Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-3   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (3/1/8/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-5   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (2/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (9/10/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-8   Win (4/8/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-3   03/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAPELLO STREAKER Jan10 Dec02 Nov12     (hernandez mig)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 12.00    
2  CLUBHOUSE DRAMA Feb06 Jan15 Mar04 Feb04 Jan13 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 9% 10.80    
3  IT'S NOT THE LAW         (campo stacy)MONTALVO C 124 4.00    
4  CHARMZ         (mccartney jack)MUIR SHAMAREE 124 4.50    
5  TOP REVIEW Feb03 Jan15 May02 Mar28   (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 57% 0.70    
6  ONI         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SWISS DANCER Feb24 Feb03 Jan02 Jul04   (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   03/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LESLIE CHOW Jan13 Dec31 Dec09 Nov13 Nov03 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 124 2.50 13% 6.40    
2  ITS A BOY Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 Jul15 Jun18 (sanderson bru)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
3  WAR CHEST Feb25 Dec28 Dec16 Nov26 Nov12 (rosales j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 59% 0.70    
4  MONTANA Dec19 Oct19 Sep27 Sep08 Jul26 (chambers mike)BARNES JOSE 124 12.00    
5  COASTAL WATERS Mar03 Feb19 Jan30 Jan13 Dec28 (garcia serji)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEFENSOR FORTIS Feb06 Jan27 Dec28 Dec10 Nov18 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
7  ORTH Feb06 Jan13 Dec30 Dec05 Sep25 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  FLINT STROLL Feb25 Feb04 Jan07 Dec23 Nov22 (morfin lian)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  PEPPER JACK Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 Dec05 (hodgson barry)MONTALVO C 124 12.00    
10  FLY NIGHTLY Feb19 Jan27 Dec28 Dec11 Nov30 (silva ga)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00    
SCR  PACO'S PICO Mar03 Feb18 Feb04 Jan27 Dec30 (villamar candelar)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
SCR  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Feb06 Jan13 Dec28 Nov26 Nov12 (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-5   03/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABOVE THE FOLD Feb24 Feb10 Jan20 Dec18 Nov30 (rosales j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 ★    
2  HAPPY CHAPPY Feb25 Feb16 Jan20 Dec06 Oct25 (tubbs scott)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 74% 0.40    
3  HIGH FLYING GRACIE Mar05 Feb05 Jan22 Nov12 Nov06 (silva pablo)BARNES JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONQUEST SECRET Dec18 Dec06 Nov24 Nov08 Oct27 (perez serg)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 6.00    
5  WARRIOR LADY Feb10 Jan14 Dec05 Nov14 Sep29 (chambers mike)KRIGGER K 122 5.00    
6  SHE SAID MY WAY Jan27 Jan14 Nov26 Aug24 Jul21 (johnston kimberle)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
7  DELUSIONAL DREAM Feb24 Feb10 Jan14 Dec05 Nov14 (woolley )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SENSIBLE LUTE Feb05 Jan22 Jan08 Dec28 Dec10 (hernandez mig)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00    
 
TUP-6   03/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ALE Feb06 Jan16 Dec16 Nov19 Jun30 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00    
2  EXXEL Jan25 Dec23 Dec11 Nov19 Sep21 (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 44% 1.20    
3  HEY NOW Sep05 Aug03 Jul11 Jun16 Apr30 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00    
4  WELTON Feb12 Jan25 Dec23 Nov19 Sep08 (martinez est)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ULTIMATE Feb04 Dec30 Dec17 Sep06 Jul21 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 6% 15.40    
6  CODE FIVE Feb20 Feb05 Jan14 Dec16 Apr14 (owens kory)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
SCR  COASTAL KID Feb12 Jan25 Dec18 Dec05 Nov14 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 122 4.00    
8  BUCK OWENS Jan25 Jan06 Dec18 Dec02 Nov13 (story chad)GARCIA F 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
TUP-7   03/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYNTACTIC Feb13 Jan30 Jan07 Dec23 Dec05 (bean robert )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
2  ECHO CANYON Jan30 Jan13 Dec30 Dec12 Dec02 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
3  LASMUIGH (GB) Feb26 Feb12 Jan15 Jan08 Nov24 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LET ME LOVE YOU Feb22 Feb05 Jan09 Dec19 Nov09 (diaz fer)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
5  BERT'S PROSPECT Feb11 Jan21 Nov09 Oct11 Aug22 (diodoro robertino)KRIGGER K 122 3.00    
6  WITHOUT EQUAL Feb13 Jan30 Jan13 Dec19 Nov26 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
7  EARTHLY TIGER Feb05 Jan16 Dec19 Nov19 Aug31 (gibson ho)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
8  RUN BABA RUN Feb22 Jan23 Dec08 Nov29 Nov02 (soto antonio)GARCIA F 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  NATIONAL GENERAUX (IRE) Feb22 Jan15 Dec30 Nov22 Oct26 (morfin lian)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
10  MAXIMUM CAPACITY Jan21 Dec18 Nov29 Oct26 Sep22 (rodriguez )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
TUP-8   03/12/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAZY STORM Mar03 Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 Nov30 (van d)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
2  RAIDER NATION Feb04 Jan07 Dec19 Oct06 Sep15 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 4.00 ★    
3  SON O' SANPETE Feb25 Feb10 Jan24 Jan15 Dec23 (brown allen)KRIGGER K 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOMORROWNEVERCOMES Feb10 Jan24 Dec28 Dec16 Nov29 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 124 6.00 63% 0.60    
5  AUTISM MIND Feb04 Jan24 Jan02 Dec19 Dec03 (torres-ca)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
6  DON'T HAVE ANOTHER Feb15 Jan19 Dec14 Oct18   (bean a)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 10.00    
7  MR. THIRSTY Nov29 Sep22       (torres-casa)VALENZUELA A 118 5.00    
8  CHICKEN NUGGET         (kemper kas)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 118 8.00 16% 5.10    
9  STREET GUN Jan22 Dec18 Apr25 Apr11   (schnell don)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 3.00    
10  IMA RASCAL May04 Mar26 Mar12 Jan05   (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.