Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - October 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(2/5/3/6)-(3/2/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/6)-(3/2/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/6)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/1)-(3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(6/3/1/7/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-6   WIN (6/3/1/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/7/10)-(6/3/1/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/7/10)-(6/3/1/7/10)-(6/3/1/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/1/7/10)-(1/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/7/10)-(1/4/3/8)-(2/6/8/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/8)-(1/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/8)-(1/4/3/8)-(1/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/8)-(2/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/7)-(2/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/7)-(2/6/8/7)-(2/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Oct16 Oct07 Aug28 Jul17 Jun26 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 2.00 16% 5.20    
2  G MUNNING Oct02 Sep18 Aug28 Aug20 Aug06 (murphy t)DAVIS A 124 3.00    
3  THE DELAWARE BOYZ Oct07 Aug28 Jul24 Jul08 Jun10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 5.00    
4  INTERCHANGER Oct07 Sep18 Sep03 Jun25 Jun10 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00    
5  HAPPY INSTEAD Oct15 Oct02 Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
6  NEWPORT BRIDGE Oct08 Sep18 Jun12 May20 Apr12 (oyola dav)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00 8% 11.40    
 
FL-2   10/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIDOW Sep26 Jul11 Nov20 Oct18   (barker edwar)HARKIE K 121 6.00    
2  BELLA BANKER Oct08 Sep24 Sep10     (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 121 3.00    
3  IMALOTTALADY Oct16 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Jul30 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 121 3.50 11% 8.50    
4  DIVA DE ORO Oct15 Sep04 Aug22 Aug11   (garza he)DAVIS A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOLD LOOK Oct02 Sep04 Aug15 Jul25 May12 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 1.60 59% 0.70    
6  CREWS IN TO WIN Sep30 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 (d'alessandro r)BROWN DALTON 121 5.00    
 
FL-3   10/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAMICKER         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of THICKER THAN WATER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  STORMIN SAMMY Oct16         (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
  (by IRONICUS out of ALPHA STORM by ALPHA)
3  AWAITING TRIAL         (buckley jona)HARKIE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of RECOGNITION by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
4  BURNING MUNNY Sep13 Aug31 Jul19     (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of OVERHEATED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  TWO THIRTY A. M. Sep25         (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LOST RAVEN by UNCLE MO)
6  PUCKISH         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of HELEN'S TIGER by SMILING TIGER)
7  KAMIN SIRA         (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 5.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of CHORNAYAH KRACOTA by COSMONAUT)
 
FL-4   10/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REV PARKER Oct01 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
2  NOT MY TYPE Oct01 Sep09 Aug19     (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 3.50 8% 11.00    
  (by CATOMIZE out of MY EXCESS by PARTNER'S HERO)
3  BUSTINO SANTINO Sep23 Sep13 Jul31 May17 Dec07 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of AMULAY by IT'S NO JOKE)
4  ALPHA SONNY Oct15 Sep23 May25 Apr28 Apr11 (lopez d)FRET STEVEN 124 6.00    
  (by ALPHA out of JO'S SUNSHINE by DIXIE BRASS)
5  SOLO FLIGHT Oct14 Sep23       (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 121 5.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SKY GAL by SKY MESA)
6  HOTTAKEJAKE Oct14 May17       (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 4.00 8% 11.50    
  (by DESTIN out of STRAIGHT SETS by TEXAS CITY)
7  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Jan14 Dec08 Nov11 Oct19 Sep17 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SOIGNE by INCLUDE)
8  PAINT THE LINE Oct14 Oct01 Sep16     (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 121 20.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of FINGERPAINTER by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
 
FL-5   10/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANLEY ROUGH Oct02 Sep22 Jul24 Jun27 May25 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.00 ★    
2  ONOFRIO Oct15 Sep25 Aug26 Aug13 Jul10 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 124 10.00    
3  HINENI Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Jul24 (lecesse )DAVIS A 124 3.00 68% 0.50    
4  DANCINWITHJAKE Sep25 Sep17 Aug28 Aug07 Jul23 (progno micha)HARKIE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GO GRAD Oct15 Sep18 Jul24 Jul01 Jun10 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 5.00    
6  CROAGH PATRICK Oct14 Sep25 Sep04 Aug26 Aug06 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50    
7  MANNY PENNY Sep17 Sep02 Jul28 Jun29 May25 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   10/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUNNING SUGAR         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00 7% 13.60    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DEEP TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  PUTTIN IN THE WORK         (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 122 6.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of COURAGEOUS ANGEL by CAPTAIN COURAGEOUS (IRE))
3  YOUNG AT HEART Sep13 Aug14       (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BARREL OF DREAMS by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  STAGED CONFLICT Oct07         (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 122 20.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of STAGE LUCK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  BANKER MURRAY Oct07 Sep24 Sep14 Jul30 Jul21 (davis edmund )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of IRISH BANKER by CENTRAL BANKER)
6  I'M PRETTY GOOD         (reed lis)DAVIS A 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of PRETTY IN PLATINUM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  APRIL STORM         (mastin kathl)HARKIE K 122 20.00 7% 13.60    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of CITIZEN MATZO by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  REASON TO RISK Oct01         (hiles a)COA J 122 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SILVER WAVE by STAR DABBLER)
9  COUNTRY MANOR Oct07 Sep24 Sep09     (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 122 5.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of OUTTACYPRESSHILLS by BIG BROWN)
10  CHICAZTECA Oct07 Sep24 Aug30 Jul30   (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of TREVI CHIC by ROMAN RULER)
 
FL-7   10/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROKENHEARTED Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 Aug23 Aug08 (murphy p)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00 49% 1.10    
2  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 Aug06 Jul17 (vasquez r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 10.00    
3  MUDVILLE NINE Oct01 Sep03 Jul28 Jun28 Apr28 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 9% 9.80    
4  MACDONOUGH Oct16 Sep30 Sep17 Aug21 Jul24 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 2.50 10% 8.80    
5  PURECRAZIGROOVE Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 119 6.00    
6  BLUE LIEUTENANT Oct14 Oct01 Sep04 Aug21 Jul23 (monserrate )CAMILO D 122 12.00    
7  ZUCCARACE Sep04 Aug21 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
8  MISAWA Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Nov13 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-8   10/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. EINSTEIN Oct02 Sep24 Sep10 Jun19 Jun08 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 6.00    
2  STYNER Oct08 Sep27 Sep03 Jul31 Jul08 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
3  GLIDING AFLEET Oct16 Oct02 Aug18 Jun15 May11 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
4  R BOY CHEEKUM Oct08 Sep25 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 12.00    
SCR  BETA Oct08 Sep03 Jul31 Jul08 Jun12 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
6  RHYMES LIKE DIMES Oct02 Sep16 Aug19 Jul16 Jul01 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Oct16 Sep30 Sep16 Sep04 Jul23 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  LEO AND ROYAL Oct02 Aug19 Jul22 Jan11 Dec16 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 10% 9.00    
9  THIRTY OYSTERS Oct15 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.