Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - November 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-5   WIN (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/2)-(6/7/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/2)-(6/7/5/3)-(2/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/3)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/3)-(2/3/5)-(8/4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(8/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(8/4/1/5)-(3/8/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/1/5)-(3/8/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/5)-(3/8/5/6)-(4/1/2/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-9   WIN (3/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/6)-(3/8/5/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/6)-(3/8/5/9/6)-(3/8/5/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/5/6)-(4/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-10   WIN (4/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-5   11/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILEAN MOON Oct18 Oct02       (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50    
2  BEAUTY IN AUTISM Nov02 Oct04 Aug16 Aug04 Jul14 (tor)VALENZUELA RAUL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  JACOB YEN Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 Jun29 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
4  CHINOOK BEND Sep16 Aug09 Jul26 Jul06 Jun29 (christian)JENSEN P 121 8.00 21% 3.90    
5  WAITINGATTHEBAR Sep14 Sep07 Aug24 Jul12 Jun08 (nunnally j)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.50    
6  EKATI'S ZOOM ZOOM         (silva pabl)CRUZ M 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
7  TOO WILD TO TAME Oct16 Oct02 Sep06 Aug04 Jun23 (torres-cas)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   11/18/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME TAYLOR Oct14 Aug22 Jul27 Jul06 Jun29 (stevens satchel)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
2  LOOPY Aug17 Jul05 Jun16 Mar06 Feb19 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 122 3.50    
3  SCATALICIOUS Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jun22 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Oct02 Sep04 Aug27 Jul16 Jun04 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
SCR  FLAME MCGOON Sep05 Oct22 Sep08 Aug06 Dec26 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 10% 9.30    
6  LOCK IT DOWN Sep21 Aug18 Jul13 Jun29 Jun09 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 34% 1.90    
7  YOGYA Aug24 Jul19 Jul03 Jun14 May19 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
8  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Aug31 Aug11 Jul19 Jul03 Jun16 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00    
 
TUP-7   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (brown jared)MOJICA O 121 3.50    
2  SAPELLO LA FINA Aug03 Jul14       (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  A THOUSAND MILES Sep15 Aug03 Jun22 Jun09   (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
4  FREYA'S ARROW Aug31         (essex charles)REYES R 121 5.00    
5  MEGA HEART Sep25 Sep02 Aug11 Jul14   (brinson clay)MONTALVO C 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  LITTLE BIT TIPSY Sep26 Sep02 Aug24     (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 4.00    
 
TUP-8   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEREBRO Oct06 Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 May24 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
2  ELEVADO Oct04 Sep22 Sep01 Aug09 Jul26 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 4.00    
3  RONAMO Sep28 Sep11 Jun16 Apr23 Apr11 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 8.00    
4  BUGLER Oct20 Oct06 Sep02 Aug24 Aug10 (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
5  SLEW'S BAK Sep24 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May18 (brown jare)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 12.00 7% 12.80    
6  ITS KRAKEN TIME Sep15 Aug30 Aug11 Jul07 Jun23 (wisdom anne)REYES R 122 8.00    
7  LANSDOWNE (GB) Oct19 Sep22 Aug16 Jul21 Jul07 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
8  MINISTER OF SOUL Sep02 Aug08 Jul03 Jun16 May18 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
 
TUP-9   11/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TERRACOTTA SOLDIER Aug17 Jul21 Aug05 Jul10 Apr25 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 15.00    
2  LAWS OF MAN Sep26 Aug11 Jul13 Jun23 May26 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
3  GODSEND (GB) Oct11 Aug25 Jul21 Jun01 Apr29 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
4  HAPPY DANCER Sep21 Sep02 Aug24 Dec31 Dec09 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00    
5  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Sep07 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 May18 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
6  OUR BOY ROY Aug17 Jun30 Jun08 Feb13 Jan18 (pe)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ECHO CANYON Mar11 May13 Apr17 Mar27 Mar11 (schnell don)TOHILL S 122 6.00    
8  BAD SNEAKERS Oct12 Aug26 Jun16 Apr21 Mar23 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
9  GOLD MAGIC Oct20 Oct04 Sep26 Aug22 Jul07 (kenney ryan)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-10   11/18/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUES RAPPER Nov11 Sep08 Aug30 Aug11 Aug03 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  SOLDATNA Oct13 Oct06 Sep30 Sep08 Aug24 (baze robert)REYES R 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
3  SWAMPDRAINER Sep25 Sep05 Aug11 Aug01 Apr18 (silva gabr)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 12.00    
4  WHAT A DUDE Nov11 Sep27 Aug16 Aug01 Jun08 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.20 24% 3.10    
5  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Jul06 Jan21 Mar15 Jan01 Sep24 (stevens s)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
6  GROOVY HUEY Oct14 Sep21 Nov21 Nov08 Oct01 (alvarez sergio)KRIGGER K 122 12.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  ROSENQUIST Sep25 Sep07 Aug11 Jul28 Jul10 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00    
8  DEFENSOR FORTIS Aug17 Aug03 Jul27 Jun07 May11 (rodriguez francisc)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.