Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 15, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(6/1/5)-(3/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(3/5/2)-(6/2/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(6/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/3/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/1)-(6/3/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/1)-(6/3/8/1)-(2/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/1)-(6/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/1)-(6/3/8/1)-(6/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/1)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/1)-(2/5/1)-(8/2/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(8/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/4)-(8/2/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/4)-(8/2/6/4/7)-(8/2/6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/15/2026 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THORSNESS Dec26 Nov23 Oct24 Sep19 Feb27 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50    
2  UNCLE BARRIE Dec26 Nov23 Nov16 Oct17 Sep21 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAGNANIMOUS MAX Dec12 Nov23 Jan25     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
4  COME TO PAPA Nov21 Oct29 Sep12 Aug08 Jun21 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
5  BIG BROWN DELIVERS Dec31 Oct20 Oct06 Sep16 Sep08 (d'alessandr)RIVERA A 115 20.00    
6  NOGUCHI Nov23 Oct11 Aug27 Jul30 Jun20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
AQU-2   01/15/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Dec28 Dec07 Nov12 Oct16 Aug31 (schettino d)RIVERA A 116 6.00 14% 6.20    
2  PURPLE AND GOLD Jan02 Oct08 Aug23 Jul05 Jun11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.00    
3  CHA CHA WREN Dec28 Dec07 Nov12 Oct16 Sep18 (noda or)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 5.00    
4  AUTUMN'S TURN Jan04 Dec05 Nov09 Sep13 Aug24 (potts wayne)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
5  FURRY FOX Dec28 Dec07 Nov12 Oct16 Jan16 (bhigroog)VILLA FAVINHO 123 10.00 9% 10.50    
6  HEAVENS LEE Nov09 Sep20 Aug23 Apr03 Feb27 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 38% 1.60    
 
AQU-3   01/15/2026 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($83K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESPO'S DREAM Dec06 Nov13 Aug24 Aug07 Jul23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50    
2  PURR FACTOR Nov29 Oct18 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 (gittens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  ATARAH Nov21 Sep13 Aug06 Apr17 Mar22 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
4  ROMAN GRACE Mar08 Jan18 May03 Apr05 Mar09 (green ameli)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50    
5  ROMANTIC DANCER Jan02 Nov26 Oct25 Oct17 Jan04 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  PROUD FOOT Dec11 Nov28 Nov12 Jul10 Jun07 (dutrow richard)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00    
 
AQU-4   01/15/2026 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAY THE BILLS (FR) Dec04 Nov02 Sep21 Aug24 Jul24 (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of AVOCATE by LAWMAN)
2  RAGHBA Nov12 Aug14 Jul10 Jun05 May02 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
  (by CURLIN out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
3  FORMAGGIO Dec04 Oct30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep22 (brion ke)SANTANA JR 122 3.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LAQUEZZA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  DIMENSIONALITY Dec12 Oct26 Aug17 Jul18 Jun05 (terranova j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARACARO out of DIVIDED BY THREE by SHACKLEFORD)
5  LAYLANI LOU Dec04 Nov02 Oct03 Sep01   (martin carl)RIVERA A 115 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MISS LUANN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  LOST HORIZON Jul10 Jun06       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.00 51% 1.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WOW CAT by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
7  TRANGO TOWER Dec12 Nov12 Aug30 Jul05 Aug11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of LEWIS BAY by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-5   01/15/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECT FROM IKE Dec05 Oct22 May24 Mar16 Feb27 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAPIZAR'S TEMPER Dec13 Nov23 Oct20 Sep13 Aug13 (sells rache)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 20.00    
3  AIRBORNE ELITE Dec27 Dec05 Aug16 Jul14 Jun20 (potts wayne)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 11% 8.30    
4  PANAGIOTIS Jan03 Dec05 Nov14 Jun27 Jun11 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.50    
5  CAPT JAX PARROW Dec31 Dec05 Nov14 Oct10 Sep20 (barrera)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 3.50    
6  LEADING ROLE Jan03 Dec10 Nov13 Oct04 Sep14 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
7  ARI'S MAGIC Jul30 Jun30 May26 Apr04 Dec28 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
8  TIOTE Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Jul04 Jun15 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   01/15/2026 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. PAPAGIORGIO Oct24 Sep25 Jul19 Jun20 May23 (dutrow richar)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 12% 7.30    
2  FEELING WOOZY Dec12 Nov25 Oct28 Sep24 Aug24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  ANALOG JONES Dec27 Nov25 Nov11 Oct15 Sep24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
4  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Nov29 Sep25 Aug28 Aug02 Jul04 (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 5.00    
5  SYSTEMIC CHANGE Dec05 Nov13 Oct18 Sep25 Aug31 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  NEON BORDEAUX Dec11 Nov07 Oct10 Apr26 Apr04 (dutrow richard)CIVACI SAHIN 123 6.00    
7  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Dec27 Oct18 Aug16 Jul04 Apr17 (synnefia)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
8  STOLEN BASE Aug16 Jun28 May18 Apr13 Mar09 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
 
AQU-7   01/15/2026 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($35K) Purse ($57K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOGA DAN Dec12 Nov28 Nov07 Oct05 Aug07 (schettino domi)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00    
2  SMILENSAYCHEESE Dec13 Dec04 Oct22 Oct04 Jul16 (delauro edward)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
3  JOE WEST Dec07 Nov14 Oct13 Sep02 Jul23 (begg ja)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 8.00    
4  THIS TIME YES Jan03 Nov26 Nov04 Oct06 Sep02 (barrow paul)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OATH OF OMERTA Jan01 Oct22 Aug28 Jul27 Jun14 (antonucci jena )CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00    
6  MO KREESA Nov14 Nov01 Oct11 Sep12 Aug21 (hennig mark)CIVACI SAHIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MO FOR THE KING Dec12 Nov29 Sep19 Aug28 Aug07 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 123 4.00 ★    
8  MAD BANKER Dec09 Nov16 Oct27 Aug27 Jul30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 51% 1.00    
9  SMALLCHANGEGEEP Dec28 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Sep21 (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.