Handicappers' Racing Form

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Finger Lakes
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FL-1   11/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET TYPE Nov01 Oct11 Sep04 Aug12 Jun16 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.80 14% 6.20    
COUPS DE PARTY Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 4.00    
AZOGAR Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 (morales sa)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
MOCLIPS Nov01 Oct18 Sep10 Aug05 Jul09 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 1.40 50% 1.00    
WORK IT OUT Nov01 Oct11 Sep06 Aug24 Aug02 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 8.00    
ANOTHER IMAGE Nov08 Oct25 Sep27 Jul06 Jun08 (miller-saul beth)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
FL-2   11/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKERS DAUGHTER Sep05 Aug09 Jun25 May28 Apr30 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 124 1.50 65% 0.50    
INOUAINTALKINTOME Oct31 Oct11 Sep19 Sep06 Jul13 (lopez arc)NAVARRO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
EYE SEE SKIESOFBLU Oct26 Sep12       (bireta donna)GOMEZ O 121 6.00    
MISS CIRCULAR GAL Nov01 Oct11 Sep19 Aug15 Aug03 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 122 4.00    
BEAUTIFUL BANKS Nov01 Oct11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug16 (mastin kat)DAVIS A 117 10.00    
BECKY'S MISSION Nov01 Oct11 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.00    
 
FL-3   11/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEAN VERDILE Oct05 Sep20 Aug30 Aug16   (marino e)GOMEZ O 124 6.00 25% 2.90    
WINNING WITHHONOUR Nov08 Oct18 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00    
HOLY COWBOY Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 (breed a)COA J 124 15.00    
CONFORMIST Jun22 May31 Apr08 Mar19 Feb13 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 1.00 26% 2.80    
HEYITSNRICOPALAZO Oct18 Oct03 Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 (murphy timot)DE EMANUEL 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
WHERE YA GOIN OWEN Nov08 Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep20 (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
TUCKABUCKAWAY Aug29 Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 (grusmark karl)FRET STEVEN 124 8.00    
 
FL-4   11/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL MOON FEVER Oct10 Sep19 Aug24 Jul30 Jun30 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
KINGFISH Oct31 Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Aug03 (grabowski a)COA J 121 8.00    
BETA Oct24 Jun28 Jun13     (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 2.50 8% 11.10    
FIRST DEPUTY Nov07 Oct03 Sep17 Aug10 Jul26 (gutterson katly)DAVILA R 124 6.00    
DUCK POND ROAD Oct18 Sep19 Sep07 Aug29 Aug10 (ronen assaf)ROHENA JR 121 20.00 6% 15.10    
TROUBLESHOOTER Oct16 Sep07 Aug03 Jun26 May29 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.50    
DADDY KNOWS Oct24 Oct03 Sep03 Aug03 Jul10 (gutterson)NAVARRO J 121 4.00 38% 1.70    
 
FL-5   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 2 ALL PT- 2:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE LIEUTENANT Oct17 Sep21 Sep05 Aug07 Jul26 (rohena jose)CRUZ JOEL 120 5.00    
SCR  BLUE SOLDIER Oct17 Sep23 Aug10 Jul26   (rohena jose)PEREZ E 120 5.00    
CAPTAINOFMYHEART Oct19 Oct04       (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 8.00    
EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE Oct19 Oct04       (cook w)ROHENA JR 120 20.00    
LEO AND ROYAL         (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
SHORTSINTHEWINTER Oct19 Sep29 Jul29 Jun24   (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 4.00    
COLOR COMMISH Nov02 Oct25       (sells rach)DAVIS A 120 3.50    
HE'S GOT THE JACK Nov02         (englehart chris)DAVILA R 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
 
FL-6   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIVIA Oct26 Oct17 Sep26 Aug31 Aug15 (breed debr)DAVIS A 122 5.00    
THE NEW MIAMI Nov08 Oct26 Oct18 Oct04 Sep19 (vasquez ramon)CRUZ JOEL 122 15.00    
SCR  WINTER SIREN Nov08 Oct12 Sep28 Aug24 Aug03 (cabrera a)ROHENA JR 119 15.00    
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Nov04 Aug28 Jul22 Jun22 May23 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 2.50    
STIMULUS CHECK Oct24 Oct09 Sep06 Aug16 Jul21 (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 122 8.00 29% 2.50    
DOYOUKNOWWHOIAM Nov02 Aug29 Aug10 Jul06 Jun14 (sabine t)BAEZ JOSE 122 12.00    
HONORABLE LILLY Oct26 Oct17 Jun08 Mar30 Mar18 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 8.00    
DO WHAT IT TAKES Oct31 Oct11 Sep28 Sep06 Aug23 (dean iii)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
LEFT LEANING LUCY Nov02 Oct10 Sep12 Aug15 Jul20 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
10  TRINITY TITOLI Sep28 Sep19 Aug26 Jul17 Jul04 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
FL-7   11/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATESFREEDOM Nov01 Oct18 Sep13 Aug11 Jul22 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 2.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  TAPIT HAPPY JOHN Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug15 (gutterson)NAVARRO J 121 20.00    
KHALI'S DREAM Nov01 Oct18 Sep13 Aug31 Aug15 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 118 8.00    
YAH HUH Oct25 Oct11 Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 121 20.00    
SCR  JITTER JUICE Nov01 Sep28 Aug22 Aug09   (ferraro michael)COA J 124 1.80 55% 0.80    
LUCKY MANNY Nov01 Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 (acquilano james)NAVARRO KEVIN 118 5.00    
SEANAN Oct31 Sep21 Sep03 Jul29   (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00    
INTERSTATE Nov09 Oct26 Oct18 Sep28 Aug29 (cabrera jo)DAVIS A 121 8.00    
 
FL-8   11/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PAB Nov08 Oct24 Sep28 Sep12 Aug31 (gutierrez a)CRUZ JOEL 121 5.00 29% 2.40    
1A  STABILIZE Oct31 Oct04 Sep21 Sep12 Aug29 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 124 5.00    
RED PEPPER GRILL Nov08 Oct31 Oct11 Aug21 Jul11 (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 124 10.00 11% 8.20    
GRAPHITE DUTCHESS Nov07 Oct26 Oct17 Sep28 Sep12 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50    
TIME'S ON MY SIDE Oct31 Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 Jun30 (hillegass)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
FAIR LASSIE Oct31 Oct19 Aug29 Aug01 Jun21 (d'ale)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 12% 7.30    
BIG RED GIRL Oct31 Oct10 Aug22 Aug09 Jul26 (ferraro michael)COA J 124 6.00    
SALSA RITA Nov08 Oct20 Oct07 Sep16 Aug29 (ashley julius)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 11% 8.00    
ANSELMI Nov08 Oct11 Sep28 Aug15 Aug01 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 8.00    
FUNNY PURSUIT Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 Sep20 Aug31 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
10  CALL ME CARMELITA Oct19 Oct11 Sep26 Sep14 Sep06 (ficarella )DAVIS A 124 15.00    
11  SHE'S NOT BLUFFING Oct18 Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 Feb21 (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 124 8.00 8% 12.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.