Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAMBLE BEACH Sep21 Sep10 Jul17 Jun11 May29 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 6.00    
2  BAGE Sep21 Jun22 May17 Feb26 Jan21 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
3  MAGIC WIZARD Sep27 Sep14 Aug31 Jul28   (hendriks r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 41% 1.50    
4  WHONEW'S TREASURE Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul18 Feb25 (skawinski car)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
5  GRAVE DANGER Sep21 Sep08 Jul30 Jul02 Jun11 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 120 4.50 ★    
6  HE IS READY Sep21 Sep08 Aug22 Jul07 May30 (roman ma)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00 ★    
7  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Sep21 Aug29 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 5.00 ★    
 
PID-2   10/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A REAL HERO Sep13 Aug09 Jul21 Jun27 Jun11 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 ★    
SCR  MOON CHANT Sep21 Aug31 Aug19 Aug03 Jul06 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
3  CHARLIV Sep22 Sep08 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 (potts g)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
4  BIG NEWS COMING Sep14 Aug03 Jul13 Mar22 Mar07 (eidschun grego)JURADO EDDIE 122 10.00    
5  WINDY CITY GIRL Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Aug08 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
6  LACEE Sep29 Sep22 Sep12 Aug29 Aug17 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 124 4.50    
7  NOT ORBINARY Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jul04 Jan26 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 ★    
8  KEYPIT Sep22 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul18 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
PID-3   10/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP EMPIRE Sep08 Aug17 Jul19 Jul06 Jun15 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
2  CITY PLAN Sep28 Sep14 Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 (zook w)AYALA J 122 2.50 ★    
3  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Sep29 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
4  CANADIAN GAME Sep22 Jan23       (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
5  GIANT PAYDAY Jul16 Jul07 Jun11 Mar11 Feb11 (eidschun grego)JURADO EDDIE 122 3.50 ★    
6  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Sep15 Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 Jul06 (maddox a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 ★    
 
PID-4   10/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHT CRUISER Aug29 Aug15 Jul16 Jul02 Jun08 (eidschun grego)JURADO EDDIE 122 5.00 9% 9.60    
2  WATCHNTHEGIRLSGOBY Sep25 Sep10 Aug24 Jun25 Jun18 (heinen m)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 ★    
3  PUNX Sep21 Aug24 Jun28 Jun08 May24 (stokes lance)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
4  DECEIVER Sep20 Sep05 Aug24 Jul12 Jun14 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
5  PAPI BELLO Sep20 Sep08 Aug24 Jul03 Jun18 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 2.00 31% 2.30    
6  JUST PRAISE Sep21 Sep08 Mar27 Mar12 Feb04 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 118 12.00    
7  SEASIDE BOY Sep12 Mar20 Feb11 Jan07   (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 1.80 28% 2.50    
 
PID-5   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EVERY LITTLE BIT Sep21 Aug22 Jun27 May24   (lucarelli sha)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  LADY IN HEELS Sep14 Aug22 Aug03 Jul12 Jun27 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 8.00 ★    
3  ELIA Aug03 Jul14 May24     (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 ★    
4  LIGHTNING FIRE Sep22         (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50    
5  CHEROKEE CHATTER Sep26 Sep15 Aug16 Aug03 Jul27 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 ★    
6  RUNAWAY BREEZE Sep28 Sep13 Sep07 Aug24 Aug17 (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 12.00    
7  PRETTY RACHEL Sep14 Aug29 Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 (davis sc)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 51% 0.90    
 
PID-6   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Sep12 Jul13 Jul04 Jun22 Jun13 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 ★    
2  BLICHTON Sep22 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jul04 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.00    
3  JARETH Sep14 Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 (barron rory)ALLEN D 122 3.50 ★    
4  SAMURAI LEGACY Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 Jul21 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 ★    
5  STEVIS MAN Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 Jul13 Jul04 (radosevi)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
6  GUACO Sep12 Aug15 Jul21 Jul04 Jun27 (bowersock ma)AYALA J 122 10.00    
7  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX Sep22 Aug29 Jun27 Jun16 Jun02 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00 ★    
 
PID-7   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT Sep21 Jul23 Jul02     (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 29% 2.40    
2  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Sep22 Aug29 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  R FUNNY BIZNESS Sep20 Aug08 Jul09 Jun12 May28 (bennett gerald)ALLEN D 119 10.00    
4  TODO SOLA Sep07 Aug19 Jul20 May15 Apr08 (beattie )MARTINEZ A 121 6.00    
SCR  IRISH DREAM GIRL Sep21 Aug22 Jul23 Apr03 Mar09 (bennett s)SPIETH S 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  QUALITY TOO SPARE Sep08 Aug22 Jul18 Jul12 Jun09 (spanabel kel)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00    
7  LINGUISTIC Sep19 Aug29 Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
8  DO YOU LOVE ME Sep08 Jan26       (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 12.00    
9  POSH PLAYDAY Sep14 Aug03 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 124 3.00 ★    
 
PID-8   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVERS AT MIDNIGHT Sep26 Apr03 Mar20 Feb23 Feb09 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 15.00    
2  SPECIAL ASSISTANT Sep21 Aug26 Aug11 Jul21 Jul02 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 20.00 28% 2.60    
3  VAN HAVEN Sep15 Aug30 Aug12     (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
4  SPEED CHESS Sep01 May08 Apr23     (banach d)GALLARDO A 121 3.00    
5  LIBERTALIA Sep26 Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 Jul11 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 5.00    
6  SWEET AMY Sep26 Aug30 Aug17 Jul20 Jun22 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 121 4.50 ★    
7  DYNA'S HONOR         (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 6.00    
8  BROKEN LOVE Sep29 Sep14 Sep07 Aug03 Jul05 (wilson arian)ALENCAR WALBER 124 12.00 ★    
SCR  THATS ALL SHEWROTE Aug13 Jun25 Apr16 Apr02 Mar16 (bennett s)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.