Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - December 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/7)-(4/3/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/7)-(4/3/8/1/2)-(5/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (4/3/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/1/2)-(4/3/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/1/2)-(4/3/8/1/2)-(4/3/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/8/1/2)-(5/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8/1/2)-(5/1/4)-(4/2/9/11/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/2/9/11/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(4/2/9/11/10)-(6/9/8/5/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-4   WIN (4/2/9/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/11/10)-(4/2/9/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/11/10)-(4/2/9/11/10)-(4/2/9/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/9/11/10)-(6/9/8/5/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9/11/10)-(6/9/8/5/4)-(5/9/3/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-5   WIN (6/9/8/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/5/4)-(6/9/8/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/5/4)-(6/9/8/5/4)-(6/9/8/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/8/5/4)-(5/9/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/8/5/4)-(5/9/3/6)-(4/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/6)-(5/9/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/6)-(5/9/3/6)-(5/9/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/3/6)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/3/6)-(4/7/2)-(4/1/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-7   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(4/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(4/1/8/6)-(3/8/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/6)-(3/8/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/2)-(3/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/2)-(3/8/4/2)-(3/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   12/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONCE AN EAGLE Oct13 Sep20 Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
FLINNY TIN TIN Oct26 Oct06 Aug23 Jul19 Jun16 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 12.00    
SADIE THE GOAT Nov29 Oct09 Sep15 Aug31 Jun15 (serey m)GONZALEZ LUIS 125 1.20 45% 1.20    
MY JO JO Oct26 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Aug01 (iannotti )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
SATISFIED Nov20 Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 Sep05 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 119 20.00    
BUCKIN' LUCKY Nov16 Sep22 Sep02 Jul19 Jul06 (gonzalez clau)FUENTES ERICK 118 6.00 9% 10.20    
VOODOO PRIESTESS Oct26 Oct06 Aug25 Jul11 May16 (smith d)TORREALBA JG 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
GUN RUNNIN' GAL Nov29 Nov13 Oct25 Sep02 Aug19 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00    
 
LRL-2   12/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAINOR'S FILETS Nov29 Jun09 May09 Apr13 Mar09 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 10.00 8% 11.10    
KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Nov13 Oct23 Sep27 Sep13 Aug10 (demario charle)ROSADO JOHAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
LOVING CUP (JPN) Aug16 Jul12 May24 Apr19 Dec16 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 123 3.00 13% 6.60    
BAD TEMPER Nov08 Oct12 Aug10 Jul12 Jun14 (perri gina)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
COAL MINE Oct03 Sep15 Aug10 Jul28 Jun29 (singh somraj)FUENTES ERICK 116 5.00    
FANCY PRINCESS Oct28 Oct02 Sep14 Aug15 Aug02 (nazario pedro)LUGO JR 119 20.00    
MOSLER'S IMAGE Oct12 Sep21 Sep07 Apr06 Mar03 (eubank)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.50    
ASHLEE'S RING Aug28 Aug02 Jul10 May30 May15 (aguirre anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 9% 10.50    
MATOULA Nov29 Oct12 Oct02 Jul26 Jul14 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 20.00    
 
LRL-3   12/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASS SASSENACH Nov21 Nov10 Oct09     (epley steve)ROBLES O 117 6.00 20% 3.90    
FEISTYNESS Nov26         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50    
BOYS GO TO JUPITER Oct24 Oct03 Sep08 Jul27 Jun29 (hohlbei)BRICENO GREGOR 122 2.50    
DIVINING SMILE Nov01 Oct19       (haughton donnova)CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
NANCY MARY Nov03 Sep21 Aug10     (dilodovico dam)TORREALBA JG 122 1.40 38% 1.60    
MARGO'S MARGARITA Nov10 Oct26 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 (walters hen)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 8.00    
SCR  CHATTOLANEE SPRING Oct25         (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00    
 
LRL-4   12/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN DREAM Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug11 Jul21 (mcmahon i)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
PIT STOP MAN Jul13 Jun29 Apr26 Apr07 Mar13 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 123 3.50 8% 10.80    
SHANGHAI WARRIOR Sep15 Sep07 Jun23 May27 Nov02 (grullo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00    
THE WOLFMAN Aug04 Jul14 Nov12 Oct22 Oct02 (shankle joann)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 52% 0.90    
COLLABORATE Nov28 Nov09 Oct11 Sep27 May25 (corrales jose)FUENTES ERICK 116 6.00    
LUV YA BYE BYE Oct27 Aug23 Aug03 Jul17 Jun16 (mcmahon )RODRIGUEZ L 112 30.00    
SCR  IKIGAI Nov16 Sep29 Aug25 Jul18 Jul06 (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
ICING Nov16 Oct25 Aug11 Jul19 Jun30 (allen fer)ROBLES O 118 4.00    
THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Nov09 Oct04 Aug29 Aug10 Mar17 (mancilla c)SANCHEZ J 123 10.00 8% 12.00    
10  ADDY'S LADDY T N T Nov16 Oct27 Jul13 Jun22 May31 (walters hen)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE Oct28 Aug04 Jul23 Jun11 May18 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 8.00 7% 13.40    
 
LRL-5   12/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 35 M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LACHICAFORTEQUILA Nov28 Nov17 Oct19 Sep14   (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 125 6.00    
SCR  SWEET HONEY BEE Nov17 Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 Aug16 (stees a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 125 3.50    
NEVER MORE VALOR Nov17 Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 Jun15 (meister )RODRIGUEZ L 114 30.00    
STORM CREED Oct27 Sep22 Sep04 Aug16 Jul25 (parram derric)FUENTES ERICK 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
NEARLY A LADY Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Sep07 Aug02 (wilson gregor)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
BOND'S BELLE Nov17 Oct27 Sep22 Sep02 Aug02 (frock charles )TORREALBA JG 125 3.00 57% 0.70    
MY SASSY VALENTINE Nov08 Oct27 Sep27 Dec23 Oct26 (frock a)ACOSTA D 126 4.50    
AUNT MARGARET Nov17 Oct25 Oct13 Aug16 Aug03 (corrales jo)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
PAPERBACK EDITION Nov17 Jul07 Jun15 May27 May04 (eppler mary)ROBLES O 116 5.00 9% 9.70    
10  INTEL AGENT Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00    
 
LRL-6   12/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERIDOT PENDANT Nov20 Nov01 May02     (mcclellan erin)ROSADO JOHAN 122 30.00    
BAILINTIN Nov17 Nov01 Sep22 Aug16 Aug04 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 20.00    
DIAMONDSIFYOUDO Feb10 Dec30 Nov12 Oct12   (merryman eliza)TORREALBA JG 123 15.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  STICKWITHTHECOLORS Oct03 Aug30 Aug04 Jul19 Apr13 (salzman e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
LOVELY CHARM Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 Sep07 Sep02 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 125 2.50 24% 3.10    
OLD BAY Nov17 Oct11 Sep22 Sep04 Aug02 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PARTY Sep13 Aug24 Feb10 Dec29 Nov04 (perkins be)SANCHEZ J 122 12.00    
BE INSPIRED Oct25 Sep15       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.00    
NEXT GIRL Nov10 Oct12 Sep13 Aug11 Jun23 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
10  DIAMOND SUE Nov16 Oct24 Sep15 Aug30 Jul21 (mancilla oscar)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00    
11  AT FIRST SIGHT Aug11 Jul21 Jul05 Jun15 May04 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 122 12.00    
 
LRL-7   12/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Maryland Juvenile Filly Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS NOTION Nov15         (capuano phi)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 2.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of TALKIN SMACK by TALK NICE)
ONYX TEN Nov16 Oct12 Sep11 Aug14 Aug02 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 122 6.00 7% 12.90    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of CHATTOLANEE by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  FIRST PEARL Oct02 Sep11 Aug14 Jul13 Jun29 (capuano a)NO RIDER 122 20.00    
  (by FIRST MONDAYS out of PEARLY BEACH by TIZNOW)
CAPRICE Nov09 Oct09 Sep11 Aug14 Jul20 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 1.80 51% 1.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of GRAND FOLLY by STREET CRY (IRE))
ADE Nov08 Oct25 Sep14 Sep05 Aug22 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of PRINCESS THUNDER by DIXIE UNION)
SAFE TRUST Nov16 Oct12 Sep15 Aug03 Jun01 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50    
  (by MOSLER out of ANNIE TRUST by SUPER NINETY NINE)
MALIBU HOOCH Nov16 Oct12 Sep15 Aug23   (beattie t)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SUNDAY IN MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
 
LRL-8   12/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Maryland Juvenile Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACRED THUNDER Nov09 Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 Aug07 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 122 4.50 24% 3.30    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of ELUSORY by BROKEN VOW)
MISSION ARTEMIS Nov28 Nov08 Aug25 Aug01   (boniface c)NO RIDER 122 30.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ACCESS TO THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
EXECUTIVE ORDER Oct05 Aug31       (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of RED'S ROUND TABLE by CUVEE)
TONY ECLIPSE Nov02 Oct09 Sep14 Aug01   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TAPITS FAITH by TAPIT)
SCR  BJORN Nov09         (mcmahon i)NO RIDER 122 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of COMFY AND COZY by CURLIN)
REGGIE RUNS ROGUE Sep28 Aug30 Aug02     (nixon just)SANCHEZ J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROGUEISH out of SKY LANI by SKY MESA)
BARBADIAN RUNNER Oct25 Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 Jul20 (walters henry)BOYCE FOREST 122 20.00    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of QUIET RUN by QUIET AMERICAN)
SAXTON Nov09 Oct04 Sep04     (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MOSLER out of WINNING THREAD by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  IT'S HAMMERTIME Nov02 Oct09 Sep11 Jun05   (capuano g)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of STEADY N LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
LRL-9   12/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LYSTRA Nov16         (anderson p)CRUZ ANGEL 125 12.00    
GRANUAILE Nov17 Oct11 Sep14 Sep04 Aug12 (corrales jo)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 10.00 14% 6.10    
HOT ROUTE Oct24 Jun15       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 1.80 25% 3.10    
PROMISE ME GOLD Sep04 Aug12       (flores )BRICENO GREGOR 125 6.00 16% 5.10    
MOR MOR MOR Nov08 Oct11 Sep14 Jul17 Jun15 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 125 3.50    
SOMETHINGWONDERFUL Nov16         (aguirre a)BETANCOURT R 121 4.50    
MEG Nov02         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 125 15.00    
FIREDINI         (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 125 6.00 20% 3.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.