Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/3/9/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/1/2)-(6/3/9/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/1/2)-(6/3/9/1/2)-(6/3/9/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/9/1/2)-(5/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/9/1/2)-(5/6/3)-(7/5/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/1/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(7/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(7/1/4/3)-(2/6/5/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/3)-(2/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/3)-(2/6/5/8)-(4/1/5/9/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/8)-(2/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/8)-(2/6/5/8)-(2/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/8)-(4/1/5/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/8)-(4/1/5/9/3)-(3/7/9/6/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (4/1/5/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/9/3)-(4/1/5/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/9/3)-(4/1/5/9/3)-(4/1/5/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/5/9/3)-(3/7/9/6/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/9/3)-(3/7/9/6/4)-(4/9/8/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (3/7/9/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/9/6/4)-(3/7/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/9/6/4)-(3/7/9/6/4)-(3/7/9/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/9/6/4)-(4/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/9/6/4)-(4/9/8/1)-(5/8/9/10/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (4/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/8/1)-(4/9/8/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/8/1)-(4/9/8/1/7)-(4/9/8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/8/1)-(5/8/9/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/8/9/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/10/4)-(5/8/9/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/10/4)-(5/8/9/10/4)-(5/8/9/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIAR FOR HIRE Jan10 Nov24       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  THEFORCEBEWITHYOU Feb15 Feb05 Jan03 Apr04 Mar10 (dominguez huber)HESS SARA 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Feb07 Jan26 Jan10 Dec18 Aug30 (vazquez jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
4  STARVIEW TWINKLE Feb07 Jan26 Jan10 Oct11 Jul06 (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 122 6.00    
5  BONITA DIAMOND Dec02         (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.50    
6  MAMA DRAMA         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  LADY LYLA Feb07 Jan10 Dec18 Sep06 Jul21 (paramo mar)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
8  HEAVENLY DANCER (BRZ) Jan10 Nov20 Sep23     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.50    
9  LIKE RACHEL         (infante michael)BUSH V 122 15.00 6% 15.60    
 
TAM-2   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY CAJUN LADY Jan24 Jan12 Nov07 Sep20 Aug18 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 10.00    
2  COMPASS FIRE Jan12 Aug29 Jul27 Jun21 May30 (seale christop)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
3  LACONIA Jan18 Dec04 Oct04 Sep14 Aug30 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 6.00 10% 9.30    
4  SPANISH DELIGHT Jan18 Dec29 Dec04 Oct19 Sep09 (wilson tony)FERRER C 118 1.80    
5  ZIP CODE ENVY Jan19 Dec04 Oct26 Oct01 Sep09 (wasiluk peter )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 31% 2.30    
6  SASSY CHARLEE Feb21 Dec28 Dec04 Sep28 Aug18 (simone micha)BATISTA A 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
TAM-3   02/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUSSY GIRL Jan26 Nov30 Nov01 Sep20 Aug09 (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAPTIVATING SOUND Feb14 Jan26 Jan15 Jan05 Dec13 (torre)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
3  HO HO HO LETS GO Jan10 Sep10       (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 12.00 13% 7.00    
4  CHANGE ORDER Feb14 Feb01 Jan15 Jan01 Dec13 (roque eli)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 10.00    
5  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Feb02 Jan18 Nov03 Sep18 Aug29 (orantes r)HESS SARA 111 2.50 16% 5.10    
6  CANT FAKE THE HATE Jan25 Dec06 Nov12 Oct21 Sep06 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.50    
7  RED WREN Feb14 Jan29 Jul08 Jun11 May27 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
TAM-4   02/28/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SING SCAT Jan26 Jan12 Dec18 Nov30 Oct26 (davis scooter)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 10% 9.20    
2  PURE ELEGANCE Feb07 Jan24 Oct20 Sep27 Sep12 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 5.00    
3  SEATTLE CAUSEWAY Dec07 Nov21 Nov02 Oct10 Sep26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THAT'S MY CAT Feb07 Dec20 Oct09 Sep20 Aug22 (hardesty lesli)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MURUMBI Feb02 Jan15 Jan01 Dec18 Nov27 (simone mi)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 4.50    
6  SHE'S A JOY Jan19 Jan08 Nov30 Nov22 Aug18 (ag)LUNA PAUL 118 30.00    
7  SALAGADOOLA Jan26 Dec18 Nov23 Oct17 Oct05 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  SIMMERING (GB) Jan15 Dec18 Nov27 Oct31 Sep22 (arriagada jua)IORIO MELISSA 118 3.00    
 
TAM-5   02/28/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BEE HAPPY Jul21 Jun23 Sep21 Sep07 Aug10 (hunt donald)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 30.00    
2  PRECISELY Jan10 Oct31 Aug22 Jun11   (ward a)MORALES PABLO 122 0.80 35% 1.90    
3  MAYFLY Dec14 Oct10 Mar09 Jan20 Dec09 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 4.50    
4  THREE TIMES Jan25 Nov27 Oct20 Sep27 Aug24 (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00    
5  FACTORBELLA Feb02 Jan12 Dec27 Dec06 Nov23 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 6% 15.90    
6  TRUE SPUN Feb07 Mar13 Jan20     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 33% 2.10    
7  CAMILA T (IRE) Nov28 Jul07 Feb10 Nov04 Oct04 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
8  GRAYTANA Feb07 Jan17 Dec24 Nov23 Oct06 (campbell joel)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD TOWN ROAD Feb07 Jan24 Jan05 Dec18 Apr28 (waltke thomas )SUAREZ JESUS 122 3.50 14% 6.40    
2  GRIMES Feb14 Feb01 Jan15 Dec24 Nov27 (spanabel r)LEON SONNY 120 5.00    
3  GRAND DANIEL Jan29 Jan19 Jan10 Dec22 Nov17 (orantes r)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRIPULANTE Feb19 Jan08 Sep15 Aug10 Jul22 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 52% 0.90    
5  MEAN TWEETS Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 Jan01 Dec18 (posadas pedro)HESS SARA 113 8.00 8% 11.60    
6  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Feb07 Jan25 Jan15 Jan08 Dec22 (lopez mari)INFANTE A 120 20.00    
7  FEAST Dec18 Nov20 Nov02 Oct20 Sep29 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 2.00    
8  CITY HUMOR Jan31 Jan10 Oct23 Oct07 Sep11 (marrero nestor)COTTO L 120 30.00    
9  CHAIN REACTION Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 Nov13 Oct24 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   02/28/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAPID ROY Dec27 Apr27       (paramo mar)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
2  DIFFUSION Feb14         (dini mike)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
3  GROWTH CAPITAL Jan25 Dec10 Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
4  LENA'S JAZZ Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 Mar24 Feb18 (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLUE SKY'S SYL Jan10 Mar15       (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 30.00    
6  LAKE CHAPALA Jan17 Sep14 Sep01 Aug04 Jul20 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ACT OF MUTINY Feb07 Dec29 Aug29 Mar09 Oct28 (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.80 13% 6.90    
8  FIRE BARON Jan25 Jan01 Dec06 Nov01 Oct25 (paragallo )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 30.00    
9  STOW ON THE WOLD Oct13 Sep15 Jul27 Jun15 Aug06 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.00 6% 15.70    
10  COASTAL RIVER Feb07 Jan10 Dec27 May03   (ellebracht gary)LEON SONNY 122 15.00    
SCR  FROZEN FOUR Feb14 Jan25 Jan17 Dec27 Dec06 (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
SCR  GRAND PARK VIEW Feb14 Jan10 Dec27 Dec14 Nov30 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
SCR  MUCHOMACHOMAC Feb09 Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 Nov01 (canegata james)FERRER C 122 4.00    
SCR  WE GOT THIS Feb21 Dec11 Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 (curto beverl)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 30.00    
 
TAM-8   02/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS EMILY Jan19 Dec21 Dec07     (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISS INTERPATATION Jan03         (hardesty lesli)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
3  LOOP OF HENLE Feb16 Jan24 Jan03     (dini mike)HESS SARA 112 20.00    
4  MISSPENT Jan26 Jan04 Dec11 Nov20 Oct13 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00 41% 1.50    
5  CASH DUE Aug30         (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 119 4.50    
6  YLANA Feb16 Dec22       (dominguez huber)BRACHO A 119 30.00    
SCR  LIZZIE BABY Jul22         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00 ★    
8  HIGH HEARTS         (seale christophe)LEON SONNY 119 15.00 15% 5.90    
9  ATOMIC HABITS         (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.00 19% 4.10    
10  QURBAAN D ORO Feb05 Jan24 Dec28 Dec07 Nov20 (padilla ti)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 20.00    
11  PRINCESS HONOR Feb02 Sep21 Aug28     (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
12  MONEY TRAIL Feb01         (vinson jo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 6.00    
SCR  RAN THE RED Feb12 Jan03 Nov29 Sep21   (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00    
SCR  LIZ DREAMIN Feb12 Jan19 Nov23 Aug30 Aug16 (barrett gr)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
 
TAM-9   02/28/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCIO Feb05 Jan10 Dec13 Oct27 Oct05 (munoz ca)RODRIGUEZ O 118 12.00    
2  SOUL SECRET Jan24 Jan04 Sep27 Aug08   (terranova john)GIL CIPRIANO 118 20.00    
3  SKIPWINEYESTERDAY Feb05 Jan10 Dec13 Sep02   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00    
4  SPARKLING RUBY Dec07 Oct03 Sep14     (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALTAMIRA SUR Jan09 Dec20 Jul12     (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.80 34% 1.90    
6  CLASSICALS FINALE Jan31 Jan24 Dec28 Dec06 Nov21 (contessa c)SPIETH S 118 15.00    
7  GO JOCELYN GO Jan19 Dec13       (amaya gust)URDANETA J 118 30.00    
8  NOTABLE EXCHANGE Feb09         (dini mik)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 24% 3.10    
9  DYNAMIC ACTRESS Feb05 Jan04 Dec07 Oct11   (hendriks richard)FERRER C 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
10  HIDDEN RECIPE Feb05 Sep23 Aug07 Jul03   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.