Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (7/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/1)-(3/7/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/1)-(3/7/6/9)-(6/2/10/4/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/7/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/9)-(3/7/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/9)-(3/7/6/9)-(3/7/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/9)-(6/2/10/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/9)-(6/2/10/4/11)-(6/5/4/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/2/10/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/10/4/11)-(6/2/10/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/10/4/11)-(6/2/10/4/11)-(6/2/10/4/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/10/4/11)-(6/5/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/10/4/11)-(6/5/4/8)-(5/7/4/11/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/8)-(6/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/8)-(6/5/4/8)-(6/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/8)-(5/7/4/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/8)-(5/7/4/11/1)-(6/10/2/1/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/7/4/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/11/1)-(5/7/4/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/11/1)-(5/7/4/11/1)-(5/7/4/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/4/11/1)-(6/10/2/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/11/1)-(6/10/2/1/3)-(10/6/5/8/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-8   WIN (6/10/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/2/1/3)-(6/10/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/2/1/3)-(6/10/2/1/3)-(6/10/2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/2/1/3)-(10/6/5/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (10/6/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/8/2)-(10/6/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/8/2)-(10/6/5/8/2)-(10/6/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/29/2025 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY VISION Apr17 Mar25 Feb19 Jan20 Dec15 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BENANDONNER Mar25 Jan28       (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
3  REGARDING HARRY Apr09 Mar20 Feb25     (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 15.00    
4  JUST TRUST ME Apr17 Feb19 Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
5  SEAHORSE STAMPEDE Apr22 Mar26       (mcfarlane )AMERICANO MANUEL 114 10.00    
6  BITTERLY Feb19 Feb04 Jan09 Dec21 Dec07 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 119 8.00    
7  SOMEDAY LADY Oct12 Sep14 Aug26 Aug05   (dollase craig)BAZE C 114 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  WOOD CEILING Mar22 Feb19 Jan17 Nov26 Oct10 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00    
 
TUP-4   04/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDIED JOULE Mar26 Mar03 Feb10 Jan14 Dec28 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 122 20.00    
2  SPREAD THE RISK Apr06 Feb16 Jan20 Dec29 Nov24 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 4.00    
3  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Mar31 Feb25 Jan07 Dec16 Nov26 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Mar26 Feb25 Feb13 Jan27 Dec27 (vitali mar)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 20.00    
SCR  CALY BALI Dec09 Nov19 Sep21 Sep05 Aug17 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
6  DREWY Apr17 Mar26 Mar03 Feb13 Jan27 (koler steve)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
7  NELLIE THURSDAY Apr17 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan19 (ortiz isaia)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
8  GI GIS MAP Dec23 Dec09 Nov19 Sep25 Sep05 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
9  KAMIKAZE BLUE Apr17 Mar31 Mar11 Feb06 Jan25 (marin )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  STARLET COLE Apr17 Jan27 Dec27 Nov29 Nov12 (kenney ry)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
 
TUP-5   04/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'S LOVELY SOPHIA Dec26 Nov18 Oct28 Aug28 Aug07 (belvoir vann)BAZE C 124 6.00    
2  LUCY TREASURE Mar11 Feb17 Jan29 Aug16 Jul27 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  UNIFIED A. P. Mar27 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 (fulmer drew)KRIGGER K 124 12.00    
4  KO OLINA Apr08 Mar20 Apr18 Mar20 Mar04 (ferguson la)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DAHLIA'S DANCER Apr08 Feb21 Feb05 Sep15 Aug07 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 15.00    
6  HEY BARMAID Apr16 Apr03 Mar11 Feb17 Jan29 (toye joe)MAWING A 124 5.00 51% 1.00    
7  HAUGHTY KITTY Mar27 Mar03 Feb13 Jan27 Jan09 (perkinson cc)MONTALVO C 124 12.00    
8  LIBBY'S GAMBIT Mar26 Mar03 Feb06 Jan27 Nov29 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00    
9  BLUE COWGIRL Apr03 Mar18 Feb21 Jan24 Dec10 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
10  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Apr16 Mar27 Mar19 Feb27 Feb03 (hernan)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 4.00 8% 11.20    
11  ADIOS MUCHACHAS Apr08 Mar20 Jan24 Jan09 Dec02 (perez hi)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   04/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULSARA Mar23 Mar02 Feb02 Oct17 Sep25 (ivy-wr)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 15.00    
2  WARRIOR LADY Apr16 Mar27 Mar12 Feb10 Jan14 (fuentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 5.00    
3  DELIA Mar25 Feb03 Jan16 Dec28 Dec05 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00    
4  FALL MOON Apr09 Mar25 Feb17 Jan08 Dec18 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 19% 4.10    
5  OH ANGEL Apr09 Mar10 Feb10 Dec15 Nov29 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.00 21% 3.70    
6  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Apr09 Mar10 Feb13 Jan29 Jan08 (bean robert)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  CHARLEY PAINTS Apr09 Mar17 Feb24 Feb12 Jan30 (kato akif)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
8  ZELAIA Apr01 Mar11 Dec18 Oct27 Oct11 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   04/29/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANNO Feb17 Feb05 Sep19 Aug29 Aug15 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HELLADIC Nov10 Aug29 Jul28 Nov23 Sep02 (hurtado cl)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00    
3  SAN ANDRES Apr02 Mar24 Mar11 Jan23 Jan15 (perkinson cc)GARCIA F 122 20.00    
4  PESO Aug11 Jul28 Jul15 Jul03 Jun10 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 122 20.00 14% 6.20    
5  MEANT FOR ME Mar24 Mar06 Jan25 Jan01 Dec10 (gu)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  HAUNTED HAZE Sep26 Sep01 Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
7  BODENHEIMER Mar22 Sep28 Aug01 Feb01 Dec23 (lund valori)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  PRISONER Mar27 Feb06 Jan23 Dec11 Nov19 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.00    
9  QUEENS EFFORT Dec26 Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 Aug17 (cruz omar)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 30.00    
10  PRINCE PRANCEALOT Feb23 Jan04 Nov23 Sep20 Aug24 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 10.00    
11  FORT NECESSITY Mar20 Jan28 Jan13 Dec26 Dec09 (thompson)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   04/29/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTREMELY WICKED Mar25 Feb26 Feb12 Jan29 Jan09 (matt l)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 14% 6.00    
2  RAIDER NATION Apr01 Mar12 Feb04 Jan07 Dec19 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 15.00 15% 5.90    
3  BOSS DOWN Mar03 Jan19 Nov26 Oct31   (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIG BAD BERT Mar25 Feb12 Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 20.00    
SCR  ARTETA Mar25 Mar05 Jan28 Jan02 Dec17 (uranga j)MONTALVO C 124 10.00    
6  WAR ECHO Apr02 Mar17 Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 (schnell do)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  FARENHEIT O C Mar18 Nov16 Sep20 Aug23   (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.00    
SCR  CRUEL ENDEAVOR Mar25 Feb25 Feb10 Jan07 Dec28 (soto anto)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
9  PHAROAHS LIST Sep06 Aug25 Aug09 Jul13 Sep15 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00    
10  CHIRAG Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 Jan08 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 8.00 15% 5.60    
11  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Mar05 Feb18 Jan23 Nov14 Aug18 (belloc um)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
12  EVERTORIANO Mar15 Mar01 Feb15 Jan26 Sep21 (diaz f)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
 
TUP-9   04/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DINERO DE LA CASA Apr19 Mar19 Feb20 Feb10 Jan29 (torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 124 20.00    
SCR  RUN BABA RUN Apr03 Mar12 Feb22 Jan23 Dec08 (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHANKADOPOLOUS Apr02 Mar18 Mar05 Feb18 Jan16 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 118 20.00    
4  VINNIEBOB Apr19 Mar19 Mar03 Jan23 Dec31 (story cha)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
5  PAISLEES PROMISE Apr03 Mar19 Mar03 Feb20 Feb03 (bean robert)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
6  RUN BRYCE RUN Apr03 Mar11 Feb10 Jan07 Dec26 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  NOTCH Jan31 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 Oct12 (whiteho)ALCALA ROSARIO 124 12.00    
8  MONGOLIAN FROST Apr19 Apr03 Mar11 Feb26 Feb11 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 8.00 6% 14.70    
9  WELL IMAGINE THAT Apr19 Feb26 Feb06 Jan07 Aug11 (lucarelli frank)KRIGGER K 124 4.50    
10  THE RONALD Apr15 Apr03 Feb06 Jan22 Dec31 (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  LUKA GRAZIE Apr19 Mar19 Feb26 Feb11 Jan22 (homer )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.