Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - December 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/5)-(8/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/5)-(8/6/7/5)-(9/5/4/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/7/5)-(9/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/5)-(9/5/4/2)-(3/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/2)-(9/5/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/2)-(9/5/7/4/2)-(9/5/7/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/5/4/2)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4/2)-(3/6/1)-(5/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(5/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(5/7/8/3)-(10/6/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/8/3)-(10/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/3)-(10/6/1/5)-(6/1/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-6   WIN (10/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/1/5)-(10/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/1/5)-(10/6/1/5)-(10/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/6/1/5)-(6/1/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/6/1/5)-(6/1/3/4)-(4/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/4)-(4/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (4/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/3)-(4/9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9/3)-(4/9/3)-(4/9/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE HAZEL Oct07         (kravets bruce )CEDENO CAROL 122 3.00    
2  PIN SHOT BABE         (brion )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
3  FIFTY NINE FIFTY Nov14 Oct23       (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 4.00    
4  SEARCH FOR SILVER         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  AVRIL Nov14 Oct23       (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS SMARTY Z Nov18 Oct23 Sep21     (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 12.00    
7  CASA JUANITA Nov20 Oct15       (kirby joh)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 25% 2.90    
 
PEN-2   12/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXEY G Oct25 Oct05 Aug30 Aug21 Jul26 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 6.00    
SCR  HIGH FASHION LADY Oct23 Oct02 Aug21 Jul16 Apr22 (morzan)GONZALEZ JR 121 20.00    
3  TURBO MILLIE Oct25 Oct05 Sep18 Aug24 Aug08 (deiter ke)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
4  MY JO JO Dec07 Oct26 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 (iannotti )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
5  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Oct23 Oct09 Sep16 Aug29 Jul24 (martinez a)CORA D 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  WARRIOR BERNICE Oct23 Sep16 Aug30 Jul10 Jun25 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
7  SAVE THE MISCHIEF Nov20 Oct31 Sep16 Aug21 Aug07 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 10% 8.70    
8  KAPATUDE Nov01 Oct17 Sep22 Sep08 Aug04 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-3   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S GOT GAME Nov29 Nov06 Sep25 Sep02 Aug14 (cifarelli frank)BEATO INOEL 125 8.00    
2  LA LIMA Oct31 Jul26 Jul12 Jun18 May31 (ippolito ma)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MS MERRABEL Nov29 Nov08 Aug29 Jul31 Jul10 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 125 15.00    
4  BABY FADE Nov29 Jun26 Jun04 May20 May07 (o'callahan carl)FLORES E 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Nov29 Nov08 Oct23 May09 Feb18 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 8.00 15% 5.80    
6  SEVEN YEARS LATER Nov29 Jul09 May13 Mar05 Feb12 (nicholson )MITCHELL RICHARD 125 6.00    
7  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Nov20 Oct05 Sep15 Aug29 Jul28 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.00 ★    
8  GIA'S FUEGO Nov29 Nov02 Oct09 Sep24 Sep03 (diaz jorge)ORTIZ JOSHUA 118 12.00    
9  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Dec11 Nov01 Sep14 Aug28 Aug14 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 4.00 54% 0.90    
10  TERPEYE Nov29 Feb21 Jan26 Dec29 Dec13 (moreno tito)CHIAPPE R 125 6.00    
SCR  AMIRATI Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 Oct17 Sep14 (kravets m)CORA D 124 3.50    
 
PEN-4   12/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPORICAL Dec11 Nov18 Jul04 May15 May04 (martin f)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  OPTIMISTIC NATE Nov27 Nov18 Oct19 Oct08 Sep20 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 123 4.00    
3  BRUDER Dec01 Nov02 Oct17 Sep27 Aug13 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.60 30% 2.30    
4  FREE DROP BACH Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 (dunham bernar)RIVERA D 122 3.00    
5  CHASIN' WHISKEY Nov07 Oct21 Sep24 Sep03 Aug19 (martinez a)CORA D 122 15.00    
6  BINGOOD TO KNOWYA Jul22 Jun17 May02 Apr11 Mar28 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
PEN-5   12/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE CAT Nov30 Nov10 Sep28 Aug24 Jul28 (singh somraj)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.50    
2  LILTONYTWOPHONES Dec04 Nov07 Aug07 Jun19 Jun04 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
3  EASTER BET Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Aug28 Jul12 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  YAHOO OMAR Nov07 Oct10 Sep26 Aug25 Jul04 (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
5  SASSY LAD Dec04 Oct30 Oct12 Sep18 Aug28 (kreiser tim)RAMOS O 121 3.00 71% 0.40    
SCR  CHAIN LIGHTNING Dec02 Oct25 Sep12     (crook-demasi ka)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 5.00    
7  GABRIEL'S WING Nov16 Oct26 Oct10 Jul20 Jun27 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  GUARDIAN PRINCE Dec04 Nov07 Oct13 Sep08 Aug23 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  FAST FREEZE KAZ Dec04 Sep14 Aug30 Jul17 Jun13 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00    
 
PEN-6   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZ MUSIC Nov23 Nov13 Oct09 Sep17 Sep02 (albright am)INIRIO J 123 8.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  MOONSAFE Aug08 Jun20 May31 Apr12 Mar24 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50    
3  COLLIN'S GREY LADY Nov13 Oct31 Oct09 Sep10 Aug11 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00    
4  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Dec07 Nov13 Oct23 Sep27 Sep13 (demario c)HERNANDEZ A 123 20.00    
5  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Nov08 Oct17 Sep27 Aug22 Aug02 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00 7% 13.20    
6  BLAME CATALAYA Nov13 Oct23 Sep14 Aug30 Jul17 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 3.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  UPTOWN SERAPHINA Nov20 Aug22 Aug02 Jul05 Jun19 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 10.00    
8  COAL MINE Dec07 Oct03 Sep15 Aug10 Jul28 (singh somraj)CEDENO CAROL 123 5.00    
9  FANCY PRINCESS Dec07 Oct28 Oct02 Sep14 Aug15 (rodriguez jos)LUGO JR 123 10.00    
10  LADRO DI FICHI Dec11 Nov01 Oct11 Sep19 Aug28 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-7   12/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE'S WALDO Nov15 Oct30 Aug21 Jul24 Jun27 (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.50 17% 4.70    
2  ENTRUST Nov13 Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 Jun23 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50    
3  ALWAYS GAMBLING Dec04 Nov13 Oct26 Sep13 Jul28 (singh somraj)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.50 13% 6.50    
4  JACKIE A Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Oct08 Aug21 (fields kevin)FLORES E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CALL ME NOW Nov20 Oct19 Sep18 Aug30 Jul12 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
6  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Dec12 Nov08 Oct23 Oct16 Oct02 (bobadilla f)CORA D 125 6.00 41% 1.40    
7  BROOKLYN STRONG Nov25 Nov13 Jul03 Jun10 Mar12 (velazquez dani)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50    
 
PEN-8   12/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND PICK Nov25 Nov06 Oct21 Oct02 Sep04 (diaz jorge)ORTIZ JOSHUA 116 12.00    
SCR  HROTHGAR Sep06 Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 Jun25 (morzan)GONZALEZ JR 123 50.00    
3  SIR SAHIB Dec06 Nov14 Oct30 Sep16 Aug26 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
4  OVER AND THUNDER Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Aug28 Aug01 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 123 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  FOOL FOR THE CITY Dec02 Nov19 Oct27 Oct01 Aug26 (inirio carl)INIRIO J 123 15.00    
SCR  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Nov23 Nov02 Oct11 Sep25 Aug15 (jones michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 20.00    
SCR  EXIT RIGHT Oct16 Sep02 Jun22 Jun07 May04 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 123 1.60    
8  PORCH SWING Nov29 Nov13 Sep15 Sep02 Aug23 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 5.00    
9  INDIRECTLY Dec06 Oct25 Sep11 Aug21 Jul25 (rathman elisha)CORA D 123 6.00 16% 5.40    
10  LAKE NAKURU Dec06 Nov14 Oct30 Sep20 Aug23 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.