Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - January 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/3)-(4/1/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/3)-(4/1/3/5)-(5/6/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/5)-(5/6/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/5)-(5/6/4/8)-(7/2/8/6/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/8)-(5/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/8)-(5/6/4/8)-(5/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/8)-(7/2/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/8)-(7/2/8/6/3)-(7/2/8/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/2/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/6/3)-(7/2/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/6/3)-(7/2/8/6/3)-(7/2/8/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/8/6/3)-(7/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/6/3)-(7/2/8/3)-(5/3/7/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/3)-(5/3/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/3)-(5/3/7/1)-(3/7/8/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/1)-(3/7/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/1)-(3/7/8/1)-(1/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/1)-(3/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/1)-(3/7/8/1)-(3/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/1)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/2/6/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/2/6/9)-(1/4/2/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY MAN MARTIN Jan04 Dec05 Oct26     (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
LEMMEHOLDWHATYAGOT Jan04 Oct25 Oct05 Sep13   (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00    
GOING TO OMBRA Jan10 Dec06       (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ED'S PROPHECY Jan04 Dec06       (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 122 20.00    
DADIO Jan17 Jan04       (hess jacob )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 15.00    
BULL RIDER Dec06 Oct25 Sep12 Aug23 Jul25 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 21% 3.80    
SCR  JUNITO'S BOY Jan11         (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
RETURN OF DA MACK Jan04         (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00 13% 6.70    
SABER JET Jan04 Nov22 Oct26     (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
 
CT-2   01/24/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE YOUR GAME Jan03 Dec11 Nov13 Oct07 Sep23 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00 22% 3.60    
MO TRAFFIC Jan17 Jan02 Dec18 Dec04 Nov07 (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
SWEET SERENADE Dec01 Nov02 Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 (robillard julie)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS FUSSY PANTS Jan03 Dec27 Nov21 Nov05 Oct18 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 0.60 51% 0.90    
LANTERN'S CANDY Dec12 Nov29 Nov08 Oct05 Aug28 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
WATERLOO ROSE Jan03 Dec12 Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00    
CHARGE NURSE Jan03 Nov29 Nov12 Oct07 Sep17 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 4.00    
 
CT-3   01/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEPRECHAUN Dec27 Dec06 Nov15 May29 May19 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 5.00    
GUILTED Dec21 Dec05 Nov14 Oct03 Sep14 (nazario)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 6.00    
CANDYLAND PHIL Jan15 Dec20 Nov22     (knudsen ken)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.50    
STOLZER ONKEL Nov26 Oct30 Oct21 Sep02 Aug16 (robillard julie)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
HOPPY TIME Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 Oct30 Sep23 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SHARP STYLE Jan09 Nov29 Nov15 Oct31 Sep28 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
TOONICE Jan16 Dec22 Dec09 Mar30   (nazario pedro)LUGO JR 124 15.00    
JANES JENSEN Jan04 Nov29 Nov15 Oct30 Sep28 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   01/24/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCHING STARS Jan03 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 (reyes ruben)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 30.00    
SUPER BOURBON Jan03 Dec13 Nov23 Oct30 Sep27 (barr h)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
UNCLE'S THE BANKER Nov20 Oct21 Oct11 Sep27 Sep02 (robillard julie)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND AGAIN Dec01 Nov17 Aug09 Apr18 Mar21 (hillegass alexan)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
THANK YA PETE Jan03 Nov30 Nov08 Sep28 Sep06 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
ALLIED ATTACK Jan17 Dec14 Nov26 Oct02 Aug16 (joy j)STANLEY O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TEMPEST (GB) Nov03 Aug29 May04 Mar23   (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
DREW D'ORO Jan03 Oct25 Sep01 Aug09 Jul15 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 1.80 5% 19.00    
SECRET SATURDAY Jan02 Dec20 Nov18 Oct31 Oct24 (deiter kell)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 10.00    
 
CT-5   01/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERNO Jan02 Nov25 Nov11 Oct29 Sep30 (meyers madis)LEWIS M 122 4.00    
MAT MATTERS Jan02 Dec18 Nov15 Oct24 Sep28 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
BRISTOL CHANNEL Dec07 Nov20 Nov06 Nov29 Nov03 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DISCREET DEVIL Jan10 Dec12 Dec04 Nov13 Oct19 (rodriguez)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
BESOTTED Jan03 Dec06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul13 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 12.00    
GRAFT Jan17 Nov10 Sep14 Aug30 Jul06 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 124 2.00    
CROWN THAT SAINT Jan15 Dec11 Nov22 Oct31 Oct19 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 3.50 35% 1.90    
YANGARRA Jan15 Dec11 Nov20 Oct31 Oct17 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00 12% 7.50    
 
CT-6   01/24/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCHED UP Jan03 Nov22 Oct30 Oct19 Sep28 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 8% 12.30    
FEARNOUGHT Jan18 Jan02 Nov30 May03 Apr19 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
MY BUDDY DUANE Jan02 Dec12 Nov27 Nov16 Oct26 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 24% 3.30    
CHASE LIL ME Jan02 Aug13 Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 (collins tim)LEWIS M 122 20.00    
PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Jan01 Nov30 Nov13 Oct02 Sep16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 35% 1.80    
SCR  GALA STAR Dec05 Nov14 Oct03 Aug25   (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00    
ONE CANDY CASTLE Jan03 Dec12 Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 (bass w)ADAMS L 117 4.00 12% 7.30    
CORONATION TIME Jan02 Dec20 Nov29 Nov10 Oct19 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50    
TIME TO CHOOSE Dec07 Nov06 Oct26 Oct05 Sep26 (reyes d)LARROSA G 124 30.00    
SCR  THIS KATZ FOR REAL Dec27 Sep27 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 (robillard julie)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   01/24/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY HANDSOME MAN Jan11 Dec30 Dec11 Nov27 Nov14 (ovando melvi)LEWIS M 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jan17 Dec13 Dec04 Nov21 Oct31 (spriggs)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
ZEN MASTER Dec28 Nov14 Oct22 Oct03 Jul26 (farrior a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
PIT STOP MAN Dec07 Jul13 Jun29 Apr26 Apr07 (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 122 6.00    
ALVY Dec27 Dec04 Oct12 Sep14 Aug22 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20    
BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Jan17 Dec12 Nov14 Nov01 Oct19 (bailon ne)BOCACHICA J 120 30.00    
AL LOVES JOSIE Nov19 Oct06 Aug23 Jul26 Oct14 (farrior anth)BATISTA A 120 8.00 22% 3.60    
RIDICULOUS Jan11 Dec13 Dec04 Nov14 Nov01 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   01/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAIN WRECK Dec06 Nov15 Oct22 Oct01 Aug30 (lane j)STANLEY O 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
PASS THE CASH Jan03 Nov30 Nov15 Oct25 Sep28 (craig e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 4.50    
MISS WILD Nov30 Nov09 Mar29 Feb16 Jan05 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
DREAMING OF AUDREY Jan03 Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 Sep05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
SHERIFF'S KID Jan16 Nov29 Sep27 Apr27 Apr06 (collyer j)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
BRAVO ZULU Jan03 Dec11 Sep15 Sep01 Aug24 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 4.00    
HONEY B B Jan09 Apr14 Mar23 Mar03 Feb10 (joy kev)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00    
SCR  GOLD TIME VIXEN Dec20 Nov29 Nov08 Sep27 Sep01 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
MISS ANTIETAM Jan03 Nov29 Oct09 Sep23 May31 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
10  CONGRESS HALL Jan03 Dec11 Nov17 Oct18 Oct04 (shanley timo)DIAZ JR 122 20.00    
SCR  TESTED POSITIVE Dec19 Dec09 Nov08 Oct23 Oct09 (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 120 30.00    
SCR  CORA'S CHOICE Jan04 Dec11 Nov29 Nov09 Oct31 (walters j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
SCR  WINDY LU WHO Jul17 Jun19 May09 Apr30 Apr03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.