Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - January 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(6/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(6/3/2/5)-(3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-2   WIN (6/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/5/1)-(6/3/2/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/5)-(3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/5)-(3/6)-(2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/8/5)-(3/6/8/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/6)-(2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(2/5)-(1/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-4   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/1/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/1/6/4)-(2/5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/3/9)-(5/9/2/10/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
HOU-5   WIN (1/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/9)-(1/3/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/9)-(1/3/9/2)-(1/3/9/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/9)-(5/9/2/10/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9)-(5/9/2/10/8)-(8/3/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-6   WIN (5/9/2/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/10/8)-(5/9/2/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/10/8)-(5/9/2/10/8)-(5/9/2/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/2/10/8)-(8/3/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/2/10/8)-(8/3/1/4)-(2/9/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-7   WIN (8/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/4)-(8/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/4)-(8/3/1/4)-(8/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/1/4)-(2/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/4)-(2/9/1)-(11/4/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-8   WIN (2/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/1)-(2/9/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/1)-(2/9/1/3/5)-(2/9/1/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/9/1)-(11/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-9   WIN (11/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/4/8/5)-(11/4/8/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/4/8/5)-(11/4/8/5/10)-(11/4/8/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POETIC UNION Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 Oct09 Sep09 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  STELLA G Dec14 Nov25 Nov18 Nov04 Oct07 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  IN THE FAST LANE Jul21 Jun05       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
4  HIT'EM UP Nov03 Oct12 Sep23 Sep09 Jul17 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 ★    
5  GRACES PACE Dec15 Jun26 Jun05     (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 4.50    
6  CAT TALE SKY Dec15 Nov25 Nov03 Oct22 Oct07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
SCR  DIAMOND GRAND Nov11         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 122 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
HOU-2   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIA GONE WILD Dec21 Mar26 Mar18 Feb23 Feb02 (grimaldo jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 12.00 ★    
  (by CONGRATS out of DELANTERA by BERNSTEIN)
2  SILVER CURRENCY Nov14 Sep24 Sep07 Jul28   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 2.00 15% 5.60    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of AVERY HALL by A. P JET)
3  LEXINGTON DIVA Dec19 Dec02 Jul09     (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by EL KINGDOM out of VALID ENCHANTMENT by TIZNOW)
4  SWEET DYNASTY Dec15 Nov22 Nov04 Oct01 Sep14 (glover tr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 15.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of BE PROUD by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  BODEFIDE Nov18 Oct26 Sep24     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00 14% 6.20    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of PARTY OF INTEREST by BERNARDINI)
6  SWEET TRUFFLES Nov17 Oct19 Sep16 Aug12 Jul15 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SUPREME MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  CLAY'S CLOUD BURST Dec10 Jan30 Jan14     (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BUSH'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
HOU-3   01/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESMYBROKER Dec15 Nov18 Oct26 Sep04 Jul23 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00    
2  FADED MEMORIES Nov04 Oct19 Sep29 Aug20 Aug04 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 15.00    
3  KATIE'S KARAT Nov23 Jul10 Jun26 May21 Apr23 (ramirez eduard)LUZZI J 121 1.60 41% 1.40    
4  LIL ASHLEY B. Sep19 Aug01 May30 May09 Mar27 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 119 3.00    
5  SKYKAT Oct22 Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 Aug18 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 ★    
6  BRODIE BABY Dec05 Nov15 Oct24 Sep25 Aug27 (william)GONCALVES R 119 6.00 34% 1.90    
7  FROSTY FLIRT Dec07 Oct08 Aug27 Jul21 Jun23 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 119 8.00    
8  SUPER LEGS Dec15 Nov22 Nov11 Sep29 Sep09 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  MALIBU MIDNIGHT Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 Jul08 Jun10 (dupuy allen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 10.00    
SCR  PRETTY IN PINK Dec17 Oct20 Sep03 Jul16 Jul02 (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 12.00    
SCR  SIMPLE PLEASURE Nov15 Sep19 Aug21 Jul30 Jun23 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 119 15.00 ★    
 
HOU-4   01/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZATIZ Dec08 Sep25 Jul21 Jun19   (gomez c)BACA L 117 1.60 ★    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of TIZ TIZ by TIZNOW)
2  COME TO THE PARTY Jul17 Jun19 May19     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by BRADESTER out of TINA THE TIGER by ONCE A SAILOR)
3  THE NEXT BIG BLING         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 6.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PRECIOUS PLAY by INTIMIDATOR)
4  STELLIOT'S LEGACY         (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 117 10.00 ★    
  (by BRADESTER out of SUGARFOOT ANGEL by INVASOR (ARG))
5  WAVING BYE Jul10 Jun19       (bravo franc)MELANCON JANSEN 117 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by THE HUNK out of MAKING WAVES by SLEWACIDE)
6  BLINGONMERCURY Jul21 Jun26       (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 117 30.00 ★    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MERCURY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
HOU-5   01/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3 F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET FREEDOM BLING Jul04 Jun19 Jun05 May14   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 1.80 28% 2.50    
2  SHESABITSNAKEY Dec08         (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 ★    
3  HONEY CREEK Sep30 Sep14       (p)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  GIVEALITTLEGEE         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00 15% 5.60    
5  UTSIRA Nov25         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
6  BLONDES HAVEMO FUN Nov25 Oct13 Sep01 Jul17 Jun19 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00    
7  ALLINFORTUNE Nov25 Nov04 Jul03     (mendoza edg)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00    
SCR  WHERESTHECARTGIRL Dec08         (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00    
9  PEARL'S CODE         (ashford ra)PIVARAL GERBER 122 15.00 7% 13.70    
10  MO SILVER Dec15 Nov25 Jul02     (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
 
HOU-6   01/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO WEST May08 Apr23 Mar25 Mar04 Jan09 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00    
2  UNION DATA Dec02 Mar16       (calhoun willia)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  WISE ANCHOR Dec15 Dec04 Nov24 Nov11 Oct06 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 123 99.00    
4  SR. BI BI Dec14 Dec03 Nov04 Oct15 Sep21 (chacaltana doming)DIEGO V 123 30.00    
5  DUDE PERFECTA Dec10 Nov30 Nov07 Jun24 May21 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  TWICE THE PRICE Dec10 Nov19 Nov08 Oct14 Sep29 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
7  FIRST AVENUE Aug08 Jul25 Jul03 Jun23 May22 (h)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
8  DOCTOR TINK Dec06 Nov01 Sep30 Aug20 Aug03 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00 6% 16.40    
9  LAGOON Dec02 Oct29 Oct05 Mar26   (grimaldo jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 6.00 20% 3.90    
10  MISTER K Dec03 Nov19 Nov04 Oct14 Oct05 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 123 15.00 10% 8.70    
11  REQUISITION Jun11 May21 Apr30 Apr01 Mar10 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
12  TEXAS SKYWALKER Dec03 Nov19 Nov04 Oct27 Sep09 (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 123 30.00    
 
HOU-7   01/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSE TO CRUISE Dec01 Nov07 Sep25 Sep07 Jun08 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 3.50 9% 10.20    
2  DRIFTING WEST Nov21 Jun16 May23 Mar28 Mar11 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00    
3  PEACOCK KITTEN Jul23 Mar26 Feb12     (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 4.50 13% 6.80    
4  GO SPEED RACER GO Nov08 Oct27 Oct20 Sep25 Jul09 (scholl kevi)HAMILTON WESTON 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUNRISE KITTEN Oct12 Sep15 Aug20 Jul23 Jul02 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 119 15.00    
6  TRULY DANZIG Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 Jul08 Jun04 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00    
7  FRED'STWIRLINCANDY Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 Sep21 Sep08 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00    
8  PERFECT STAR Sep25 Jul16 Apr30 Mar11 Feb18 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 Sep05 Jul23 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 0.60 28% 2.60    
SCR  ENTERTAINMENT Dec22 Dec10 Sep24 Jul19 Mar19 (b)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
 
HOU-8   01/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 C/G PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE MY MONEY Sep15 Aug20 Jul17     (a)DE CRUZ 117 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of RUNNING DISPUTE by CHEROKEE RUN)
2  BLING BLING BLING Jul17 Jun19 May04     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SWIFTERTHANTAYLOR by MY GOLDEN SONG)
3  STREETSTER Jul08 Jun19       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 117 5.00 ★    
  (by BRADESTER out of BUSKINFOALIVIN by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SCR  LET'S TIE ONE ON Jul17 Jun19 May15     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 117 8.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GET TIED ON by TASSO)
5  MY FAVORITE SONG Dec07 Oct27 Oct06     (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 117 15.00 ★    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of LEGACY FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
6  JUST WHISKEY         (mayfield randy)MORA GERARDO 117 30.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of WHISKEY EYES by SPECIAL RATE)
7  LITTLE JONY Dec19 Jul17 Jun19 May24   (rangel raul)DIEGO V 117 20.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of ELLE STORMY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  MORO MAFIA Dec16 Nov25 Nov16 Sep24 Sep13 (bryant geor)OLIVEROS CHARLE 117 12.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of CAPELLINI by BERNARDINI)
9  I'M A COWBOY Dec14 Jun19 Jun05     (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 117 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by BRADESTER out of BENNY'S BOMBSHELL by BENNY THE BULL)
 
HOU-9   01/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVINS' WARRIOR Nov16 Oct21       (gelner )GONCALVES R 122 12.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of HEAVENS ABOVE by ST. JOVITE)
2  NIGHT GUARD         (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 30.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of WAKE UP by MORE THAN READY)
3  FORT HOOD Dec07         (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of LET'S GET FISCAL by BANDINI)
4  TOP HONORS Dec07 Jul23       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by EAGLE out of SORORITY RUSH by DARBY CREEK ROAD)
5  NOISE COMPLAINT Nov25 Jul17       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of WATERS FINE by PAYNTER)
6  CAJUN FIRE Nov26         (dupuy allen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 30.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of B G COUNTRY GIRL by CATIENUS)
7  PUNTO RAFFA VOLO         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SERGEANT SUE by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  HARD GOLD Jul17 Jun19 May20     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MAQUITA ELAINE by HARD SPUN)
9  DREAMS ROCKETMAN         (b)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
  (by EAGLE out of DREAM DREAM by TOO MUCH BLING)
10  MY BOY BLING Nov22 Nov07 Jun19     (baldi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.50 ★    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GURLIN by CURLIN)
11  J F'S SENNA Dec07 Nov12       (keen dallas)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LUCKY KNICKERS by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
12  HYPERION NORTH         (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 20.00    
  (by HYPERION TAP out of LEGACY'S HOPE by ALDEBARAN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.