Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Thursday - April 23, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/2/8/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/2/8/6/9)-(8/7/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-2   WIN (3/2/8/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/6/9)-(3/2/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/6/9)-(3/2/8/6/9)-(3/2/8/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/8/6/9)-(8/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8/6/9)-(8/7/3/6)-(8/9/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-3   WIN (8/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/3/6)-(8/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3/6)-(8/9/2)-(2/8/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-4   WIN (8/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/2)-(8/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/9/2)-(8/9/2)-(8/9/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/9/2)-(2/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/2)-(2/8/5/7)-(2/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
KEE-5   WIN (2/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/5/7)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/7)-(2/7/1)-(6/5/10/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-6   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(6/5/10/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(6/5/10/12)-(2/10/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-7   WIN (6/5/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/10/12)-(6/5/10/4/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
KEE-8   WIN (2/10/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/3/8)-(2/10/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/3/8)-(2/10/3/1/8)-(2/10/3/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/3/8)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
KEE-9   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/11/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/11/12)-(5/2/3/11/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/23/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF A WALKON Mar05 Dec27 Dec05 Oct12 Sep12 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SO SPECIAL Nov21 Oct11 Sep13 Aug04 Jul06 (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
3  COLT FORTY SEVEN Mar05 Feb14 Jan17 Nov22 Nov07 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 13% 6.90    
4  JETER Feb20 Feb05       (cox h)TORRES A 118 4.00    
5  POLITICS Mar05 Nov22 Sep27 Sep10   (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
6  GETHSEMANE Apr04 Mar01 Jan17 Dec20   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 0.60 57% 0.80    
 
KEE-2   04/23/2026 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEE R ONE Apr09         (mcentee paul)SHEEHY DANNY 119 20.00    
  (by RAGING BULL out of COLOUR PARTY by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
2  TOLSTOY (IRE)         (walsh brendan )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by KINGMAN (GB) out of WAR AND PEACE by FRANKEL (GB))
3  THROUGH THE YEARS         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 116 1.40 32% 2.10    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SPIRIT QUEEN by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
4  AUTOMATIC PRESS         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of GO GO DANA by MALIBU MOON)
5  JOE JOE DUDE Apr03         (colebrook ben)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HOLLYWOOD HOOPLA by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
6  SILVER JEWEL         (matejka pavel)MACHADO DYLAN 119 20.00 6% 15.80    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of PARTY NOW by TIZNOW)
7  CROSS POWER Apr03         (carpio ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 30.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of QUIET DRAMA by BIG DRAMA)
8  WARTIME         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 6% 14.50    
  (by BROKEN VOW (IRE) out of HOODOOLAND by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  RANDIE'S RASCAL         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 116 10.00 6% 15.80    
  (by BLUE POINT out of FOXY RASCAL by DABIRSIM)
 
KEE-3   04/23/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL SHIPMAN Apr03 Mar14 Feb11 Dec04 Oct31 (pomier ch)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
2  TURKISH PISTACHIO Mar19 Mar01 Jan29 Jan04 Dec07 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
3  EVOLUTION Feb14 Jan04 Dec06 Oct25 Sep06 (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 13% 7.00    
4  MYA PAPAYA Feb27 Nov28 Oct18     (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50    
5  TRAJECT Apr03 Mar07 Dec19 Nov01   (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
6  ALTA AVENUE Apr03 Mar11 Feb27 Nov23 Nov07 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FERMI Apr11 Mar27 Mar19 Feb26 Jan30 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 27% 2.70    
8  GRACIE'S DELIGHT Feb21 Dec10 Oct25 Jul10 Jun08 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.80 34% 2.00    
 
KEE-4   04/23/2026 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST DRIVER         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DESERT ROSE DRIVE by A.P. INDY)
2  ITCHY Mar20 Feb25 Feb06 Sep14   (barker w)MOJICA JR 120 20.00 7% 12.80    
  (by OUTFLANKER out of SWEET MIRAGE by DARN THAT ALARM)
3  SEVENTY SIX         (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of WILD YEAR by TIZNOW)
SCR  CERBERUS Jan31         (robson laure)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of BIRD FU by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  SOHO JIMMY Feb19         (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of BELLEZZA ROSSO by TAPIT)
SCR  NEIGH BABY Mar20 Feb05 Oct09 Aug30 Aug08 (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 120 2.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PROPOSE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  NO POLITICS Mar05         (lovell miche)TORRES A 120 10.00    
  (by YAUPON out of WHATDOESASHARKSAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
8  KOKOMO JOE Mar05         (sims matthew )MACHADO DYLAN 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
  (by MO TOWN out of DON'T CHARGE IT by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
9  GENTLEMAN JIM Mar14 Feb19 Jan02 Nov07 Oct11 (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 120 4.00 9% 10.30    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of TO DREAM ABOUT by MONARCHOS)
 
KEE-5   04/23/2026 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERSUS Nov01 Sep27 Sep01 Aug13 Jun28 (breen j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
2  TALBINGO Mar28 Jan31 Nov13 Mar27 Feb28 (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.20 56% 0.80    
3  DAUNT Nov30 Oct12 Sep25 Aug09 Jul19 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
4  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN Mar20 Aug18 Aug03 Jun08 May10 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
5  EJTIMAA Apr09 Feb22 May11 Apr06 Mar22 (dini mike)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 6% 16.80    
6  MOUNT RUNDLE Feb20 Nov30 Nov08 Jun21 May18 (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
7  MESERO Jan24 Oct25 Sep28 Sep06 Aug02 (romans dale)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOLEIL VOLANT Nov08 Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 Jun28 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
KEE-6   04/23/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASHALLAH         (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of ALL IN WITH ACES by QUIET AMERICAN)
2  IMMORTALIZE Jul26         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of D' ELEGANCE by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  EPISODIC         (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of BELIEVABLE by FINALITY)
SCR  ROGUE AGENT         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
  (by ANJIZ out of RULER'S STORM by IRISH RULER)
SCR  MAGIC WOMAN Apr02         (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00    
  (by ALWUHUSH out of LAUREANA by MALIBU MOON)
6  COLD SPELL         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50    
  (by NORTHERN BABY out of ICECAPADE QUEEN by ICECAPADE)
7  RUBY REGENT Mar21         (lobo paulo)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
8  KARMA WINS Nov29 Oct05       (begley greg)PAULY SUMMER 115 30.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of IN SPEIGHT OF SARA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  IN SCOPE         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BRIELLE'S APPEAL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
KEE-7   04/23/2026 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Apr01 Dec29 Nov05 Sep19 Aug08 (linder jr)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
2  CLASSIC APPEAL Mar21 Feb28 Sep14 Jun06 Feb23 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
SCR  WORRY BE GONE Mar27 Feb12 Dec20     (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.00    
4  ETAWA (IRE) Mar21         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 ★    
5  ONTARIO (IRE) Mar14 Feb17 Jan22 Nov27 Oct25 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 10% 9.00    
6  TRICKY KITTY Mar27 Jan10 Nov22 Oct24 Sep19 (walsh brendan )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 63% 0.60    
7  SMOKIN HOT BLONDE Apr12 Mar27 Mar06 Feb25 Dec04 (kelley a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
SCR  SHEILA'S LION Mar14 Jan19 Dec26 Nov16 Nov07 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
9  JERSEYS PARADE Mar19 Mar06 Feb13 Jan15 Dec06 (meredith cha)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 20.00    
10  MALIBU SMART Mar27 Feb17 Jan19 Dec06 Nov27 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  GIGI'S WORLD Mar26 Feb07 Dec27 Dec03 Apr24 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 20.00    
12  LES IS BEST Jan17 Jan02 Nov07 Sep25 Aug30 (cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-8   04/23/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH MANDY         (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 4.50 ★    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SPEEDY MANDATE by STRONG MANDATE)
2  AEGIS Mar13 Jan30 Dec27 Nov20   (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of AMERICAN MODEL by BAYERN)
3  HAUNTING ECHOES Mar30 Mar04 Jan14 Nov04 Oct15 (linder louis)TORRES A 120 12.00 10% 9.10    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of SILENT STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  DARING MOVE May01 Apr16       (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NASHINDY by A.P. INDY)
5  UNION ROAR         (young r)PAULY SUMMER 120 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SHE IS A LIONESS by LION HEART)
6  MIKA'S WAY         (mitchell sherm)HISBY RONALD 120 10.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of FULL MOON FROLIC by VINDICATION)
7  TOOCOOLFORSCHOOL         (stidham michae)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of KEEPSHERCOOL by SMART STRIKE)
8  NUT BUSH CITY Mar13 Feb14       (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CHARLATAN out of FOREST LAKE by FORESTRY)
SCR  ARMY'S MARAUDER Mar26 Feb19 Dec27     (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of VIOLATE by SLEW O' GOLD)
10  POISE         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 14% 6.20    
  (by SWORD DANCE (IRE) out of MY FLING by DANZIG)
 
KEE-9   04/23/2026 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS PHARAOH Dec20 Nov21 Oct09 Jun29 Jun07 (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MISS CHALLENGE by MORE THAN READY)
2  MARY LOIS (IRE) Dec27         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 26% 2.80    
  (by SKIMMING out of TRUMPING by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  OLATZ (GB) Mar13 Nov14       (schultz lindsa)ROSARIO JOEL 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of TIME SAVER by MAZEL TRICK)
4  MORE CASH FLOW         (o'connell pat)LEBRON VICTOR 126 30.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of REVENUE by TAX COLLECTION)
5  WHITETHORN Feb05 Dec27 Nov05 Sep26   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 46% 1.20    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of COGNITIVE by UNCLE MO)
SCR  AMERICAN DEBUTANTE (IRE) Sep19 Aug03 Jul05     (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 126 3.00    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of HEIGHT OF ELEGANCE by GALILEO)
7  YOU'RE SO VAIN Dec04 Nov02 Aug29     (cruz)ANTONGEORGI JR 126 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LOOK AT ME by FAIR AMERICAN)
8  RACONTEUSE Mar06 Feb06 Dec19 Nov23 Feb14 (wilkes r)CASTELLANO J 126 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
9  TENDER TEMPER Feb06 Jan18 Nov14     (walden willi)TORRES A 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LEGAL TENDER by JUDGE T C)
10  MARCINKOWSKI Aug10 Jul03 Jun07 Sep01   (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 126 20.00    
  (by BLAME out of VERDURA by SMART STRIKE)
11  PEACHY CANYON (IRE) Mar29         (robson lauren)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 ★    
  (by BENCHMARK out of MONEY MAKER by SKY MESA)
12  DON'T LOOK NOW Mar22 Dec20 Nov21 Oct09 Sep06 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 126 8.00 ★    
  (by OPEN FORUM out of AVERT YOUR EYE'S by NORTH POLE)
SCR  ROILING Mar06 Feb12 Nov09 Oct09 Sep10 (miller darrin)MACHADO DYLAN 126 30.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PRETTY ZIPPY by CITY ZIP)
SCR  VIA VENETO Mar22 Jan25 Dec27 Nov30 Aug29 (antonacci philip)SAEZ LUIS 126 4.00    
  (by ORIENTATE (GB) out of MISTRESS OF PETRA by TEMPLE CITY)
SCR  GOLDEN HOPE Jan31         (lightner mary)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of FUTURE SHOW by MALIBU MOON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.