Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - November 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   11/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACCACI Jul01 Jan23 Jan01     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 1.80 37% 1.70    
BACHELORETTE Oct07 Aug29 Aug01 Apr22   (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 1.60 32% 2.10    
CAN'T FIGURE Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 Jul29 Jul14 (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 121 4.50    
FORT ZANNA Oct14 Sep16 Sep03 Aug05 Jul22 (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
NICE QUIST Jul28 Jun04       (corrales j)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 15.00    
LICENSE TO CARRY Sep23 Sep16 Sep03 Aug26   (espinosa vi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 30.00    
LINDA'S TAJ Oct07 Sep16 Sep03     (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 4.00 6% 14.80    
 
CT-2   11/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOT SPICE Sep30 Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 Jul08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 13% 6.60    
SUPERSNAKE Oct13 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 Jul26 (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
JESS FOR KICKS Sep30 Sep14 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 8% 12.30    
LEAH'S LEGACY Oct15 Sep24 Sep11 Aug05 Jul13 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
MISSING MY POINT Sep03 Feb17 Jan27     (pickett g)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
GRAM'S GAL Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 112 5.00    
SUZZETTE STAR Oct15 Oct01 Jul30 May08 Mar04 (raymond donov)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
CALIFORNIA SUZY Oct15 Sep28 Sep01 Aug13 Jun03 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 20.00 5% 18.30    
 
CT-3   11/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIGGY STARDUST Oct12 Sep14 Sep03     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
NEVERPOPTHECORK Oct08 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13   (casey a)LARROSA G 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
NO LOVE FOR JUBA Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23   (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00    
DENIZETTI Oct12 Sep24       (casey w)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
SPARKED A NOTION Oct15         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
TIME TO CHOOSE Sep14 Sep03 Aug13     (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
I'M THE MONEY MAN         (sigler rona)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 6.00    
TO THE TOP Oct06 Sep16 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (king yolonda)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
 
CT-4   11/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EX RATED Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 Jul01 (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 10.00    
AIM'S JUBILEE Oct08 Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 May28 (reggetts steph)RIOS-CONDE A 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
LONG LEGS LOUISE Oct13 Sep30 Sep07 Aug18 Jul16 (lewis r)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00    
WHALE OF A TIME Oct08 Sep15 Aug04 Jul14 Jun16 (contreras )ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 5.00 20% 3.90    
MISS LAUREN Oct06 Sep15 May25 May13 Apr21 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
SARAH'S WARRIOR Oct08 Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jul21 (viands stacey )MONTANO JOSE 118 8.00    
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Oct08 Sep15 Aug26 Jul30 Jul07 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 118 3.50 13% 6.40    
 
CT-5   11/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT BOSS Oct22 Sep09 Aug21 Jul31 Jun25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00    
LIQUID LOUIE Sep08 Aug25 Jul07 Jun22 May24 (jackson she)RAMGEET R 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY YEARS Oct14 Sep08 Aug19 Jun23 May27 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 8.00    
ACROSS THE AISLE Oct25 Oct12 Sep28 Aug17 Aug07 (clouston edward)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
SASSY KING Oct09 Sep26 Sep08 Jul22 Feb26 (davis g)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 5% 18.50    
LET US MAKE GOLD Sep29 Sep14 Sep05 Sep02 Aug20 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00    
FREEDOM RIDER Oct13 Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul23 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
MAILMAN'S A FLYER Oct26 Sep30 Aug09 Jul27 Jul15 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 15.00 9% 10.00    
ASSEMBLY POINT (BRZ) Oct09 Sep16 Sep04 Aug20 Jun17 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.80 33% 2.10    
 
CT-6   11/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE DANCER Oct12 Aug28 Jul23 Jun24 Jun01 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 9% 10.20    
NEWS FLASH Oct12 Sep14 Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
BAYTOWN FROSTY Oct12 Jul06 Jun22 Jun13 May23 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 10.00    
EMPEROROFTHEDARK Oct26 Oct10 Sep14 Aug15 Jul10 (treharne dave)PELTROCHE F 118 12.00    
INSIDE RISK Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 Sep14 Sep01 (caison l)CECIL Y 124 12.00    
BAYTOWN WARRIOR Oct12 Sep25 Aug24 Aug06 Jul03 (mcentee paul)ARAUJO DENIS 118 4.50    
PRIMAL DESTINY Sep22 Aug28 Jul28 Jul08 Jun09 (patter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.80 62% 0.60    
 
CT-7   11/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL MOON LOVER Oct08 Sep16 Aug18 Jul30 Jul01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 53% 0.90    
AT THE HALF Oct13 Sep28 Sep04 Aug22 Aug05 (scott lloy)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
CANVAS ART Oct02 Sep09 Jul30 Jul08 Mar09 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
COLLEGE KID Oct08 Sep16 Jul08 Jun03 May18 (scott lloyd)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 3.50 10% 8.90    
BET THE QUEEN Sep21 Sep07 Aug05 Jul18 Jun19 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 118 10.00    
SPARKLE SPRINKLE Sep30 Jan29       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 6.00    
GOT YOUR NUMBER Oct20 Sep28 Sep03 Aug18 Jul23 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.00 8% 12.00    
LADY STORM Sep07 Aug26 Jun18 May18 Apr23 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 8.00    
 
CT-8   11/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUDGE CAKE Jul28 Jun30 Jun10 May27 May15 (jones michae)LEWIS M 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
CLEARLY VISIBLE Oct12 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 Jul29 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 8.00 5% 17.70    
MAD MARY Sep21 Sep07 Aug19 Jul21 Jun29 (o'callahan ca)THORPE DARIUS 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
FOREST HALO Oct07 Sep28 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
ADABEL Sep28 Sep03 Jul22 Jun30 Mar19 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 6.00    
SCR  RUN AWESOME TIZ Sep25 Aug31 Aug15 Jul12 May14 (clouston edward)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
NANCYSAIDSO Oct12 Oct01 Aug22 Jul15 Jul01 (scott l)CECIL Y 124 5.00    
CAPTAIN SAM Oct12 Aug28 Aug22 Aug01 Jul09 (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
WARRIOR EMPRESS Oct26 Oct03 Sep12 Aug09 Aug02 (clouston edward)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.