Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (7/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/2)-(7/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/2)-(7/3/6/4)-(5/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (7/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/4)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/4)-(5/2/3)-(2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/5/4)-(6/1/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(6/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(6/1/4/7)-(4/8/9/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/7)-(4/8/9/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/7)-(4/8/9/2/5)-(8/1/7/4/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/8/9/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/2/5)-(4/8/9/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/2/5)-(4/8/9/2/5)-(4/8/9/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/9/2/5)-(8/1/7/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (8/1/7/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/4/3)-(8/1/7/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/4/3)-(8/1/7/4/3)-(8/1/7/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   04/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KLINKERBRICK Mar17 Feb03 Jan14 Dec12 Nov29 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
YELLOW JACKET Mar17 Feb10 Jan14 Dec26 Jan27 (sepich ed)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHASIN A DOLLAR Mar20 Feb18 Feb02 Jan03 Dec07 (evans justin)CORBETT W 118 5.00    
WHATS THE BUZZ Mar16 Feb09 Dec01 Nov10 Oct13 (alvarez g)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
FACTORY DRIVE Mar02 Feb23 Jan26 Dec29 Jun15 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
DRIVE TRAIN Feb20 Jan29 Dec31 Dec11 Nov20 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 16% 5.30    
CAUSE FOR DIVORCE Nov03 Sep22 Aug02 Jul14 Mar25 (thomas jamey)KRIGGER K 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
TUP-4   04/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOLITTLETOOLATE Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Dec23 Jul28 (christian billy)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
NEON LIGHTS (IRE) Mar04 Feb09 Jan16 Jan01 Oct20 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.50    
SBAGLIATO Jan16 Nov22 Oct26 Oct11 Jun15 (miller peter)MOJICA O 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
LLOYDS LOGIC Mar05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun01 May18 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 6% 15.60    
MCCLUSKY Mar19 Jan31 Nov27 Sep15 Sep01 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
LUCKY CODE Mar05 Feb12 Jan07 Dec17 Nov27 (freeman sc)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00 14% 6.10    
SANGER Mar05 Feb10 Jan21 Nov21 Oct20 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
TUP-5   04/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCIDENTAL GENIUS Feb28 Jan18 Dec15 Nov17 Sep29 (freeman e)VALENZUELA A 116 2.50    
FURTHER EVIDENCE Feb22 Feb10 Jan27 Jan07 Dec26 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
DE LA LUNA Mar11 Feb17 Oct11 Sep25 Sep07 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CANDY'S CHROME Mar11 Feb10 Jan27 Dec17 Nov27 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00    
BROWNSTONE Mar11 Feb25 Feb03 Jun23 Apr13 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
FOR A LAUGH (IRE) Mar11 Jan01 Nov15 Feb17 Dec31 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
 
TUP-6   04/01/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUDDER Mar04 Nov13 Sep29 Sep08 Jun01 (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 124 3.50    
THE SCENT Mar17 Mar04 Feb12 Dec15 Nov16 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 36% 1.70    
OBSIDIAN GOLD Mar18 Mar04 Jan29 Nov26 Oct27 (leon alexis)KRIGGER K 124 4.50    
RAIDER NATION Mar12 Feb04 Jan07 Dec19 Oct06 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
WHO IS PAVEL Mar04 Feb22 Feb05 Dec31 Dec11 (kemper kas)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 21% 3.90    
F B I BOB Feb19 Feb03 Dec27 Dec10 Nov13 (mcfarlane dan )REYES R 118 2.50    
 
TUP-7   04/01/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T TELL HYDEE Feb25 Feb05 Jan07 Dec18 Nov21 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Mar19 Feb25 Jan27 Dec27 Dec11 (barrio ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
SCR  MEASUREOFDEVOTION Mar20 Feb25 Jan22 Dec11 Oct16 (fuentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 10.00    
JOY IN GRACE Mar25 Feb13 Jan08 Dec11 Nov25 (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
DESERT RUMBLE Mar11 Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 Dec12 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Mar10 Feb13 Jan08 Dec11 Nov21 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
IT'S SAUL RIGHT Mar19 Mar03 Feb17 Jan29 Dec16 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ZELAIA Mar11 Dec18 Oct27 Oct11 Aug11 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 5.00    
 
TUP-8   04/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEGANT BELLA Mar20 Mar07 Dec07     (tamayo isidro)KRIGGER K 121 20.00    
KAZAMATAZ Mar03         (schnell don)MAWING A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAPELLO STREAKER Jan10 Dec02 Nov12     (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
FLATTERMEINCOURT Jan28 Jan06 Nov13     (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
CASHOUT CAROL Mar19 Feb24       (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
C'S LILLY DANCER Mar04         (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
SCR  KREWE D'ETAT Mar20 Feb17 Jan23 Jul27   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00    
EXPECT LOVE Mar04 Jan16 Dec06 Nov17 Oct26 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.00 24% 3.10    
INXPRESS Mar04 Jan06 Dec18 May04 Apr11 (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 3.50 8% 11.20    
10  IT COULD HAPPEN Mar25 Feb17       (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 121 20.00    
 
TUP-9   04/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU ENJOY MYSELF Mar19 Dec26 Dec09 Nov20 Oct05 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 21% 3.90    
HAPPY HOUR BOBBY Jan21 Oct20 Sep28 Sep19 Sep02 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
FED GRANT Feb27 Jan13 Dec27 Oct13 Sep21 (garcia s)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
HERMISTON Mar10 Jan30 Jan14 Dec26 Dec02 (lavanway dayso)REYES R 124 15.00 6% 16.40    
FIGHT ME Jan14 Dec04 Nov14 Apr22 Apr11 (figueroa jua)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
ROBO WARRIOR Mar07 Dec30 Nov04 Sep30 Sep04 (alcoverde er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00    
PEDRO PEREZ Mar10 Feb18 Nov03 Oct19 Sep22 (alvarez se)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 19% 4.40    
CORN POP Mar19 Feb24 Jan25 Jan14 Dec16 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
PEPPER JACK Mar12 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.