Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   11/25/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE MILLS Oct30 Oct22 Oct02 Aug19 Aug05 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
2  DEMAND RANSOM Nov06 Aug30 Aug09 Apr03   (hughes w)LOPEZ E 121 30.00    
3  RIDING THE TRAIN Oct01 Sep17 Aug20 Aug10 Jul09 (dizeo dino)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 20.00    
4  TAPE TO TAPE Oct30 Sep16 Jul27 Jul03 May28 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  MAC PANDOWDY Nov13 Oct29 Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 (irion hea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
6  BASEBALL POLITICS Jul08 Jun03 May06 Apr10 Mar11 (manley st)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 15.00    
7  COMISKEY PARK Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 Aug25 Jul30 (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 121 6.00 ★    
8  CYCLONE ATTACK Oct30 Aug23 Aug06 Jun11 May28 (childers van)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 30.00    
9  TOM'S LAST GENERAL Oct30 Oct20 Oct02 Jun11 Apr23 (hernan)BAILON JADHIR 121 12.00 ★    
10  TIZ APPROVED Oct14 Sep23 Aug23 Jul23 Jul09 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 10.00 ★    
11  ON K P Oct20 Oct02 Sep15 Jun24 May14 (rednour j)COLON H 121 8.00    
SCR  CINDY'S G MAN Oct02 Jun04 May01 Apr02 Jan22 (watkins m)FELIX E 119 10.00    
 
HAW-2   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIO GUAPO Oct22 Oct01 Jun11     (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 120 6.00 ★    
2  WESLAN Nov11 Oct22 Sep25     (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 4.50 ★    
3  NORMANDY ANGEL Oct22 Oct01 Jun11     (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 120 20.00    
4  SNOWMOBILE Nov11 Oct22       (perez man)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 10.00 ★    
5  MAN ON ATTACK Sep17 Sep06       (childers vance)BAIRD T 120 12.00    
6  C V RONIN LEGACY         (gonzalez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 10.00 29% 2.50    
7  FAITHFUL KING         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 0.60 50% 1.00    
 
HAW-3   11/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATHAAN Oct30 Oct09       (block chris)EMIGH A 121 5.00 28% 2.50    
2  CELESTIAL SPIN Sep01 Aug22 Jul27 Jun17 Jun08 (criste)BAILON JADHIR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ACCORDING TO ASPEN Sep07 Aug14 Jul02 Jun12   (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  WANDA STRONG Nov04 Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 Jun04 (miller r)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00    
SCR  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Oct28 Sep23 Aug02 Jun17 May27 (cristel j)LOPEZ E 118 30.00    
6  SEEKING SECA Oct01 Sep06 Aug06 Jul07 Jun11 (robertson hugh)FELIX E 121 10.00    
7  KINGSBURY DREAM Nov13 Oct08 Jun17 May28 May06 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
8  ROMANTIC ATTACK Oct23 Oct02 Jul12 May28 Apr19 (childers van)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 30.00    
9  MISSION BELLE Oct28 Oct02 Aug20 Jul22 Jun23 (broberg karl)COLON H 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
10  STACK SHACK Nov13 Oct16 Sep23 Aug24 Aug08 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 6.00    
11  GOOD MONGOLIA Nov13 Sep30 Aug14 Jul17 Jun01 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
SCR  MAKEMEBELIEVE Sep15 Aug27 Jun29 Jun05 May08 (robertson hugh)FELIX E 118 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S A BIG STAR Nov04 Oct16 Sep03 Aug05 Jul12 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 20.00    
SCR  WAR MUSIC Nov11 Oct08 Sep15 Sep04 Aug14 (riecken b)ULLOA JOAN 118 20.00    
 
HAW-4   11/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUGER Nov13 Oct29 Oct07 Sep25 Sep15 (perez man)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50    
2  WEEKEND PASS Nov12 Oct16 Oct02 Aug20 Jul29 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SINGING ALLI Oct21 Oct09 Aug02 Jun03 May20 (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 10.00 30% 2.30    
4  FANCY EMPRESS Sep23 Aug20 Jul13 Jun03 May20 (campbell joel)BAIRD T 121 6.00 ★    
5  KIMBERLY FRANCES Nov12 Oct16 Sep03 Aug20 Jul05 (sanchez osc)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 1.40 33% 2.00    
6  DARING DAMSEL Nov12 Oct16 Oct02 Sep03 Aug16 (hernandez ja)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 20.00    
7  IMAGINE GOLD Oct28 Oct02 Sep13 Aug06 Jul15 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 3.50 ★    
 
HAW-5   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMARITA Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Aug06 Jul22 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 2.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  LAKE BARKLEY Nov09 Oct02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul12 (hernandez ja)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 20.00    
3  MAYSTART Nov11 Oct30 Sep24 Aug29 Jun11 (ramire)BAILON JADHIR 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
4  PALM COURT Oct30 Aug02 Jul05 Jun17 May27 (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 12.00    
5  STACY ATTACK Nov04 Oct23 Oct08 Jun25 Jun04 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 6.00 ★    
6  GHAALEB'S DOMAIN Oct30 Oct14 Sep06 Aug09 Jul22 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 4.00 15% 5.60    
7  FIELD DAISEY Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Aug17 Jul29 (bigelow e)LOPEZ A 121 4.50 15% 5.80    
8  LORI ATTACK Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 Jul30 Jul12 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
 
HAW-6   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY EMPIRE Nov04 Oct15 Aug02 Jul12 Jun25 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00    
2  RONAN Sep30 Sep13 Aug30 Aug12 Jul29 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
SCR  ORDAINED KISS Oct09 Sep13 Aug02 Jun10   (bahena fernand)COLON H 121 5.00 ★    
4  LONG TALL WOMAN Nov11 Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Aug08 (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  RAP STAR Oct30 Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 (winebaugh cheryl)BAIRD T 119 8.00    
6  PALAGO Nov11 Oct09 Aug19 Aug02 Jul19 (dizeo dino)EMIGH A 121 10.00 ★    
7  ORNERY ANGEL Nov11 Oct16 Sep09 Jul30 Jul02 (randazzo c)FELIX E 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
8  DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Nov02 Oct09 Sep19 Sep02 Jul08 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 119 3.50 6% 16.20    
 
HAW-7   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO MADI GO Oct22 Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 (plasters lori)FELIX E 119 8.00 ★    
2  ISABELLACANNETELLA Oct30         (jones s)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00 29% 2.40    
3  PLUS CHIC Oct16 Sep23 Sep01 Aug02 Feb23 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 4.00    
4  DOROTA Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jun29 Jun03 (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 15.00 ★    
5  STOPSHOPPINGAMY Oct30 Jul22 Jun28 Jun11 May28 (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 121 3.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  LILY'S WOOFY Nov11 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
7  SHARP HERO Nov13 Oct16 Oct02 Sep13 Jun24 (ross s)EMIGH A 121 6.00    
 
HAW-8   11/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROST WARRIOR Oct16 Sep17 Aug27 Aug14 Jul07 (meraz anton)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 3.00 9% 10.10    
2  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Nov11 Oct21 Oct01 Sep15 Aug28 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  FRIEND Nov18 Nov08 Oct23 Oct08 Sep24 (hernandez ja)SERRANO KEIVAN 119 5.00 ★    
4  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Sep09 Aug27 Jul29 Jul09 Jun22 (wells duane)BAIRD T 119 15.00    
5  GOSHEN GIRL Nov11 Jun25 Jun04 May13   (lada lian)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
6  TAP N TWINE Nov11 Oct23 Oct08 Sep19 Aug31 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 121 20.00    
7  BELLS OF JOY Nov11 Oct23 Oct08 Aug13 Jul16 (reavis michael )REYES ANGEL 121 4.50 39% 1.60    
8  MORNING LINE NEWS Nov18 Nov08 Oct23 Sep16 Sep02 (hernandez jav)SANCHEZ DIEGO 119 15.00    
9  QUEEN EKATI Nov11 Oct23 Sep03 Aug02 Jul22 (mosier harold)HUGHES CARLY 121 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.