Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Friday - December 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDWOOD POSSE Jul05 Jun14       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 ★    
2  SHEZA SAVAGE Nov18 Apr23 Mar18 Jan07   (rivelli larry)FELIX E 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  BEG BORROW N STEAL Nov18 Oct21 Sep30 Sep08 Aug18 (block chr)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  GHAALEB'S HONOR Nov06 Oct15 Sep30 Aug30   (becker scott)EMIGH A 119 1.60 43% 1.30    
5  STORMY EMPIRE Nov25 Nov04 Oct15 Aug02 Jul12 (kirby )BAILON JADHIR 121 4.00 ★    
 
HAW-2   12/09/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM'S REFLECTION Nov20 Nov06 Oct22 Oct07 Sep14 (perez man)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  CHEEKERS Oct14 Sep06 Jun14 May21 Apr26 (scalcione pete)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 6.00 ★    
3  ASTI SKY Nov20 Nov04 Aug12 Jul12 Jun18 (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 6.00    
4  BIG BLUE Nov04 Oct11 Sep23 Aug27 Jun02 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  STORM BORN Nov19 Oct22 Sep25 Aug16 Jul08 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 1.80 38% 1.60    
6  C F V RED NOVA Nov26         (broberg karl)COLON H 121 3.50 ★    
 
HAW-3   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KHOZIE'S GHOST Nov11 Aug20 Jun24 May24 May03 (broberg karl)COLON H 124 1.20 47% 1.10    
2  MARYS LAST SONG Nov27 Nov11 Oct28 Oct15 Sep02 (matthews )ULLOA JOAN 121 6.00 9% 9.80    
3  GO STORMIN GIRL Nov11 Oct22 Sep24 Jul19 Jul08 (martinez ra)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE Sep30 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 (bentler don)DIEGO JAVIER 121 10.00 ★    
5  FIRST KITTEN Nov27 Nov11 Oct16 Oct01 Sep06 (lopez elias)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00    
6  OWEN'S PLEASURE Nov11 Oct22 Sep25 Sep10 Aug27 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-4   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOWMOBILE Nov25 Nov11 Oct22     (perez manny)FELIX E 120 10.00    
2  RUN THE TABLE Oct14         (fridley stev)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 12.00    
3  LAST WISH         (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
4  SWISS GUARD Nov13 Oct20 Sep24 Sep03 Jul30 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 1.80 ★    
5  SHARP AZ NAILS Nov11 Sep13       (winebaugh c)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 3.50 ★    
6  SOVIET STANDARD         (perez manny)SANCHEZ DIEGO 120 15.00 19% 4.30    
7  SLAVA UKRAINI Nov11         (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
8  STAR NATION         (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 12.00 19% 4.30    
 
HAW-5   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY MA Oct23 Oct08 Sep24 Jul16 Jun25 (reyes mar)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 6.00 ★    
2  FROST WARRIOR Nov25 Oct16 Sep17 Aug27 Aug14 (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 121 3.00 10% 9.20    
3  AIR WALKER Sep26 Sep12 Sep04 Aug21 Jul03 (shephard )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 10% 9.50    
4  MORNING LINE NEWS Nov25 Nov18 Nov08 Oct23 Sep16 (hernandez javier)ORM CORY 119 10.00    
SCR  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Nov25 Sep09 Aug27 Jul29 Jul09 (wells duane)COLON H 119 12.00    
6  TAP N TWINE Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 Oct08 Sep19 (ryan chri)ULLOA JOAN 121 10.00    
7  BOOZIN AT BOZOS Nov11 Oct23 Oct08 Sep07 Aug25 (riecken bru)ORTEGA O 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
8  SHINY SHOES Nov21 Nov03 Oct03 Sep19 Jun22 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.50 25% 2.90    
 
HAW-6   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NYOMAN Nov20 Jul19 Jun25 Jun18 May15 (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 1.60 62% 0.60    
2  EMOJI GUY Nov20 Oct09 Sep23 Sep08 Jul28 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
SCR  KING TITO Nov18 Oct30 Oct21 Sep30 Sep13 (quinonez ma)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 12.00    
SCR  WILLING TO SPEED Dec02 Oct15 Sep30 Jun24 Jun04 (perez )BAILON JADHIR 121 10.00    
5  SHANGHAI POINT Nov26 Sep20 Aug23 Aug12 Jul23 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 5.00 12% 7.60    
6  FLEETWAY Apr16 Apr03       (castro isidro)LOPEZ A 121 15.00 ★    
7  SIR ACEALOT Nov19 Nov04 Oct16 Sep30 Aug21 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 6.00 ★    
8  EASTER MUSIC Nov18 Oct15 Sep24     (hernandez arma)COLON H 121 4.00 ★    
 
HAW-7   12/09/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GHAALEB'S DOMAIN Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 Sep06 Aug09 (becker scott)FELIX E 121 6.00 7% 14.00    
2  COME ON SWEET PEA Nov12 Oct23 Oct01 Sep01 Aug13 (rosin w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 8.00 ★    
3  QUEEN CHARMAINE Nov01 Oct05 Sep14 Jul20 Jun27 (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 121 15.00    
4  BERAVINA Nov11 Oct23 Sep17 Jul30 Jul02 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
5  SHE'S WANDAFUL Nov13 Oct16 Oct01 Aug06 Jul03 (miller patti)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 8.00    
6  WANDA STRONG Nov25 Nov04 Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 (miller pa)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 10.00    
7  QUILTING PARTY Nov26 Jul12 Jun25 Jun04 May15 (kirby )BAILON JADHIR 121 8.00 ★    
8  WILDWOOD BYE Nov19 Oct23 Oct01     (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
HAW-8   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'ARCHER Nov18 Sep23 Sep09 Aug23 Aug12 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00 41% 1.40    
2  PINSON Nov19 Oct29 Oct21 Oct02 Aug01 (clay pat)ORTEGA O 121 15.00 23% 3.30    
3  BORN AGAIN GEORGE Nov18 Aug26 Jun27 May28 May06 (clay pat)ULLOA JOAN 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  FORT RIDGE Nov20 Sep27 Sep17 Sep05 Jul23 (bahena fernando)FELIX E 121 8.00 9% 9.60    
5  BEL BIMBO Nov18 Oct30 Oct09 Sep20 Sep06 (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 30.00    
6  FIXICO Nov20 Oct16 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (martinez ra)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  D'FEVER Nov18 Oct29 Oct09 Aug26 Aug12 (dizeo dino)EMIGH A 121 1.80    
8  TALE OF THE NILE Nov20 Oct21 Oct07 Sep02 Aug19 (bahena)BAILON JADHIR 121 2.50    
9  Z U SOON Nov20 Jul08 Jun25 Jun10 May21 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 121 20.00    
SCR  SIRCORRI Nov20 Oct21 Sep10 Aug19 Jul30 (bentler don)DIEGO JAVIER 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.