECTLY Feb01 Jan18 Jan04 Dec06 Nov02 (wyner harold)CASTILLO A 121 6.00    
FOREST FIRE Jan18 Sep21 Aug24 Jul26 Jul05 (castillo mi)DE KEMICH 114 6.00    
SCR  WAGON BOSS Feb15 Feb01 Jan03 Nov23 Nov01 (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 121 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  DIZZY GILLESPIE Feb08 Feb01 Jan02 Dec21 Nov30 (hamilton ste)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY Jan19 Dec21 Nov30 Nov09 Oct17 (pessanha ney)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 20.00    
TWO PRINCES Feb08 Jan31 Jan04 Dec13 Nov22 (padilla o)TORRES JOMAR 121 15.00    
STRUM AND PLUCK Feb13 Dec19 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 (whylie herold)RIVERA D 121 15.00    
SCR  I LOVE JAXSON Jan25 Dec14 Oct19 Aug22 Aug05 (englehart jeff)PENNINGTON F 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
PRX-6   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPEST RISING Feb06         (bedard alan)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of SEASTORMRISING by COASTAL STORM)
SCR  FLIRTING Feb06         (mosc)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HARD ON THE HEART by FAIRBANKS)
MAP OF LIFE Jan23         (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00 5% 18.40    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BRUSH UP by BROAD BRUSH)
DANCING ON MY OWN Jan04         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by DRILL out of PURSUING FATE by IN SUMMATION)
IMAGINE RITA Jan13         (hogan j)ACOSTA D 121 8.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
ELEVENMONTHSLATER Feb06 Jan10 Dec14 Dec05 Nov14 (bedard alan)RAMOS C 116 5.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of CRUISENFORLOVE by WEEKEND CRUISE)
DIVINARY Feb06 Jan10 Dec05 Nov07 Oct12 (guerrero guada)CASTILLO A 121 6.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of ULTIMATE AVARY by LOVE OF MONEY)
BRUNO BARBER GIRL Feb08 Jan04 Nov29 Oct11 Sep24 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 12% 7.20    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of HIGH QUAIL by TIZNOW)
 
PRX-7   02/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINXZHIPPSDONTLEYE Jan30 Jan08 Dec03 Nov07 Oct12 (rodriguez migu)PENNINGTON F 118 8.00    
IN SPADES Jan30 Nov09 Oct23 Sep24 Aug22 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 3.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  DON'T BLAME FREDDY Jan11 Dec07 Nov14 Oct04 Sep24 (velazquez al)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 3.50    
TIEMPO PERFECTO Jan25 Jan11 Dec07 Nov25 Oct31 (hogan william)PEREZ M 118 10.00    
SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Jan30 Jan11 Dec07 Nov14 Aug29 (santaella-c)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
SCANDALISSIMO Jan23 Nov13 Jul23 Jul10   (dominguez )SANCHEZ J 121 8.00    
THE COLORA KID Jan20 Dec17 Oct29 Oct02 Sep17 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00    
LONG LEGGED BOY Jan30 Jan11 Dec14 Nov22 Oct25 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 8.00 45% 1.20    
 
PRX-8   02/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITH Feb06 Jan18 Jan02 Dec13 Oct26 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.50 23% 3.30    
WE BE THERE Jan02 Dec13 Nov22 Nov02 Oct17 (dominguez mario )CASTILLO A 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT TRICK Feb06 Jan18 Nov16 Nov05 Oct19 (simone michae)OCASIO M 121 8.00    
SCR  SCOOP DAWG Dec13 Nov14 Sep27 Aug29 Aug03 (schistl rafael)BISONO J 121 4.00 9% 10.00    
WILL TAKE CONTROL Feb06 Jan16 Jan04 Dec12 Nov21 (rodriguez mig)RIVERA D 121 3.00    
HEALY'S HOPE Feb06 Jan18 Jan04 Dec21 Oct19 (arce josue)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
JUST A THOUGHT Jan31 Jan16 Dec19 Nov14 Aug29 (lake a)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 6.00    
CAUSALISTIC Jan19 Dec30 Nov18 Nov11 Oct15 (simoff andrew)MOYA F 121 6.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  THE METHOD Jan02 Dec13 Nov22 Nov02 Oct17 (jones c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00    
 
PRX-9   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAILEY Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 Dec16 Nov29 (simone michael)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00    
FEDERAL CASE Jan25 Jan16 Jan09 Nov28 Nov01 (arce josue)RAMOS C 116 10.00    
NICK THE CARDSHARK Jan25 Jan11 Jan03 Dec14 Nov29 (bravo-estra)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Jan19 Oct17 Sep20 Aug19 Jun19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
MR. ROUNDTREE Jan30 Jan17 Dec21 Dec06 Oct31 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.00 16% 5.20    
FLOAT ON Jan30 Jan17 Jan03 Dec12 Nov14 (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.50 8% 10.90    
MR. EXTENSION Jan31 Aug29 Aug08 Jul24 Jun19 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 121 15.00    
COMMISSIONER G Feb13 Jan30 Sep10 Aug02 Jul19 (smith everton)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 8.00    
CUMBERLAND AVENUE Jan11 Nov28 Nov01 Oct17 Sep07 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
SCR  ICONIC LEGACY Jan17 Nov22 Oct19 Sep14 Aug23 (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 5.00    
 
PRX-10   02/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO READY Feb01 Jan18 Jan10 Oct19 Sep01 (velazquez dani)MOYA F 121 8.00 33% 2.10    
LOAD UP MOE Jan23 Jan02 Dec13 Nov28 Nov02 (smylie timot)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 12.00    
CREA'S BKLYN LAW Jan24 Oct19 Sep27 Sep14   (rosado rober)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
TACTICAL PLAN Jan31 Jan04 Dec21 Oct10 Sep19 (arce josue)ADORNO ABNER 121 3.00    
BOURBON MISSION Feb01 Jan20 Dec21 Nov28 Nov07 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00    
SCR  JUPI'S LIGHTNING Jun14 May14 Apr27 Apr04 Mar23 (hamilton ste)ORTIZ JONATHAN 111 4.00 8% 11.20    
DRONE SWARM Feb14 Feb06 Jan18 Jan04 Dec06 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 111 12.00    
SCR  RONIN WARRIOR Jan23 Dec30 Dec21 Nov28 Oct17 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 116 12.00    
MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Jan10 Dec16 Oct28 Oct09 Sep24 (romero alex)DE KEMICH 114 5.00 32% 2.20    
10  AWE MUN Feb01 Jan02 Dec21 Nov23 Oct19 (thompson mart)PEREZ M 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  OPEN LENGTHS Dec21 Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 Sep22 (betancourt el)RANGEL JOEZER 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.