Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - April 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (6/7/8/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/3/5)-(6/7/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/3/5)-(6/7/8/3/5)-(6/7/8/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/8/3/5)-(9/8/1/7/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/3/5)-(9/8/1/7/3)-(2/7/1/6/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
EVD-2   WIN (9/8/1/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/7/3)-(9/8/1/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/7/3)-(9/8/1/7/3)-(9/8/1/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/1/7/3)-(2/7/1/6/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/7/3)-(2/7/1/6/10)-(7/12/1/9/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
EVD-3   WIN (2/7/1/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/6/10)-(2/7/1/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/6/10)-(2/7/1/6/10)-(2/7/1/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/1/6/10)-(7/12/1/9/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/6/10)-(7/12/1/9/5)-(14/7/12/11/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
EVD-4   WIN (7/12/1/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/12/1/9/5)-(7/12/1/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/12/1/9/5)-(7/12/1/9/5)-(7/12/1/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/12/1/9/5)-(14/7/12/11/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/12/1/9/5)-(14/7/12/11/5)-(4/7/1/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (14/7/12/11/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (14/7/12/11/5)-(14/7/12/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (14/7/12/11/5)-(14/7/12/11/5)-(14/7/12/11/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (14/7/12/11/5)-(4/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (14/7/12/11/5)-(4/7/1/6)-(6/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-6   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/9/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-7   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-8   WIN (6/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/4)-(6/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/4)-(6/5/9/4)-(6/5/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAOBAN'S CARAT Feb21 Dec21 Aug03     (courville ri)MAGNON H 122 12.00    
PARISIAN LIGHT Mar06 Feb14 Nov20 Sep08 Aug04 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00    
COCO BELLA BLUE Feb12 Dec27       (breaux samue)BARRERA J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
GUILLOTINE Feb23 Jan31 Jan01     (courville )RAMIREZ JR 117 20.00    
VANNA G Mar20 Mar01 Feb06 Jan01 Nov22 (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BLUSHING KAM Feb16 Jan24 Nov17 Nov06 Sep13 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
CLEARLY GORGEOUS Feb07 Jan16       (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
WON BRIGHT LIGHT Jan31 Jan15       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 15.00 12% 7.30    
LITTLE BIT O STORM Mar03 Jan20 Dec12 Oct23 Oct06 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.00    
SCR  CHIEF EXPRESS Apr05 Feb12       (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
 
EVD-2   04/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONASA Mar21 Mar06 Feb13 Jan19 Dec26 (ladner chad)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00 13% 6.60    
RANCH WATER Feb13 Jan25 Dec19 Nov27 Apr13 (landry allen)MAGNON H 117 5.00    
VENN Mar09 Feb13 Dec19 Nov27 Oct25 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN DOLLARS Mar21 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Nov02 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 117 2.50    
THROWIN' SHADE Feb19 Dec12 Oct17 Jul04 Jun06 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 10.00    
WOOD RIVER Mar20 Dec19 Nov02 Oct11 Aug14 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
PESO PESADO Mar09 Feb23 Jan01 Dec05 Aug01 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00 9% 10.10    
HEZA PICKLE Feb23 Feb01 Nov23 Nov05 Oct19 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 19% 4.30    
CLARESTOWN Feb21 Nov30 Oct16 Oct03 Sep03 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 120 4.00 27% 2.80    
 
EVD-3   04/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C LLAM Apr04 Jan31 Nov01 Oct17 Aug24 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
PERFECT DEAL Apr04 Mar12 Feb23 Feb05 Jan15 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 2.00 65% 0.50    
MOPAC TRAFFIC Mar12 Feb22 Feb05 Jan09 Dec27 (melancon don)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00    
SCR  RISKY SECRET Mar18 Feb28       (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 20.00    
RANOLOGY Apr04 Nov29 Nov01 Aug23 Jul04 (flugence henry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 124 15.00    
THIS GRAY MISCHIEV Dec27 Dec06 Oct30 Oct12   (dussette a)RAMIREZ JR 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
EVE EVE Apr04 Mar13 Feb15 Jan24 Jul04 (bernar)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00 6% 15.70    
CUPIE CUTIE Mar13 Jan31 Dec11 Nov01 Aug24 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 124 12.00    
KISSES FOR COOPER Apr04 Mar12 Feb23 Feb05 Jan02 (faul jason)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.50    
10  IZAR Feb16 Jan25       (fuselier j)ALBERT S 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REINE LE FER Jun22 May29 Apr12 Feb15 Oct12 (west henry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 124 20.00    
 
EVD-4   04/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BETSY'S ALL IN Mar12 Feb13 Dec21 Nov28 Jul26 (rogers andy)ROSIER R 124 5.00 17% 4.90    
NICELY UNIFIED Sep23 Jul02 Jun15 May25 May04 (leblan)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00    
KAPPA HILL Feb05 Jan18 Dec21 Dec04 Nov14 (flugence henry)ARANA KELVIN 119 15.00    
TAKEN IT Mar13 Jan18 Jan04 Dec21 Nov28 (journet alber)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 15.00    
DIAMOND DEAL Mar13 Feb13 Jan24 Jan10 Oct29 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNO PEA Mar12 Feb13 Jan25 Dec28 Nov22 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 6.00    
ASTROLOGY GIRL Mar13 Feb08 Jan08 Dec13 Nov20 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 124 3.50 41% 1.50    
MO DIXIE DIVA Feb14 Jan31 Oct19 Sep18 Aug27 (gomez davi)RAMIREZ JR 119 10.00    
KATIE'S C Feb14 Jan31 Nov08 Jul01 Jun11 (bernard john)FLORIAN JOSE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  COME WHAT MAE Feb14 Jan18 Dec04 Nov14 Nov01 (cormier car)MELANCON JANSEN 124 20.00    
11  DEBS PRAYER Mar12 Apr18 Mar09 Feb15 Feb02 (ladner herm)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 20.00    
12  JAYDYN CAT Mar12 Jan01 Nov28 Oct17 Aug23 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
EVD-5   04/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH SIDE Mar12 Feb21 Jan17 Dec14 Nov24 (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Mar23 Mar04 Feb14 Jan25 Jan03 (thompson kevin)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 20.00    
DUSTIN THE DIAMOND Mar07 Feb12 Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
SCR  MR. FOUR SEVENS Mar09 Feb14 Feb01 Jan03 Nov30 (dison phillip )ARANA KELVIN 112 20.00    
LUCKY PROMISE Mar29 Feb07 Jan11 Nov23 Oct16 (pomier cha)RAMIREZ JR 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
PERRY COUNTY Mar15 Feb17 Jan25 Nov20 Nov01 (litfin veronica)FUSILIER C 117 3.50    
SABI Mar18 Feb14 Dec19 Oct16 Sep19 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  SLICK AND FAST Mar20 Mar07 Feb16 Feb02 Dec20 (david b)BARRERA J 117 6.00    
SCR  PLAY MO Mar01 Dec27 Nov27 Oct11 Aug01 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 117 5.00    
10  SEVEN CHANNELS Mar23 Mar12 Feb17 Feb01 Jan16 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
11  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Apr16 Mar28 Mar07 Feb15 Feb14 (ramirez-rodr)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  KEYS INCLUDED Mar13 Feb02 Jan10 Dec19 Nov09 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 15.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  IBERIAN RUNNER Mar22 Mar02 Feb16 Jul13 Jun01 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
14  BADDA BING (FR) Jun13         (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
EVD-6   04/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POMEROY HAZE Feb14 Jan15 Dec19 Dec04 Oct25 (pomier cha)RAMIREZ JR 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOCTOR LEO Mar16 Feb12 Jan03 Dec18 Dec04 (wong j)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 5.00    
JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Mar23 Feb23 Feb02 Dec22 Nov30 (thompson k)ALBERT S 119 20.00    
WENT WEST Mar09 Feb28 Jan30 Nov20 Nov02 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 1.80 68% 0.50    
CAJUN CYCLONE Feb08 Jan11 Dec05 Nov13 Oct23 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SAN JUAN HILL Feb08 Jun07 May17 Dec30 Dec08 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN PALACE Mar04 Feb14 Jan31 Jun08 May16 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 119 6.00 9% 10.60    
PRINCE JAMES Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 Dec29 Nov14 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00    
 
EVD-7   04/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMPITUP Mar19 Jan30 Jan09 Dec13 Nov02 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50    
GIRLIE'S MAX Mar20 Feb19       (breaux samue)BARRERA J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOSH G Mar18 Feb07 Jan19 Dec19 Nov05 (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50    
MAYBE EYE'LL CALL Aug03 Jul15 Jun20     (bourgeois keit)THORNTON G 122 15.00    
GIFT GIVER Mar18 Dec19 Oct11 Aug31 Aug10 (fuselie)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
COOL GUITAR Mar23 Mar07 Feb21     (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
 
EVD-8   04/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3 ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C F JIMMY RAY Mar09 Feb06 Jan16     (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 119 10.00    
EAGLE IN THE AIR Feb08 Jan03 Jul12 Jun28   (gelner scott)ARANA KELVIN 117 10.00    
WEDDING GIFT Mar12 Feb14 Jan30     (sanchez ju)ALBERT S 122 15.00    
QUIKONTHETRIGGER Mar19 Feb19       (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BUTCHER HOLLER Apr04 Mar13 Feb20 Jan25   (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
STABLE AGENT Feb26 Jan03 Nov17     (orseno jose)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  HI PLAINS HUNK Mar29 Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 Jan24 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 122 5.00    
BEGFORFORGIVENESS Oct31 Sep29 Sep11     (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
ALL RIZZ Apr04 Mar13 Jan26 Jan12   (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.50 7% 12.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.