Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - November 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(8/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(8/6/2/4)-(6/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (8/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/2/4)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/4)-(6/3/2)-(7/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(7/5/6)-(2/1/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(2/1/7/3)-(4/3/1/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/3)-(4/3/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/3)-(4/3/1/8/2)-(7/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/3/1/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/8/2)-(4/3/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/8/2)-(4/3/1/8/2)-(4/3/1/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/1/8/2)-(7/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/8/2)-(7/2/4)-(8/6/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(8/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(8/6/2/3)-(3/2/6/12/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/2/3)-(3/2/6/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/2/6/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/12/7)-(3/2/6/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/12/7)-(3/2/6/12/7)-(3/2/6/12/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMENTUM FILES Oct05 Aug10 Jun28 Oct31 Sep15 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 0.80 38% 1.60    
2  KAVANAUGH Oct22 Sep01 Aug07 Jul13 Jun28 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 121 3.50    
SCR  DR. INSEL Oct24 Sep12 Oct12     (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00    
4  QUIET MOON Oct24 Oct05 Feb23 Feb07   (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 121 4.50    
5  PARTY WITH SMARTY Nov06 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 Aug27 (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SEQUENTIAL Nov06 Jun14 May24 Apr10 Jun02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-2   11/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALLCHANGEGEEP Oct26 Sep21 Aug31 Jul27 Jul13 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
2  INONIT Jul27 Apr19 Mar16 Apr13 Mar24 (lugovich lisa )LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
3  SOLO JIM Oct25 Aug15 Jul27 Jun06   (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00    
4  CARLIN CONTENTION Oct17 Sep21 Sep01 Aug14 Jul17 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNCLE BARRIE Oct17 Sep21 Aug31 Aug14 Aug01 (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 121 30.00    
6  METATRON Oct22 Sep12 Jun06 Apr13   (morley t)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  LUCKY DRAGON Oct17 Sep28 Mar23 Feb22 Jan25 (miceli mic)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
8  GOOD COP Oct17 Sep19       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 41% 1.50    
 
AQU-3   11/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Pebbles Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARADISE CITY Oct18 Sep20 Aug22 Jul05 Apr26 (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of WASHINGTON BRIDGE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
2  IT AIN'T TWO (GB) Oct11 Sep06 Jul26 Jun21 May10 (mott riley)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALYX out of USRA by REQUINTO)
3  CORRETO Oct24 Feb01 Jan04 Nov01 Oct06 (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SPOOKY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  LOVE YOU ANYWAY Oct24 Sep06 Jun28 Apr17 Mar08 (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS LA QUINTA by QUALITY ROAD)
5  FAST MARKET Oct18 Sep21 Aug21 Jul20 Jun15 (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.80    
  (by VOLATILE out of BETTY DRAPER by STREET CRY)
6  PEAK HYPE Oct04 Aug31 Aug02 Jul03   (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TOYGER by NYQUIST)
 
AQU-4   11/16/2025 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COILED Sep20 Sep03 Apr23 Mar05 Dec20 (delacour arnaud)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
2  NIAGARA SKYLINE Nov01 Oct16 Sep13 Aug16 Jul20 (abreu ferna)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00    
SCR  RUDDY BUDDY Oct24 Oct05 Sep13 Aug30 Aug06 (werneth robert)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
4  STARSHIP TITAN Oct04 Aug15 Jul27     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50    
5  EXACT ESTIMATE Sep27 Aug09 Jun19 Apr19 Jan25 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
6  MAGICAL WAYS Sep27 Aug09 Jul12 Jun07 May10 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SPIRIT PRINCE Aug31 Jul19 Nov01 Oct06 Aug24 (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  V CRUIZER Oct11 Jul30       (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  IRISH CORK Oct21 Apr09 Mar18 Feb27 Dec31 (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
SCR  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Sep25 Aug21 Jul12 Jun28 Jun07 (abreu fernando)RIDER TBA 121 3.00    
SCR  WAITLIST Nov08 Oct11 Sep13 Aug30 Jul17 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00    
SCR  WHITTINGTON PARK Oct25 Oct18 Sep25 Aug17 Jul11 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 123 6.00    
SCR  TOP GUN ROCKET Oct24 Aug31 Jul12 Jun07 May23 (synnefias panag)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  CRUSHED IT Oct24 Oct02 Aug31 Jun14 Apr13 (abreu fernando)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
 
AQU-5   11/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREDIT HISTORY Oct17 Sep13       (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALTAMURA by ARTIE SCHILLER)
2  OTTINHO         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of QUIET GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  ENFORCED AGENDA         (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HEART AND HOPE by TAPIT)
4  UP YONDER         (brown ch)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MOONLIGHT SKY by SKY MESA)
5  GULFY Oct26 Sep13       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GULF COAST by UNION RAGS)
6  FIGHTFORALLEGIANCE Oct26         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of STARTWITHSILVER by JUMP START)
7  FELONIOUS Oct16         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 24% 3.10    
  (by CHARLATAN out of CRIMINAL MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  BALTIMORE         (summers ch)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WIN THE WAR by WAR FRONT)
 
AQU-6   11/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG MAGIC (IRE) Oct26 Sep21 Apr23     (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.50 15% 5.80    
  (by EARTHLIGHT out of BLANCHE NEIGE by HALLING)
2  CLASSIC CARA Oct03 Aug24 Jul24 Jun21 May18 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GEOGRAPHIC by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  MARKETPLACEOFIDEAS (GB) Mar19         (brown ch)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of MEGAN LILY by DRAGON PULSE)
4  ELLESMERE ISLAND Oct03         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by FROSTED out of ISLAND REWARD by STREET BOSS)
5  CHANNEL CHECK (GB) Oct26 Sep19 Aug29 Aug03 May25 (morey william)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of GUMRIYAH by SHAMARDAL)
6  DIMENSIONALITY Oct26 Aug17 Jul18 Jun05 May23 (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00    
  (by CARACARO out of DIVIDED BY THREE by SHACKLEFORD)
7  TIGHT LINE Oct19 Oct03 May25     (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TRAILBLAZER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  AMAZING GRACER Oct24 Aug24 Jun29     (bond ke)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS GRACER by UNCLE MO)
SCR  ON A SUMMER DAY Nov09 Oct22 Sep20 Jul26 Jun29 (pregman j)CIVACI SAHIN 121 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ON OAKS DAY by MALIBU MOON)
10  PARAIBA BLUE Oct05 Sep11 Jul24 Jun21 May02 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 121 50.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of AQUA BLUE by AIR FORCE BLUE)
SCR  TRANGO TOWER Nov12 Aug30 Jul05 Aug11   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.60    
  (by CURLIN out of LEWIS BAY by BERNARDINI)
SCR  SNIDE Sep21 Jun21       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50    
  (by TONALIST out of NEW NORMAL by FORESTRY)
 
AQU-7   11/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Forever Together Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BONNIE T Oct18 Nov01 Oct03 Sep22 Aug04 (arriaga)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 30.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of RADIANT CUT by SHARP HUMOR)
2  NICE AS PIE Oct06 Sep10 Aug02 Jul05 Mar15 (danner k)SANTANA JR 121 5.00 29% 2.40    
  (by TAPITURE out of HOW NICE by TALINUM)
SCR  SIRONA (GER) Oct05 Sep13       (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00    
  (by IRISH STRONGHOLD out of SI LUNA by KALLISTO)
4  MALLEYMOO Oct09 Sep04 Jul24 Sep08 Aug16 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TANGAROO by LONHRO (AUS))
5  SPINNING COLORS Oct25 Sep14 Aug22 Jul10 Jun04 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 123 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of KALEIDOSCOPE by HONEST PLEASURE)
6  FLOWERS FOR ME Oct19 Sep14 Aug17 Jul23 Nov17 (ryerson jame)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of I DO DECLARE by DECLARATION OF WAR)
7  OVERSUBSCRIBED (GB) Nov08 Oct12 Jul20 Jun22 May05 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.20 46% 1.20    
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of ZURIGHA by CAPE CROSS)
SCR  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Nov08 Sep06 Jul20 Jun28 Jun06 (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 125 3.00    
  (by FLATTER out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
SCR  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Oct25 Aug23 Jun04 Apr06 Feb22 (schettino dom)SILVERA RUBEN 125 1.40    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
SCR  TIPPLE Nov02 Sep06 Aug01 Jun26 Apr12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE HENNESSY by HENNESSY)
 
AQU-8   11/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGY'S PALACE Sep21 Aug22 Jun07 Apr19 Feb09 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 20.00    
2  TOP GUN GIRL Oct26 Sep26 Sep04 Jul26 Jun27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00 10% 8.70    
3  TWIRLING BEAUTY Sep13 Aug04 Jun07 Apr27 Mar15 (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 17.30    
4  BRZINA Oct18 May16 Apr03 Mar02 Jan10 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
5  KHALI MAGIC Oct25 Sep21 Aug30 Aug21 Jun26 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
6  ROSWELL Sep21 Aug24 Jul19 Jun07 Nov07 (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  ALL CLASS Sep27 Aug20 Jul23 Jun13 May09 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50    
8  WITH THE ANGELS Oct16 Nov17 Oct27 Sep22 Aug22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 45% 1.20    
 
AQU-9   11/16/2025 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLA GATA Oct04 Sep17 Aug30 Aug08 May03 (synnefias dimit)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00    
2  PERKY Apr11 Mar15       (clement mig)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
3  SIYOUNI FLASH (FR) Oct19 Sep19 Sep01 Apr23   (mcpeek kenne)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  LUCKFORYOU Oct19 Oct04 Aug01 Jun14 May23 (romero je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 50.00    
5  BOBBY M'S GIRL Oct25 Oct09 Aug30 Aug06 Jun04 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
6  CYNANE Oct18 Sep27 Aug28 Jun12 Apr11 (cox h)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 19% 4.30    
7  POOKIE Oct19 Sep26 Aug31 Jul26 May25 (morley t)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BOBBY JEAN Oct18 Aug24 Jul19 Jun20 May01 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
9  TRAIL OF GOLD Sep26 Aug13 Jul16 Jun12 May17 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50    
10  MISS BEETHOVEN (FR) Apr05         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  RACING COLORS Oct25 Oct04 Sep21 Sep01 Jul30 (follett norman)SIMPSON W 123 30.00    
12  CURLIN'S GIRL Oct23 Sep16 Sep03 Aug18 Jul28 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 123 15.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  BABY SASSICAIA Nov07 Oct18 Oct09 Sep20 Sep11 (arriaga anton)SILVERA RUBEN 121 50.00    
SCR  PURLOIN Oct09 Sep11 Jun19 Jun05 Apr23 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
SCR  WALK WITH ME Oct13 Sep28 Sep01 Jul11 Jun13 (duggan p)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
SCR  LUNA MOTH Oct03 Sep21 Jun29 Jun05 May26 (friedman)SANTANA JR 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.