Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - November 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE BAR Oct22 Oct13 Sep11 Aug15 Jul12 (morris ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 1.80    
2  FRONT PORCH Sep09 Aug27 Aug02 Jul20 Jun28 (shanley ti)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00 11% 8.50    
3  LET'S GET PHYSICAL Sep29 Aug26 Jul15 Jun25 May26 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
4  GOLD GUY Oct21 Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 Aug05 (butts e)ADAMS L 110 4.50 12% 7.10    
5  TYLER TIME Sep11 Aug26 Jul15 Jun29 May12 (mcfarlane b)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50    
6  THATZA ALPHA Oct28 Oct12 Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00    
7  CHAMPAGNE JAM Oct12 Sep01 May26 Apr28 Apr15 (barber donal)LEWIS M 112 20.00    
 
CT-2   11/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEAVINYOUINTHEDUST Oct06 Sep24 Aug19 Jul07 May28 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 3.00    
2  PRETTY CASTLE Sep28 Sep22 Sep07 Aug19 Jul30 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 4.00    
3  JUJU ON DA BEAT Oct06 Sep10 Aug25 Aug19 Jul15 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 121 2.50 ★    
4  ROO Oct29 Oct16 Oct06 Sep24 Aug19 (mcclure l)LARROSA G 121 30.00    
5  A BLONDE THING Oct13 Sep07 Aug19     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 119 4.50 ★    
6  GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) Oct01 Sep03 Jul24 Jun18 Apr30 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY null   5% 19.00    
7  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Oct20 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Aug11 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 115 6.00    
 
CT-3   11/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIAL CHIC Oct08 Aug26 Jul16 Jun25 Apr30 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 1.20 44% 1.30    
2  JEFFERSON NATIVE Oct15 Sep17 Aug26 Aug13 Jul14 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIVINING DANCER Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 Jul29 Jul16 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 118 50.00    
4  LIKE SEGAL May14 Feb24 Jan14     (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
5  MONEY MIKE Oct15 Oct02 Aug17 Aug06 Jun12 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 3.50    
6  NICO Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul16 Jun11 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  SANTO Oct07 Aug06 Jul09 Jun23 May20 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
 
CT-4   11/03/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPTAP Oct06 Sep22 Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 (pyke joseph)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 6.00    
2  FAR MORE         (groves janice)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
3  TUESDAY TOO Oct13 Jul21 Jun30 Apr29 Mar10 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 124 1.40 17% 4.90    
4  LADY GANGSTER         (kee willie )RAMGEET R 122 10.00 14% 6.30    
5  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Oct06 Sep22       (johnson j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
6  LITTLE O LITTLE E         (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 10.00    
7  LAURA'S GRAND Oct13 Jan26       (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
 
CT-5   11/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN APPEAL Oct12 Sep23 Sep14 Aug27   (craig e)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
2  BEVERLY PARK Oct15 Sep21 Aug26 Aug17 Jul23 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 0.60 70% 0.40    
3  KING NEKIA Oct06 Aug27 Aug04 Jul16 May26 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 8% 11.20    
4  E J'S REVENGE Oct14 Sep17 Sep05 Aug26 Aug15 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 12.00    
5  TRINGALE Oct06 Sep09 Jul14 Jun24 May06 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.00 ★    
6  MASAI MAN Oct13 Sep23 Aug23 Aug09 Jul05 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 6.00    
7  SHERIFF CHIP Oct08 Apr20 Apr01 Mar05 Feb03 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MY CANDY BIZ Oct26 Oct06 Sep08 Aug18 Jul09 (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 120 30.00    
 
CT-6   11/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  H P BIG HOPE Oct21 Oct05 Sep05 Jul16   (rodriguez ang)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
2  MORE PLEASE Oct05 Sep21 Jul29 Jun18 May20 (contreras )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  JACKIE A Sep25 Sep05 Aug21 Jul17   (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40    
4  JUNGLE WARRIOR Sep29 Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
5  SPUNTACULAR Oct04 Sep14 Jul11 Mar25 Mar06 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00    
6  FEARNOUGHT Oct08 Sep22 Aug23 Aug09 Jul30 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
SCR  TOP HAT TREASON Oct20 Sep29 Sep07 Jul21 Jun22 (dillon jacob)MARRERO CARLOS 120 50.00    
8  CHARLIE POTATOES Oct13 Sep07 Jul07 Jun16 May18 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 8% 11.90    
9  SHAMELESS RISK Oct13 Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00 46% 1.20    
 
CT-7   11/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEEL THE LOVE Oct22 Oct07 Sep10 Aug25 Aug04 (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 7% 12.70    
2  SECRET CASTLE Oct22 Sep28 Sep02 Aug20 Jul15 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 8.00    
3  GRACE ELIZABETH Oct08 Aug19 May20 Apr27 Feb17 (runco c)LEWIS M 110 5.00 13% 6.60    
4  COACH RUBE Oct22 Oct08 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 1.60 48% 1.10    
5  OCEAN LILLY Oct08 Sep07 Aug04 Jul02 May20 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50    
6  DISTORTED SPLENDOR Sep21 Aug19 Aug15 Jul14 Jun03 (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 30.00    
7  LADY MADISON Oct05 Aug01 Jun24 May20 Apr27 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 7% 13.70    
8  HERETODAYGONMANANA Sep30 Aug20 Jul21 May28 Apr30 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   11/03/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHYCANTTHISBELOVE Oct14 Oct01 Sep21 Sep02 Aug12 (espinosa victor)LIMA FELINO 113 30.00    
2  HURRICANE DIRECTOR Oct14 Sep28 Sep01 Aug13 Jul29 (mcgill sylvester)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
3  KYMMIES CHARDONNAY Sep21 Aug26 Aug13 Aug05 Jun11 (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
4  U S FUNDS Oct13 Oct01 Sep23 Sep03 Aug18 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
5  COUNTRY MAGIC Oct14 Jun23 May05 Apr14 Mar26 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
6  CHARM WEAVER Oct12 Sep21 Apr07 Mar11 Jan28 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
7  NY BETH GETSITDONE Sep28 Jul14 Jun25 Jun03 May19 (joy j)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00 32% 2.10    
8  LADY LICIOUS Oct14 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 7% 13.20    
9  WOLF CREEK PASS Sep22         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.