Handicappers' Racing Form

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Delta Downs
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
DED-1   11/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE ROCKY Sep27         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 121 12.00    
NOISE COMPLAINT Jul17         (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 121 3.50 9% 9.80    
BAY BE GONE Oct28 Sep17 Sep03 Jul24 Jul03 (garza joaquin)MORALES ROBERTO 121 4.50 46% 1.20    
MY STORY         (rosier charles)TORRES HUGO 113 15.00    
UXMAL         (guillory henry )VARGAS P 121 6.00    
AWESOME CAJUN Oct28 Oct06       (landry ray)STOKES J 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
STRICTLY CONFIDENT Oct28         (pike l)THORNTON G 121 8.00    
SCR  COOL SPIRIT Oct28 Aug03 May24 May05   (briley lonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00    
 
DED-2   11/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUCRE Nov09 Oct13 Feb05 Jan06   (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 1.60 65% 0.50    
SCR  SILVER SIREN Nov04 Oct06 Jul19 Jun28   (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 1.60    
APHRODITES REVENGE Nov05 Oct12 Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 (degeyter jr)STOKES J 123 4.50 9% 9.90    
BLUE RIDGE HEAT Oct21 Sep20 Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 (thompson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
BE A BANDIT Nov04 Oct06 Aug20 Aug03 Jul20 (zenon shelton)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00    
G'S DEADLINE Oct22 Sep19 Sep06 Jul04 Jun12 (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 113 3.00    
CAJUN SHOTS Jul13 Jul01 Jun17 May13 Apr15 (zenon shelton)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
PRETTY PRODUCTION Nov09 Jul20 Jul01 Jun17 May28 (zeno ben)RUIZ GARCIA 118 10.00    
 
DED-3   11/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWER CAT         (ingram steve)BIRZER E 121 15.00    
LOUISIANA FLASH Oct26 Oct05 Sep18 Sep03   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
STYLING HOOK Nov11 Oct26       (guillory james)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
WILLIE THE MAN Nov11 Oct27 Oct07 Sep18 Aug20 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE PUCK Nov04 May06 Apr21 Mar24 Mar03 (robbins hance)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00 7% 13.70    
KILO KEY         (saenz octavio)FLORES S 121 15.00    
FIELD OF VISION         (courville ricky)VARGAS P 121 12.00    
HEZA SEXY ZONG Nov12 Sep03 Jul23 Jul12 Jun27 (dison phillip )BARRERA J 118 15.00    
BETTABE BOURBON         (landry ray)STOKES J 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
10  KING OF CONTRABAND Feb16 Feb05 Jan21     (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00    
 
DED-4   11/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUE HAPPY Oct13 Aug26 Aug14 Jul18 Jul01 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.00 10% 9.20    
DATS A SUPERSTAR Oct08 Jul17 Jun04 May07 Apr16 (gibson jonas)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.00    
I GOT WINGS Apr28 Apr09 Mar17 Jan21   (zeno benjamin)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
RETRO RITA Oct28 Aug12       (diodoro robertino)MCMAHON J 121 3.50 51% 1.00    
ATLANTIC BAND Oct28 Sep27 Aug27 Aug06 Jun24 (gallaway)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 12.00    
ANGEL AND ME Nov11 Apr09 Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 121 6.00    
BELL PEPPER Oct22         (winslow janine)TORRES HUGO 116 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
DED-5   11/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT MAKING TREBLE Nov02 Oct12 Aug18 Aug04 Jul16 (bernard john)BARRERA J 118 5.00    
1A  FIFTYFIVE STRONG Oct05 Aug19 Jul31 Jun24 Jun11 (bernard john)TORRES HUGO 118 5.00    
PROUDTOWN Nov09 Oct20 Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 (west henry)FLORES S 118 15.00    
INDEFENSIBLE Oct20 Jul21 Jul02 May13 Apr23 (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
POLICY LIMIT Nov02 Oct20 Oct12 Aug19 Aug03 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 4.50 29% 2.40    
CONFESS Nov10 Oct20 Sep25 Aug28 Aug14 (zenon shelton)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 8.00    
C. F. CONGRESS Nov09 Sep24 Aug30 Aug15 Jul23 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 20.00    
BOTTOMLESS Nov05 Oct20 Sep19 Sep11 Aug20 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 3.50 8% 10.90    
LOWER CRETACEOUS Nov02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul26 Jun13 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
WITCH'S VOW Nov02 Oct12       (alberto antonio)THORNTON G 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-6   11/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGAL EAGLE Sep02 Jul17 Jun19     (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 2.50    
PINK HIGGINS Nov11 Oct14 Aug13 Jul31   (dunn ray)STOKES J 118 10.00    
SCR  SOMMELIER Nov11 Sep27       (goins garland)FLORES S 118 15.00    
SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Jul23 Jun05       (gelner jayde )DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00    
LET'S GO ROMEO Oct28 Sep17 Sep03 Jun26   (asmussen m)MCMAHON J 121 5.00 55% 0.80    
MORO MAFIA Nov16 Sep24 Sep13 Jul23 Jun19 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 116 4.50    
CLEARLY A JET Oct29 Oct14 Sep27 Sep13   (dixon tim)VARGAS P 118 15.00    
ASTROLOGY WONOWON         (granger randal)BARRERA J 113 10.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  FANCY PAYNTER Oct21 Aug27 Aug16     (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50    
 
DED-7   11/25/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONATIVE Nov09 Oct26 Sep25 Aug06 Jul23 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.50    
1A  TOUGH COMPANY Oct27 Sep25 Sep18 Aug19 Jul30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.50    
THAT'S D 'CAT Nov09 Oct14 Sep27 Aug06 Jul23 (ramirez eduard)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
EASTER SNAP Nov07 Oct07 Aug26 Jul17 Jul08 (gov)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
CORVETTE SPIRIT Oct27 Oct14       (melancon dona)FLORES S 123 15.00    
FIVE O ONE Nov05 Oct02 Sep02 Jul31 Jul15 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 4.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  PINCH ASSAULT Nov17 Oct27 Oct13 Aug20 Aug03 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
GUITARZAN Nov03 Jul23 Jun03 May26 May07 (segura kearney)BARRERA J 115 8.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  DREAM HALO Nov09 Oct12 Sep10 Aug15 Aug02 (clark d)STOKES J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
HUMPHREY Nov09 Oct27 Aug24 Jul29 Jul06 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 10.00    
 
DED-8   11/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPIRINGO Oct28 Aug29 Jun18 May31 May08 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50    
LUCKY MOON DOG Oct26 Sep03 Jul23     (taylor larry)BIRZER E 118 15.00    
CABOCHON TREASURE Nov02 Jul29 Jul09 Jun24   (reeves jeffery)MAGNON H 118 20.00    
HEZA PICKLE Nov02 Aug10 Jun24     (averett ronnie)STOKES J 118 5.00    
THEO D'OR Oct28 Aug29 Aug09 Jul23 Jun21 (dunn ray)VARGAS P 118 6.00 10% 9.40    
CHEERFOR MSHAWISH Jan21         (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00    
LUCAS ZIP IT Oct26 Oct05 Sep03 Jul22   (journet alber)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
HOLIDAY DIAMOND Oct26 Aug24 Jul27 Jul09 Jun18 (zenon shelton)THORNTON G 120 5.00 7% 12.60    
WICKED ROSE Oct26 Mar16 Feb26 Feb05 Jan21 (johnson b)COTTO L 118 2.50 52% 0.90    
10  PEANUT N IKE Oct28 Sep17 Aug29 Aug10 Jul22 (rosier charles)MCMAHON J 118 20.00    
SCR  JAMAICAN ME Nov04 Oct07 Jul09 Jun18 May19 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 10.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  BRYKEN N MITCHELL Nov10 Nov02 Oct14 Aug10 Jul07 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 6.00    
 
DED-9   11/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. PRIESTLY Aug24 Aug11 Jul28 Jun29 May28 (david b)THORNTON G 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
KORAT QUEEN Oct13 Aug18 Jul23     (west henry)BARRERA J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOUVENIR CHANNEL Aug10 Jul27 Jul16 Jun29 Jun11 (dison mar)POMPELL L 120 2.50 8% 12.20    
UNION GRAD Oct28 Jul15 Jun09 May20 May04 (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 116 15.00    
SLOOPY HANG ON Nov09 Oct20 Sep24 Aug20 Jul04 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SEEMYVALENTINE Nov11 Oct06 Aug27 Aug12 Jun30 (meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 6.00 34% 1.90    
CHATAIN'S EAGLE Nov09 Oct19 Sep27 Sep11 Aug14 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
CABEZA DE TORTUGA Nov11 Feb02 Jan12     (cormier winst)FLORES S 120 12.00    
TAP YOUR FRONT Nov11 Aug27 Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 (cezar je)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.