Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/1)-(7/4/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/1)-(7/4/5/6)-(4/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/6)-(4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/6)-(4/3)-(3/2/1/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(3/2/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(3/2/1/4)-(4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/4)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/4)-(4/1/5)-(1/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/5/3)-(5/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(5/4/6)-(3/6/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART LIGHT Aug25 Aug13 Jul27 Jul09 Jun18 (romero os)MARTINEZ L 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Jul31 Jun19 Apr27 Mar30 Feb20 (rhoden carlton)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
3  SACRED CONNECTION Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 Jun23 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
4  LATE NITE LIZZIE Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 Jun03 May13 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
SCR  MY CAJUN LADY Aug21 Aug03 Jun23 Jun04 May13 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.50    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Aug18 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 May17 (er)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF AUDREY Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 May21 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
8  LUBU Aug21 Aug05 Jun23 Jun03 Feb06 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
TDN-2   09/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGNELLO'S DREAM Aug19 Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 May21 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 123 15.00    
2  POPPY'S PRIDE Jul14 Jul07 Jun10 Apr23 Apr01 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00    
3  CLASSIC RICHIE Aug20 Jul02 Jun03 May13 Apr22 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 123 6.00    
4  AUGER Aug19 Aug07 Jul10 Jun25 May20 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 12% 7.40    
5  WILLTORUN Aug04 Jul02 May17 Apr12 Feb24 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 12% 7.50    
6  BOURBON ON FIRE Aug26 Aug10 Jun30 Jun10 May20 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  P H FACTOR Aug19 Aug07 Jul10 Jun18 Jun02 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
8  ROUNDBALL ROCK Aug18 Aug03 Jul03 Jun12 May23 (romero oscar)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50    
 
TDN-3   09/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY THE CAT Oct11 Aug27 Aug13 Jul25 Jul04 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 1.80    
2  SPIN DOCTOR Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May21 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.60    
3  PECKS NOT BAD Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jul16 Jun25 (jackson r)PARKER L 123 4.50 14% 6.20    
4  OAKS HONEY Aug06 May12 Mar31 Feb05 Dec05 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 123 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  RUN ROCKY Jul17 Jun25 Sep09 Aug06 Jul10 (brown t)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00    
 
TDN-4   09/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO GOLD Aug19 Aug06 Jul10 Jun25 May22 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 4.50 15% 5.60    
2  PROSECUTOR Aug19 Aug06 Jul14 Jun26 Jun10 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  FACT NOT FICTION Jun07 May13 Oct30 Oct10 Sep03 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  SUSIE'S KID Aug19 Aug06 Jul03 Jun17 May21 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Aug27 Aug12 Jul09 May27 Apr29 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00    
6  LITTLE TOY GUNS Aug18 Jun21 Jun03 May03 Apr09 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
7  MUTINY Aug27 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 May21 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
8  MAY MAYHEM Jul17 Jun21 May28 May03 Sep26 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 5.00    
 
TDN-5   09/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLT'S TREASURE Aug19 Aug04 Jun23 May29 May08 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 27% 2.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TREASURE BOX by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  BOUND TO SUCCEED Aug24 Aug04 Jun26 May03 Feb15 (trevino st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of EMPRESSOF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  MARAVICH Aug27 Aug13 May13 Apr29 Apr13 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 123 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JENNIFER'S DREAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  IT'S LAST CALL Aug19 Aug04 Jun23 May29 May08 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by BRETHREN out of EILA by BENNY THE BULL)
5  DAYTONA GOLD Aug25 Aug04 Jun30 Jun10 Oct26 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WAVE OF GLORY by MIDSHIPMAN)
6  MESS HALL Aug05 Jun16       (cowans willia)BRACHO A 119 1.80    
  (by CARACARO out of ECHO STORM by THUNDER GULCH)
 
TDN-6   09/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHY N Aug21 Mar27 Mar20 Mar05 Dec26 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 115 1.80 41% 1.40    
2  WINDY VALLEY Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 Jun18 May19 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
3  OH EYE SEE Aug18 Aug04 Jul09 Jun24 Mar12 (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  S'MOR CRAFTY Aug21 Jul15 Jun21 Oct26 Oct09 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 117 3.00    
5  CREDIT CHECK Aug21 Aug04 Jun24 Jun07 May19 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 115 8.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  SECRET VALENTINE Jul05 May22 May08 Nov26 Nov13 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.60    
 
TDN-7   09/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZASHIXIARAYAN Aug19 Aug14 Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 (ott l)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
2  PRINCESS EM Aug19 Jun07 May14 Apr24 Apr09 (yoder d)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
3  RIVER HUSTLER Aug19 Aug07 Jun09 May09 Apr28 (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50    
4  BOLD RUBY Aug19 Aug07 Jun24 May29 May12 (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
5  COME ON ARLENE Aug23 Aug06 Jul14 Jun24 May29 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.60 53% 0.90    
6  COWGIRLS HUMOR Aug19 Aug07 Jun30 Jun07 May14 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   09/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIVAREE (GB) Aug03 Jul21 Jun21 Jun09 Apr25 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 8.00 20% 3.90    
2  RULE IT Aug21 Jul02 Jun18 May22 Mar21 (lopez enr)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 10.00    
3  ICE BLAST Aug21 Aug07 Jul08 Jun21 Jun04 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  VINCENZINO Aug26 Jun18 May27 May08 Apr28 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BIG POPPER Aug07 Jul08 Jun21 Jun02 May17 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 3.50    
6  RAMSEY Aug07 Jun18 Jun04 May22 May06 (castillo jabd)BRACHO A 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
7  DARK BARON Aug18 Jul08 May22 May05 Mar01 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.