Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - January 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(5/7/1)-(4/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(4/5/2)-(8/6/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(8/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(8/6/7)-(10/4/9/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-4   WIN (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7)-(8/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/7)-(10/4/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7)-(10/4/9/5)-(5/4/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (10/4/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/9/5)-(10/4/6/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/9/5)-(10/4/6/9/5)-(10/4/6/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/4/9/5)-(5/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/4/9/5)-(5/4/7/2)-(8/6/5/2/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/2)-(8/6/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/2)-(8/6/5/2/9)-(5/10/9/2/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-7   WIN (8/6/5/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/2/9)-(8/6/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/2/9)-(8/6/5/2/9)-(8/6/5/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/5/2/9)-(5/10/9/2/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/2/9)-(5/10/9/2/4)-(2/3/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-8   WIN (5/10/9/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/9/2/4)-(5/10/9/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/9/2/4)-(5/10/9/2/4)-(5/10/9/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/9/2/4)-(2/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/8/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/8/4/5)-(2/3/8/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLEN BULLET Dec21 Nov02 Oct10 Aug23 Aug09 (escobar ali)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 3.50    
SCR  CHIMES LAKE May25 May04       (dison m)HERNANDEZ V 121 10.00    
3  SHELBI'S STAR Dec11 Nov29 Nov01 Sep24 Aug16 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00    
4  AWESOME BECCA Dec21 Nov27 Nov02 Oct17 Aug23 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
5  SURPRISE SUNRISE Dec07 Nov22 Jul26 Jun15   (dison phil)RAMIREZ JR 124 6.00 5% 17.90    
6  DAT'S A GOODE ONE Dec18 Nov21 Oct23 Sep24 Aug27 (borel renay)VARGAS P 121 4.50 34% 1.90    
7  MISS DAAHEN Dec21         (richard russell )FUSILIER C 121 6.00    
 
DED-2   01/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJORITY OPINION Dec14 Oct11 Aug31 Jul29   (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 14% 6.00    
2  MONEY KINGDOM Dec14 Oct18 Aug15     (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 119 6.00    
3  REGAL TEMPLE Dec13 Oct11 Aug03 Jul13   (pomier chase)BARRERA J 119 8.00    
4  DEAL EM JUSTICE Dec14 Nov02 Oct10     (robbins jr)ROSIER R 119 12.00    
5  CAJUN MITOLE Dec14 Nov15 Oct10     (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  GAME PORT Dec13         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 5.00 ★    
7  LOTTA SPIRIT HERE Dec07         (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 5.00 29% 2.50    
 
DED-3   01/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUISIANA LUCA Dec12 Nov14       (cormier card)BARRERA J 124 4.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of FROM TIZ MOMENT ON by TIZNOW)
2  BLESSEDUPONASTAR Dec12         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BLESS D'CAT by D'WILDCAT)
3  HALF GUILTY Nov27 Oct29 Aug22 Jul26 Jul13 (ward ronnie)MELANCON JANSEN 124 8.00    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of HALF A SUGAR by HALF OURS)
4  CHAD'S FLASHY WAYS Dec12 Nov07 May23 Apr25 Mar08 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 1.00 67% 0.50    
  (by SKY MESA out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
5  MARIACHI MAN Dec12 Jun21 May24     (castille ricke)ARANA KELVIN 119 3.50 9% 10.70    
  (by IRON FIST out of SAWYERS TRUSTYLADY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  TEE'S ZONG Feb24         (cormier ho)RAMIREZ JR 124 15.00    
  (by ZONG out of PRINCESS ZARA by A.P. INDY)
 
DED-4   01/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ SWEET CANDY Dec27 Dec14 Nov05 Aug26 Jul15 (turner patt)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 5.00    
SCR  LUNCH LADY Dec12 Nov05 May17 Feb09 Jan13 (zeno benjamin)HERNANDEZ V 120 8.00    
3  EASY BET Dec14 Nov14 Oct17 Aug24 Aug10 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 5.00    
SCR  MSCHITCHATTOUR Dec20 Dec05 Oct30 Oct10 Aug17 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 115 15.00    
5  LADY BE GONE Dec20 Dec04 Nov21 Oct26 Nov09 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 12.00    
6  LADY HOPPER Dec28 Dec12 Nov29 Oct12 Aug09 (ludwig james)BARRERA J 117 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  STARBUCK LUCK Dec12 Nov30 Jun20 May25 Apr20 (segura kear)MELANCON JANSEN 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  LA TRESS GRAY Nov30 Aug02 Dec18 Nov17 Jun29 (ramirez eduardo)BIRZER E 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
DED-5   01/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF FULL Dec27 Nov22 Oct23 Jul20 Feb23 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 117 4.00    
2  SUNSET WAR Dec21 Nov29 Nov20 Oct23 Apr19 (west henry)RAMIREZ JR 121 10.00    
3  CAJUN CYCLONE Dec05 Nov13 Oct23 Aug17 Aug01 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
4  GOLDENLUTE Sep26 Aug27 Aug15 Jul20 Jun28 (gibson jonas)THORNTON G 117 8.00 26% 2.80    
5  BROADWAY PETE Dec06 Oct26 Oct16 Sep20 Sep06 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ADIOS CARLOS Dec05 Nov15 Oct16 Sep26 Aug07 (ramirez-rod)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 6.00 ★    
SCR  EMPIRE KID Dec11 Nov29 Nov14 Aug24 Jul19 (alberto ant)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00    
8  MILITARY BEARING Nov13 Oct26 Sep25 Sep09 Jul10 (rivera nestor )PEREZ CARLOS 115 15.00    
9  BOURBON SPIRIT Dec11 Nov06 Sep17 Oct12 Sep22 (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  TIZ OF THEE Dec28 Mar30 Nov03 Aug28 Jul23 (wong jonath)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
11  BOBBY BOY Dec28 Nov29 Oct26 Oct12 Aug17 (ramirez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
 
DED-6   01/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LIAM AND ALAN Dec18 Sep14 Aug21     (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
2  COUNTRY HIT Dec13 Nov27 Nov06 Oct23   (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CALL ME RIP Dec18 Nov14 Nov05 Oct06   (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 121 10.00    
4  MAXIMILLIONS DREAM Jul04 May18 Oct01     (wong jonathan)PEREZ CARLOS 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  UPTURNED BRIM Feb10 Jan20 Nov15 Sep29 Sep13 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  WE CALL HIM DOC Dec13 Nov22 Nov05 Oct12 Aug17 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 121 5.00    
7  OCEAN JACKPOT Dec18         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 5.00 9% 10.60    
8  THE JUDGE May22 May09       (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 12.00    
 
DED-7   01/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR B QUIET Dec21 Dec04 Nov07 Oct19 Sep09 (bryant george)ARANA KELVIN 115 20.00    
2  IMPLICATOR Dec19 Nov23 Nov02 Jun21 May14 (ramirez-rodrigu)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BODE'S LIGHT Nov30 Nov07 Oct19 Aug09 Jul06 (ramirez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
4  ANDIAMO GIACOMO Dec21 Dec04 Nov07 Aug16 Jun17 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 6.00    
5  OREGON COUNTY Dec19 Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00 9% 10.20    
6  CAJUN EDDIE Dec27 Dec04 Oct19 Mar14 Feb01 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 3.50 27% 2.60    
7  FORT BONZ Dec19 Nov06 Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
8  HANKS Nov30 Nov13 Aug14 Jun29 Jun08 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
9  ZULTAN Dec19 Nov30 Feb21 Jan21 Dec20 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  CHAOSMOS Nov23 Nov02 Oct11 Sep23 Aug14 (richard russell )FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
 
DED-8   01/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WILD BERT Dec11 Nov22 Oct10 Jun01 May04 (averett ronnie)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
SCR  SILVER WINGS Oct25 Aug15 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUCKY PROMISE Nov23 Oct16 Jun08 May10 Apr18 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 120 15.00    
4  HEZA PRIORITY Dec20 Nov30 Oct26 Aug28 Jul17 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HARDLY ABLE Nov23 Oct23 Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  GHENT Dec11 Nov23 Nov01 Sep11 Jul13 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.50    
7  CALIBRACHOAMATTERS Dec28 Dec05 Nov22 Oct16 Aug24 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 5.00    
8  ROBO Oct19 Oct04 Sep09 Aug21 Jul31 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 120 12.00    
9  COPTER Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 Oct12 Aug15 (robbins ray)BIRZER E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  CHARCO Dec06 Nov16 Oct25 Aug26 Jul30 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  GOTMY MO JO WORKIN Dec13 Nov07 Aug23 Jul18 Jun27 (ramirez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 6.00    
 
DED-9   01/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN RECKLESS RUN Dec19 Nov22 Jul12 Jun28   (grimaldo jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 6.00    
2  WHAT'S UP BERTIE Dec19         (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 121 2.50 65% 0.50    
3  CAJUN CATTITUDE         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 121 8.00 8% 11.70    
4  SECRET MAGIC Dec19         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHE'S A TARGET Dec19 Nov22 Oct19 Aug09   (ward ronnie)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHOW' EM NOLA Dec07 Nov22 Sep07 Aug22 Aug01 (west henry)VARGAS P 121 20.00    
7  PEPPERED GAL Dec07 Nov16 Oct25     (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 121 20.00    
8  LA. GRAND SLAM Dec19 Oct25       (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 121 5.00 ★    
9  INSIPID Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 Jul19   (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 4.00    
10  TRIPLE L'S SHADOW Dec27 Nov29 Jul19 Jun28   (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 15.00    
SCR  GLORYLAND Dec28 Dec12 Nov22 Oct19 Sep24 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.