Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-5   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/9/5)-(5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/5)-(4/9/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/5)-(4/9/3/5/1)-(4/9/3/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/9/5)-(5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/9/5)-(5/7)-(5/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/7)-(5/6/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(5/6/7/1)-(2/11/5/9/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1/3)-(5/6/7/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/7/1)-(2/11/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/1)-(2/11/5/9/8)-(5/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (2/11/5/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/5/9/8)-(2/11/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/5/9/8)-(2/11/5/9/8)-(2/11/5/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/5/9/8)-(5/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
TUP-10   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-5   04/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAZAEL Mar04         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 121 1.20 36% 1.70    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of MYSTERY ME by BWANA CHARLIE)
DISTORTED LOUV         (kenney rya)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.50    
  (by DISTORTED REALITY out of MYRNA LOU by TOP HIT)
FLASHY JEZEBEL         (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 5.00 11% 8.40    
  (by BARKLEY out of FLASHY CARLINE by FLASHY BULL)
SELINUS         (mcfarlan)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 4.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of BUILDING BRIDGES by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BANGO GAL Mar25 Feb17 Feb03 Dec26 Dec04 (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 121 3.00    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of VALENTINES GAL by TRIBAL RULE)
 
TUP-6   04/08/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AQUACAT Mar18 Feb25 Dec28 Dec09 Nov30 (adams hanna)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
STORMIN GALILEO Mar10 Feb18 Dec07 Dec01 Nov08 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 15.00    
GO SPEED RACER GO Mar07 Jan30 Dec16 Oct30 Oct04 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 4.00    
WAR CHEST Mar24 Mar12 Feb25 Dec28 Dec16 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 72% 0.40    
SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Mar18 Feb25 Feb06 Jan22 Dec28 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
RAILWAY Feb24 Jan29 Jan08 Dec16 Oct27 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
SWAMPDRAINER Mar18 Feb22 Feb04 Jan13 Dec30 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
THIRTY SECONDS OUT Mar18 Feb06 Jan13 Dec28 Nov26 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
CLUB MESQUITE Mar20 Feb25 Jan27 Dec28 Dec03 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   04/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEA MISCHIEF Mar06 Feb25 Feb06 Jan24 Dec27 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.50    
JAZZY LOVE Aug16 Jul26 Jul03 May26 May12 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00    
SCR  DELUSIONAL DREAM Mar12 Feb24 Feb10 Jan14 Dec05 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 4.50    
ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Mar27 Mar03 Feb06 Jan14 Sep15 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
ALOHA KITTEN Mar11 Feb22 Feb06 Jan24 Aug30 (kowalski liz)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 68% 0.50    
TEAM CONCEPT Mar27 Mar03 Feb19 Jan29 Jan21 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Mar27 Feb17 Feb06 Jan13 Jan01 (bourdieu martin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ATHENA THE GODDESS Mar27 Mar03 Feb20 Feb06 Jan24 (soto antonio)GARCIA F 124 12.00    
SCR  DRILL BABY DRILL Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 Jan24 Dec09 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   04/08/2025 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL PRINCESS Feb27 Jan29 Jan09 Mar20 Mar04 (villamar candel)CRUZ M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GAME TO PLAY Mar27 Mar11 Feb25 Oct25 Oct13 (diaz f)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
RIVER OF AMBITION Mar19 Feb13 Dec06 Nov10 Oct27 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50    
ADIOS MUCHACHAS Mar20 Jan24 Jan09 Dec02 Oct24 (perez hi)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00    
BABE'S GOT APPEAL Feb27 Feb05 Jan09 Apr23 Apr08 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
DISTINCTIVE DEB Mar27 Feb27 Jan24 Jan13 Jan01 (o'hagan col)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
KO OLINA Mar20 Apr18 Mar20 Mar04 Dec15 (ferguson la)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
NOEL'S ANGEL Feb27 Nov30 Jul27 Jun30 May24 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
IMA TROUBLE MAKER Mar11 Feb22 Jan09 Aug30 Aug23 (warren kayla)HARVEY B 122 20.00    
 
TUP-9   04/08/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDIMPACT Feb05 Jan22 Dec23 Apr25 Apr08 (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 122 15.00    
TED Mar18 May11 Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
DON'T LET ME DOWN Mar19 Mar04 Dec31 Oct13 Sep22 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00    
THIRTY FOUR COUPE Mar16 Feb23 Jan17 Nov22 Oct27 (ortiz ma)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 3.00    
WELLSWORT (IRE) Mar18 Mar03 Feb11 Dec28 Dec09 (silva jr)MOJICA O 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
I'M NOBLE Mar18 Dec30 Dec11 Dec03 Sep15 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 15.00    
BERT'S PROSPECT Mar12 Feb11 Jan21 Nov09 Oct11 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 124 8.00    
BIRTH OF COOL Mar18 Jan25 Jan15 Dec31 Sep13 (silva pabl)BARNES JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
HOUSE OF LORDS Mar18 Feb20 Jan15 Dec30 Dec02 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
10  CIBERTRUCK Mar24 Mar04 Feb05 Dec30 Dec23 (lund valori)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00    
11  ATHENS MOON Feb05 Dec30 Dec17 Nov27 Nov17 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
TUP-10   04/08/2025 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LETTHELIQUORTALK Mar11 Feb13 Jan15 Dec15 Nov03 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
SCR  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF Mar22 Feb20 Jan09 Aug04 Jun15 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
SCR  FORT NECESSITY Mar20 Jan28 Jan13 Dec26 Dec09 (thomps)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 10.00 8% 10.90    
KING ADROCK Feb27 Feb10 Jan28 Dec26 Jun22 (valerio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00    
POPS AWESOME Jan30 Dec31 Nov03 Oct20 Oct06 (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 122 6.00 33% 2.10    
TWISTED MISCHIEF Mar11 Feb17 Jan06     (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 117 15.00    
ADIOS COOL ARROWS Dec31 Nov26 Nov14 Sep24 Sep11 (domingu)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 10.00    
SCR  MEANT FOR ME Mar24 Mar06 Jan25 Jan01 Dec10 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.