Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/2/6/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/1/7)-(3/2/6/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/1/7)-(3/2/6/1/7)-(3/2/6/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/6/1/7)-(2/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/1/7)-(2/5/3)-(5/2/6/9/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(5/2/6/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(5/2/6/9/4)-(1/9/7/8/11) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/2/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/9/4)-(5/2/6/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/9/4)-(5/2/6/9/4)-(5/2/6/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/6/9/4)-(1/9/7/8/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/9/4)-(1/9/7/8/11)-(6/8/10/1/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-4   WIN (1/9/7/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/8/11)-(1/9/7/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/8/11)-(1/9/7/8/11)-(1/9/7/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/7/8/11)-(6/8/10/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/9/7/8/11)-(6/8/10/1/3)-(4/5) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/8/10/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/10/1/3)-(6/8/10/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/10/1/3)-(6/8/10/1/3)-(6/8/10/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/10/1/3)-(4/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/8/10/1/3)-(4/5)-(10/3/8/6/7) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(10/3/8/6/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(10/3/8/6/7)-(3/6/7/9/8) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/3/8/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/8/6/7)-(10/3/8/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/8/6/7)-(10/3/8/6/7)-(10/3/8/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/8/6/7)-(3/6/7/9/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/3/8/6/7)-(3/6/7/9/8)-(11/4/2/8/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (3/6/7/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/9/8)-(3/6/7/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/9/8)-(3/6/7/9/8)-(3/6/7/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/7/9/8)-(11/4/2/8/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (11/4/2/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/2/8/7)-(11/4/2/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/2/8/7)-(11/4/2/8/7)-(11/4/2/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLING ROSE Aug18 Jul21 Jun30     (cascallares nes)LARA VICTOR 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CLARAMENTE Dec06 Nov22       (mcpherso)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
3  SOLDIERESS Jul10 Jun13 May24 Apr07   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
4  COSMIC SYMPHONY Feb05 Jun08 Apr14 Jan28 Dec17 (rivera franc)MENESES MARCOS 122 30.00    
5  PRACTICAL VALE Oct26 Oct05 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 12.00    
6  JESS'S BREW Jan26 Dec13 Aug28     (cudworth pau)BATISTA A 122 2.50 13% 6.80    
7  TRUE HONEY Jan26 Dec24       (roque)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  DREAMING OF CARLI Jan29 Jan10 Dec22 Nov25 Nov12 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 12.00    
9  FUTURE FORTUNE Feb02 Jan26 Jan10 Jun30 Jun16 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 10.00    
 
TAM-2   02/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST MERCY Feb02 Jan12 Nov27 Oct25 Sep08 (ag)LUNA PAUL 118 12.00    
2  ALCOHOL Jan01 Nov24 Oct27 Sep20 Aug16 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 5.00 32% 2.20    
3  WHATTA WORLD Dec27 Nov16 Oct04 Aug24 Jun28 (breen j)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  AWESOME EMPRESS Jan18 Dec28 Oct25 Sep15 Sep01 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50    
5  MO'S VINO MESA Jan25 Dec28 Dec04 Nov20 Oct22 (wilson tony)COTTO L 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  U LITE UP MY LIFE Jul28 Jul12 Mar27 Mar10 Feb04 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00    
 
TAM-3   02/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNIVERSAL JOY Dec18         (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 30.00    
2  FORTUNE DREAMS Feb07 Jan19 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 (lopez r)VARGAS E 112 6.00 10% 9.50    
3  PIZZICATO Feb02 Jan10 Dec24 Dec13 Nov27 (rivera francis)GIL CIPRIANO 122 3.00    
4  NOUVEAU RICHE Feb02 Jan26 Jan10 Nov03 Oct23 (cascallare)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BURNING STAR         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
6  LUNA AMARILLA Feb02 Jan10 Sep23 Sep04 Aug12 (marrero nestor)HESS SARA 115 15.00 6% 16.20    
7  LITTLE CARLEY Jan26 Jan10 Dec24 Nov30 Nov15 (kutt d)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 6.00    
8  FANCY'S ROSEBUD Jan10 Dec13 Nov27 Oct11 Sep15 (mazza joseph )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00    
9  FINAL NOTE Feb02 Nov24 Nov04 Oct23 Oct06 (gardea abraham)TORRES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   02/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMITE KARMA Dec19 Jun19 May17 Mar17 Feb29 (moreno-bar)BATISTA X 122 6.00 50% 1.00    
2  MONEY SONG Feb07 Jan25 Jan08 Oct12 Sep20 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00    
3  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Feb02 Jan18 Jan08 Dec13 Nov15 (kutt don)RODRIGUEZ O 122 30.00    
4  BLAME BISHOP Nov27 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Aug12 (rarick lynn)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
5  UNDALAY Feb07 Jan12 Oct12 Aug18 Jun01 (mckanas j)GIL CIPRIANO 122 6.00    
6  WELL CONNECTED Jan22 Jun20 Jun08 May23 Jan28 (march william)BUSH V 122 8.00    
7  EBBEN Jan08 Jun23 May12 Feb27 Nov20 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00 8% 11.40    
8  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Jan25 Jan08 Dec22 Sep25 Aug24 (padilla ti)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  TRIPULANTE Jan08 Sep15 Aug10 Jul22 May25 (delgado jose )IORIO MELISSA 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
10  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Jan24 Jan08 Dec22 Nov20 Sep15 (cahill steven )CAMACHO SAMY 122 15.00    
11  FORT ATTITUDE Jan31 Jan24 Dec22 Dec13 Nov16 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   02/19/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER NELL Jan26 Oct04 Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  D CITY GIRL Aug02 Jul12 May31 May01 Apr12 (dobber)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 30.00    
3  GULF COAST GIRL Jan26 Jan08 Dec20 Dec04 Oct01 (dini mike)CASTANON L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  C. S. VIVACE Jan26 Jan05 Oct27 Aug31 Jun16 (baxter georg)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00    
5  BIANCA Jan26 Sep17 Sep09 Aug13 Jul24 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00    
6  COMPASS RISES Jan26 Dec18 Dec04 Nov01 Oct17 (dini mike)CENTENO E 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
7  PLAY FREE BIRD Jan18 Jan12 Dec28 Dec11 Oct18 (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 118 6.00    
8  DAME CATHERINE Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Oct30 Sep27 (wilson tony)COTTO L 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
9  CHERBOURG Jan26 Dec20 Dec04 Oct13 Sep02 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
10  BOLT OF PARADISE Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Oct12 Sep21 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  SHAKREVENGE Jan26 Jan05 Dec11 Oct27 Oct13 (avila ca)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50    
SCR  FROTHY Jan29 Jan05 Dec21 Nov03 Sep27 (cascallares nestor)TORRES R 118 10.00    
SCR  UDIDN'TPAY Jan29 Dec30 Dec18 Dec03 Nov06 (ashmore coleen )CENTENO E 118 10.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE MISSION Jan26 Jun23 Nov10 Aug18 Jul11 (hunt donald)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00    
 
TAM-6   02/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MADAM MITOLE Jan26 Dec24 Dec07 Sep21 Aug30 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.60    
SCR  CARROLL'S HONOR Jan29 Dec07 Nov20     (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 2.50    
SCR  VENEZUELAN FLOWER Feb05 Jan03       (yanez reynaldo)GIL CIPRIANO 118 12.00    
4  ALIEN PRINCESS Jan15         (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
5  RIP RIDING AWAY Jan17 Dec20 Nov29 Sep29 Aug30 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00 26% 2.80    
6  FLORIDA FLOWER Jan29 Jan17 Dec13 Nov29 Oct04 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
7  THEE NEW BEGINNING Feb05 Dec08 Oct25 Sep29 Aug10 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 118 30.00    
 
TAM-7   02/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAWEETIE GIRL Oct31 Oct15 Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 (ocasio osvaldo)GIL CIPRIANO 118 30.00    
2  HONEYCOMB Jan29 Jan18 Jan01 Sep26 Sep07 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 118 30.00    
SCR  PLAY MISTY (IRE) Nov30 Sep20 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 118 4.00 24% 3.10    
4  CLASSY DISPOSITION Jan29 Jan08 Oct19 Aug12 Mar10 (avila ca)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
5  SHAMU Jan29 Jan12 Jan05 Dec21 Nov29 (orantes y)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 5.00    
6  THE GODDESS FACTOR Jan19 Jan03 Dec11     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PERMED Jan29 Jan12 Dec18 Dec04 Nov10 (pimental john )CASTANON L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  LITTLE MARTHA Feb01 Dec27 Dec04 Oct15 Oct02 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 4.50 6% 14.90    
9  BONITA BREEZE Feb01 Jan03 Oct19 Sep06 Jul20 (yanez mo)RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.50    
10  ROSE VIEW Feb12 Dec28 Dec04 Oct27 Oct04 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
TAM-8   02/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORDS OF FORTUNE Feb02 Nov21 Oct11     (lopez mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 113 4.00    
2  AMAURY M. V. P. Dec24         (tsirigotis jr)DIAZ S 120 30.00    
3  JUST BUU         (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  NEOSTAR Jul21         (lilly jam)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 15.00    
5  TEARAWAY TOM         (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
6  HIGHTAIL FOX Feb09 Jan18 Oct22 Oct08 Sep20 (connelly teresa)LEON SONNY 120 3.00 9% 10.10    
7  PASTOR DAVE         (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 8% 11.40    
8  DANCER'S SHADOW Jan15 Dec24 Oct28 Sep25 Aug24 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  MADCAP         (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 120 20.00 8% 11.80    
10  LITTLE PATITO Feb02         (cascallares ne)GIL CIPRIANO 120 30.00    
 
TAM-9   02/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DABOOM Feb08 Jan01 Dec11 Sep26 Aug22 (dimmett james)HESS SARA 111 15.00    
2  DENYING Jan22 Jan11 Dec24 Nov23 Sep23 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  DRUNK ON SAKE Jan18 Dec07 Sep08 Jul27 Jun29 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
4  TAP THE SKY Oct15 Sep30 Sep11 Sep02 Aug13 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00 7% 13.00    
5  OISHI Nov29 Oct06 Aug22 Jul27 Jul13 (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 118 3.50    
6  ENDLESS REIGN Feb09 Jan22 Dec27 Dec06 Oct17 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
7  PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Dec15 Oct31 Jun28 Jun02 May12 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  NIGHT RIDE Oct01 Aug20 Aug05 Jul09 Jul01 (bowersock ma)BATISTA A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  PAXTON Jan25 Dec22 Nov29 Nov10 Oct25 (miller rory )MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
SCR  FAKE CELEBRITY Jan03 Nov16 Sep21 Oct27 Sep04 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 3.00    
11  CUPID'S DUDE Feb01 Jan22 Jan12 Dec20 Nov03 (simone michael )CENTENO E 118 2.00 61% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.