Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/5/7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(6/5/7/4)-(7/8/4/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/4)-(7/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/4)-(7/8/4/6)-(1/5/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/4/6)-(1/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4/6)-(1/5/6/7)-(3/5/10/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/7)-(3/5/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/7)-(3/5/10/1)-(10/8/3/6/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/5/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/10/1)-(3/5/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/10/1)-(3/5/10/1)-(3/5/10/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/10/1)-(10/8/3/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (10/8/3/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/3/6/4)-(10/8/3/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/3/6/4)-(10/8/3/6/4)-(10/8/3/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/16/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAHLIA'S DANCER Apr08 Feb21 Feb05 Sep15 Aug07 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 10.00    
2  CAPITAL HEAT Mar18 Feb27 Jan24 Dec27 Nov27 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 69% 0.40    
3  HOT LAVA CAKE Apr03 Dec27 Dec09 Nov21 Nov12 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 124 3.00 8% 11.20    
4  HEY BARMAID Apr03 Mar11 Feb17 Jan29 Jan13 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★    
5  CONQUEST SECRET Mar27 Dec18 Dec06 Nov24 Nov08 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
6  LADY ATHENA Mar20 Feb17 Jan29 Jan16 Dec19 (williams d)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50    
7  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Mar27 Mar19 Feb27 Feb03 Jan16 (hernan)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 4.00 ★    
8  MET AT THE DANCE Mar27 Feb08 Dec14 Sep21 Aug31 (perkinson cc)HARVEY B 124 20.00    
 
TUP-4   04/16/2025 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I AM FREAKY FAST Mar11 Mar05 Feb05 Jan22 May04 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
2  ANITANEWMERCEDES Feb20 Jan17 Dec08 Oct31 Oct14 (tamayo isidro)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
3  THE BLACK STRAT Mar19 Feb20 Dec02 Nov13 Sep20 (martinez e)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00    
4  COMPANY'S DREAM Mar27 Mar05 Feb12 Jan30 Jan13 (gibson ho)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ARREST Mar19 Feb20 Jan25 Dec31 Dec02 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  GREAT KING (FR) Feb02 Jan16 Dec07 Nov24 Oct27 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  WODETON (FR) Mar18 Mar04 Feb05 Jan09 Dec28 (fue)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 5.00 11% 8.30    
8  SANGER Apr01 Mar05 Feb10 Jan21 Nov21 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 122 10.00    
 
TUP-5   04/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAGEY BURGLAR Mar20         (bratcher ryan)KRIGGER K 124 20.00    
2  REBELLIOUS RED Mar17 Feb25 Feb03     (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 124 5.00    
3  EAGLES DARE Mar07 Feb09 Dec29 Dec08 Apr27 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
4  GUN RUNNER CHARLIE Feb23 Feb08 Dec14     (miller pete)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 6.00 9% 10.00    
5  BIG STETSON Mar20 Feb25       (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 4.00    
6  EL ENCANTO Jan14 Sep28 Aug25 Dec31 Nov13 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  G G GILLEY Feb25 Feb03 Jan14 Dec08 Nov03 (alvarez se)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.50 49% 1.10    
8  R BARRACUDA Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May04 Apr18 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
 
TUP-6   04/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL REDWOOD Mar27 Mar13 Feb20 Feb04 Jan24 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  PRIVATE TRAX Jul28 Jul20 Jun14 May27 May05 (dennis cl)JENSEN P 122 20.00    
3  ANOTHERBOTTLE Mar13 Feb26 Jan15 Dec10 Nov02 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 20.00    
4  CANDY'S WILDCAT Mar21 Feb21 Jan23 Dec07 Nov02 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00    
5  OM FIRE Mar25 Feb26 Feb04 Oct06 Sep07 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 8% 11.00    
6  MAJESTIC CRAKEN Mar18 Feb26 Jan19 Oct24 Sep25 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BEER BEGONE Mar25 Feb26 Feb04 Jan15 Dec23 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIZE LORD Mar25 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 Jan02 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
9  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Mar13 Jan15 Dec23 Dec09 Nov11 (dennis g)RAMEY CASH 117 20.00    
 
TUP-7   04/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEFICIT MAJA Mar25 Feb25 Feb06 Jan25 Dec27 (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  GOLD COAST GIRL Mar27 Mar03 Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  JOY IN GRACE Apr01 Mar25 Feb13 Jan08 Dec11 (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  WARRIOR LADY Mar27 Mar12 Feb10 Jan14 Dec05 (chambers mike)KRIGGER K 124 5.00    
5  PURRFECT MOON Mar19 Feb06 Jan24 Jan02 Nov12 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 15.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  VELLA Mar18 Feb25 Feb03 Dec27 Dec02 (whitehouse wilton )GARCIA F 124 10.00    
SCR  PACIFIC ZIP Mar26 Feb13 Jan08 Dec12 Nov25 (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
SCR  TEAM CONCEPT Apr08 Mar27 Mar03 Feb19 Jan29 (silva ju)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 10.00    
9  LUVAHAPPYENDING Mar06 Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 Dec07 (perez sergi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
10  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Mar25 Jan08 Dec27 Dec18 Dec05 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  BULSARA Mar23 Mar02 Feb02 Oct17 Sep25 (iv)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
SCR  DELIA Mar25 Feb03 Jan16 Dec28 Dec05 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
 
TUP-8   04/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY BRIDE Mar25 Feb13 Sep08 Aug31 Aug17 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 124 20.00    
SCR  ON THE TOE ROAD Mar20 Feb20 Jan10 Dec10   (peacock sha)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 12.00    
3  DIVINE GIFT Mar26 Mar06 Feb26 Jan29 Jan06 (christian)JENSEN P 124 6.00 11% 8.10    
4  SOCIAL STATUS Mar26 Feb26 Jan24 Mar24 Feb16 (bourdie)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  IT'S NOT THE LAW Apr02 Mar12       (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
6  ADA THORNE Mar28 Mar07       (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 4.00 6% 16.70    
7  HARRY'S BIG DREAM Mar25 Feb26 Feb13 Mar01 Jan15 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00    
8  WHAT A JOKE Mar26 Nov21 Nov13 Aug24   (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
9  KNOW BARAA Jan06         (stevens satchell)HARVEY B 124 20.00    
SCR  GLIMPSE OF GOLD Mar26 Feb13 Apr17 Sep09 Aug12 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.