Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (1/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/8)-(1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/8)-(1/8/6)-(6/1/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-2   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(6/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(6/1/8/3)-(9/11/7/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-3   WIN (6/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/8/3)-(9/11/7/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/3)-(9/11/7/2/10)-(6/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-4   WIN (9/11/7/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/7/2/10)-(9/11/7/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/7/2/10)-(9/11/7/2/10)-(9/11/7/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/11/7/2/10)-(6/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/11/7/2/10)-(6/7/5)-(12/9/6/10/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-5   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(12/9/6/10/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(12/9/6/10/8)-(1/4/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-6   WIN (12/9/6/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/9/6/10/8)-(12/9/6/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/9/6/10/8)-(12/9/6/10/8)-(12/9/6/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/9/6/10/8)-(1/4/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-7   WIN (1/4/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/10/8)-(1/4/10/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/10/8)-(1/4/10/9/8)-(1/4/10/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/23/2024 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUME Aug26 Aug07 Jun26 Feb10 Jan20 (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
2  LEXINGTON RIVER Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 May12 (bryant george)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  BOSTON ROSCOE Sep09 Aug19 Jul13 May31   (mallery vonn)MURRAY M 121 12.00    
4  MY STORY Sep11 Aug13 Jul29 Jul04 Jun25 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 6.00    
5  INVOLVEDNTERACTION Sep09 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jun07 (ducoing sturg)VARGAS P 121 2.50    
6  MO'Z STAR CROSS Sep04 Jul29 Jul15 Nov30   (broussard j)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 8.00 14% 6.20    
7  NATIVE REQUITE Aug26 Aug07 Jun25 May28 May13 (gomez davi)RAMIREZ JR 116 4.50    
8  MEASURE OF FAITH Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 (lee don)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   09/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINCHING PENNIES Sep02 Aug14 Jul10 Jun11 May14 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 65% 0.50    
2  I DONT KNOW EITHER Sep02 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jul02 (gomez jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 8.00    
3  NICELY UNIFIED Jul02 Jun15 May25 May04 Apr13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50    
4  CHATAIN'S FLYER Jul29 Jun25 May13 Jan19 Dec30 (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 12.00    
5  FOREIGN TOURIST Aug05 Jul23 Jul01 Jun03 May08 (munoz yovan)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 6.00    
6  MARILYN'S MAGIC Jul02 May04 Feb24 Feb10 Jan25 (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PORTO DEL ACE Jul26 May23 Apr26 Apr06 Feb15 (mouton chadw)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00 ★    
8  MIZ JAMESON Sep11 Aug28 Jul23 Jun17 May22 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 4.00 9% 10.20    
 
LAD-3   09/23/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE MY PICTURE Aug28 Jul27 Jul14 Jun22 May05 (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
2  TOOTOO TOURIST Sep02 Aug14 Jul03 Jun17 May20 (wong jonathan)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00    
3  XTRA SPICY Aug20 Aug05 Jul07 Jun19 Mar02 (jacks e)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  HONEST ANGUS Aug03 Jun28 May29 May10 Aug04 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00    
5  C C'S COWGIRL Sep11 Jul31 Jul02 Jun08 May15 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 120 5.00    
6  DEROUTANTE Sep11 Aug14 Aug05 Jul17 Jul01 (meaux ja)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.00 54% 0.80    
7  GREY HALO Sep11 Jul07 Jun07 May18 Jun15 (mallery vonn)SINGH R 120 15.00    
8  SWIZZLECITY Sep11 Aug28 Jul31 Jul17 Jul01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 7% 12.70    
 
LAD-4   09/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRANDON'S BEST Sep04         (nelson e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
2  SEEKING A SOLDIER Sep09 Aug24 Aug10 Jul25 Jul04 (thompson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  IRON FORTUNE Aug23 Jul19 Jun07 Feb08 Jan18 (zenon charles)FLORIAN JOSE 119 6.00    
4  SWORNTOSILENCE Sep02 Aug10       (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 121 15.00    
5  ZONG'S FAVOR Sep09 Aug07 Jul02 May22   (shamsie mike)BOREL H 124 12.00    
SCR  ALLONANITA'SLUCK Aug03 May29 May15 Apr12 Sep09 (gibson jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50    
7  A G'S GEM Sep02 Aug19 Jun13 Apr25 Feb01 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  R AND R STAR Aug24 Aug10 Jun21 Jun07 May15 (romero lynn)EBOW JR 119 30.00    
9  BELLAMY BROTHER Sep02 Jul09 Jun26 May13 Apr06 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 4.50 51% 0.90    
10  IRON MOON Aug24 Aug10 Jun22 Jun14 May12 (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  LOUISIANA BARGAIN Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29   (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
12  KAH NIGH Sep09 Aug16 Aug03 Jun12 May23 (dussette alvin)PEREZ CARLOS 116 20.00    
 
LAD-5   09/23/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M D'CAT Sep11 Aug13 Jul11 Jun07 May22 (dussette alvi)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00    
2  HALEYS SAILOR Aug07 Mar14 Feb01 Jan05 Dec14 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50 ★    
3  CHAOSMOS Aug14 Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 Apr12 (richard russell)POMPELL L 122 3.50    
4  NOW NOW MAN Aug21 Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 Feb01 (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00    
5  CANDY FOR CARMEL Aug21 Jul20 Jun29 May10 Apr17 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PERFECT STAR Aug12 Jul03 Jun12 Mar10 Feb24 (gibson jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 57% 0.80    
7  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Sep09 Aug14 Jul04 Jun14 Mar16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
8  FREEDOM FACTOR Jul31 Jun11 May08 Mar14 Feb22 (gibson jonas)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00    
 
LAD-6   09/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYTON'S INDIAN Aug26 Aug14 Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 30.00    
2  HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Jul13 May07 Apr13 Feb23 Feb02 (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 119 20.00    
3  MISCHIEF ANGEL Sep11 Aug24 Jun30 Jun15 May11 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50    
4  FASTED Aug26 Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 May30 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 122 20.00    
5  TEXAS RED BEL Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 Jul23 Jun23 (payne w)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00    
6  KITIARA Aug07 Jul04 Jun08 May18 May03 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  SCRAPBOOK Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul01 Jun18 (beavin j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
8  ZOOM ERIN Sep10 Aug07 May29 May14 Mar13 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 Jul23 Jul13 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
10  CAVIAR RESOLUTION Jul23 May15 Jan19 Dec29 Dec10 (duhon o)POMPELL L 122 10.00 5% 17.80    
SCR  HUSHED COURT ROOM Oct14 Sep11 Aug26 Aug03 Jul20 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 15.00    
12  SHE TOLD YOU SO Sep09 Aug12 Jun25 Jun05 May21 (gibson jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 38% 1.60    
 
LAD-7   09/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO WISHING Aug26 Jul24 Jun08 May21 May07 (turner patti)VARGAS P 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
2  SENATOR CON Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
3  FAST VERDICT Sep11 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 Jun17 (nelson eric )MURRAY M 122 12.00    
4  REAL CITY SPEED Apr13 Mar14 Jan13 Dec09 Nov24 (larrosa ju)MARQUEZ L 122 12.00 15% 5.90    
5  JUJU NINETEEN Aug20 Jul15 May07 Mar07 Feb13 (broussard j)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 20.00    
6  BIG SCULLY Aug21 Jul17 Jun25 May16 Mar14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
SCR  MR. FOUR SEVENS Aug01 Jul04 May22 May11 Apr18 (dison philli)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50    
8  CITY PARK Dec08 Oct26 Jun03 Apr12 Feb25 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  NORTHERNREFLECTION Aug09 Jul20 May30 Apr26 Apr05 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 ★    
10  SILVER GALAXY Dec17 Dec09 Oct06 Aug05 Jul22 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  PACIFICISLANDTIME Aug15 Jun22 May25 Apr24 Mar22 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.