Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - May 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(7/8/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(7/8/6/5)-(1/5/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (7/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/5)-(7/8/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/5)-(7/8/6/5)-(7/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/6/5)-(1/5/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/5)-(1/5/3/2)-(1/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/2)-(1/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/2)-(1/4/7)-(2/7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(2/7/6/1)-(7/1/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/1)-(7/1/5/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/1)-(7/1/5/2)-(2/4/7/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/2)-(2/4/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/2)-(2/4/7/1)-(8/7/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/1)-(8/7/4/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROGANTE Mar27 Mar08 Feb27 Feb08 Jan15 (canani n)GALLARDO A 123 4.00    
2  WILD DELIGHT Sep30 Sep11 Aug27 Jul29 Jul16 (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50 36% 1.80    
3  MOOR STRENGTH Apr27 Mar05 Feb12 Jan15 Dec20 (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROCK N REWARD Feb28 Jan30 Dec19 Oct17 Sep17 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 2.00    
5  SOLAIR Apr12 Mar14 Feb14 Dec28 Nov30 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 8.00    
6  FLOAT AWAY Oct24 Oct14 Sep30 Sep04 Aug20 (bourke joh)AYALA J 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
PID-2   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BARTULIA Feb28 Feb07 Jan18 Dec18 Oct12 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 123 2.00    
2  I'M THE CABANA BOY Oct23 Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Jul15 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 4.50    
3  PLENTY OF TIME Mar31 Jan29 Jan14 Dec18 Nov27 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 15.00    
4  CHANGE THE HOUR Oct14 Sep23 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 6.00    
5  OSBIN Oct28 Oct16 Sep25 Sep09 Aug21 (maddox a)FOX CHRIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CALYPSO CHARLIE Apr23 Oct11 Sep13 Aug16 Jul21 (vargas j)RODRIGUEZ O 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHOWDOWN KING Oct03 Sep18 Aug20 Aug05 Jul09 (connelly teres)ALLEN D 123 2.50 60% 0.70    
8  CAPTURETHELAUGHTER May04 Mar11 Mar01 Jan24 Jan06 (gotera car)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00 10% 9.20    
 
PID-3   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S GOT RHYTHM Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 116 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  INTO TOURING Apr28 Feb28 Jan30 Jan03 Nov17 (bernardini p)STOKES J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  JAZZ TIME GIRL Aug14 Aug06 Jul04 May28 Oct10 (morrell )RODRIGUEZ O 123 6.00 14% 6.20    
4  NEGRA GATA Apr04 Mar05 Dec24 Oct17 Oct01 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 4.50    
5  QUEEN ANNA T Apr20 Mar30 Feb27 Feb01 Oct15 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 123 4.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  LA CREMA Oct24 Sep13 Aug24 Jul27 Jul04 (bondar e)MARTINEZ A 123 8.00    
7  STELLARATOR Oct14 Sep15 Aug25 Aug14 Aug06 (skawinski car)DELGADO DAVID 123 4.00    
8  TRIPLET May04 Apr12 Apr04 Mar05 Jan31 (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 12.00    
 
PID-4   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW FACTOR Apr26 Mar26 Mar02 Oct21 Sep20 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.00 59% 0.70    
2  FORCE OF JUSTICE May03 Mar27 Mar06 Oct13 Sep16 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 6.00    
SCR  WOW WHATA SUMMER May16 May03 Oct18 Oct03 Aug31 (lawrence l)MARTINEZ W 123 2.50    
4  JOHN DUTTON Nov29 Oct21 Oct08 Sep25 Sep09 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 5.00 13% 6.60    
5  MORNING MARCH Nov20 Oct21 Sep25 Sep02 Aug22 (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 15.00    
6  THORN OF HEARTS Oct15 Sep18 Aug26 Jul29 Jul03 (miller d)ALLEN D 123 12.00    
7  CHIPS LEGACY Oct15 Sep26 Sep02 Aug21 Aug07 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FACE DOWN Oct21 Oct08 Sep18 Sep09 Aug05 (girten t)GALLARDO A 123 3.50    
 
PID-5   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MITOLE MAGIC Oct21 Sep16 Jul30 Jun17 May27 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HEART Jan15 Dec19 Oct24 Sep04 Aug13 (russell )GALLARDO A 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  YELLOW FEATHERS Apr18 Apr05 Dec29 Dec04 Sep22 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 4.50    
4  TRIPLE R RATED Oct21 Aug20 Jul29 Jul04 May27 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 8.00    
5  SHE'S FIRE Mar20 Mar09 Feb14 Oct18 Sep20 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 4.00    
6  HEAVEN RULES Apr27 Apr12 Mar14 Feb13 Jan10 (rice kevin)AYALA J 123 3.00 9% 10.10    
7  FOXXY CLEOPATRA Apr12 Feb23 Jun12     (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
 
PID-6   05/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Mar30 Mar16 Mar02 Sep01 Aug12 (connelly)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
2  CASHIER CHECK May03 Jan31 Dec20 Nov09 Oct11 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 8.00 8% 12.20    
3  TATANKA May05 Apr11 Mar14 Feb26 Feb08 (rivera n)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00    
4  PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Apr25 Mar28 Feb19 Dec15 Oct31 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 15.00    
5  PILKINGTON Mar08 Feb27 Jan24 Dec28 Dec12 (anderson l)MARTINEZ W 123 6.00 9% 10.30    
6  E MINOR Apr11 Mar22 Mar14 Feb12 Jan18 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 4.50    
7  BURNIN TURF Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 Dec20 Aug23 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
8  SLIM SLOW SLIDER Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec22 Nov09 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 123 10.00    
 
PID-7   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL May08 Oct23 Oct08 Sep20 Sep10 (rivera r)MARTINEZ W 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIAMOND DUST Oct26 Sep20 Aug29 Aug10 Jul04 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 4.50 34% 2.00    
3  ALCOVE Apr29 Apr16 Mar22 Feb01 Jan18 (danner k)GALLARDO A 123 5.00    
4  IMPACTO Apr27 Feb23 Feb02 Jan15 Jan04 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 125 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  KOTYLOS Mar15 Nov27 Sep20 Sep04 Aug06 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 116 10.00    
6  GOODIE GOOMER Oct24 Sep30 Aug21 Oct18 Sep18 (bourke john)STANLEY O 123 3.00    
7  SPIRITED SOL Sep20 Aug31 Aug21 Jul27 Jun12 (depasqua)MARTINEZ A 123 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
PID-8   05/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH TRACK Feb09 Jan26 Jan08 Oct23 Oct08 (miller d)ALLEN D 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BAYTOWN STORM Mar14 Feb26 Jan31 Jan23 Nov21 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 120 6.00    
3  CLARAMENTE Mar23 Feb19 Dec06 Nov22   (rojas mu)GALLARDO A 125 6.00    
4  STROKE OF LUCK Mar14 Jan08 Nov07 Oct15   (rojas l)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  NUN GIMEL HAY PO May03 Apr13       (potts g)MORALES PABLO 125 5.00    
6  DRINK DEEPLY May04 Mar02 Feb13 Jan17 Dec29 (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 5.00    
7  DOROTEA DREAM Apr30 Apr16 Apr05 Mar15 Mar02 (baez ral)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
8  HAUT LES COEURS Mar26 Mar06 Feb14 Oct20   (pappada micha)ROJAS MARTINA 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.