Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-3   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-4   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (4/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-7   Win (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-8   Win (3/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   09/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILLHALL Aug20 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 May28 (husbands anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
BOSTON BAY Aug27 Aug16 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.80    
SAILINGTHEISLANDS Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 Jul05 May31 (buttigieg kevi)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 2.00    
TIPSY FOX Jul22 Jul12 Jun16 Dec17   (loescher paula)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOEYBONES Aug27 Aug16 Aug05 Jul22 Jul16 (carter angelle)SALLES LEO 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
 
FE-2   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Sep10 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00    
CHASING BOURBON Sep10 Aug20 Jul12 Jun16 May10 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.50    
MEKO MAKEE Aug09 Jul21 Jun28 Jun13 May23 (tharrenos william)SALLES LEO 120 2.50    
MANETKA Sep06 Aug08 Jul21 Jul05 Jun21 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
RYE'S MY GUY Sep10 Aug23 Aug09 Jul21 Jul07 (ceccato sharon)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 65% 0.60    
BEER MOSA Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul25 Jun06 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00    
 
FE-3   09/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIFLING Aug22 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Nov30 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 20% 4.00    
STOLE THE RING Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul22 Jul04 (chudobia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.00    
CREATIVPERFORMANCE Sep03 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 2.50    
FORMENTOR Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 Jul25 Jul11 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
SCR  ZAFEATHER Sep03 Aug08 Jul16 Jun25 Oct17 (davis m)SALLES LEO 120 12.00    
ASHWICKEN Aug27 Jul30 Jul15 Jul04 Jun24 (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 43% 1.40    
 
FE-4   09/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE PRINCE Sep09 Aug20 Jul21 Jul07 Jul01 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.00    
FEELTHEBEAT Aug13 Jul11 Jun21 May19 Dec17 (raghunath eric)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
PAPERBACK HERO Sep02 Aug18 Jul30 Jul07 Jun25 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
BLUE MAX Sep02 Aug09 Aug02 Jul12 Jun14 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.60 55% 0.80    
SCR  DOT'S VISION Sep02 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 122 10.00    
MOBILIZER Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00    
 
FE-5   09/17/2024 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS MAYFAIR Aug03 Jul13 Jun01 May11 Mar22 (chircop stev)CAMPOS LUIS 120 2.50 8% 10.80    
GHOSTLY PERFECTION Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul04 (spada lauren)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00    
AMONG THE ROSES Aug20 Aug05 Jul21 Jun16 May28 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00    
GAMBLER'S POSE Aug27 Jul21 Jun16 May28 Oct26 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 122 12.00    
KNOTTY AND NICE Sep09 Aug05 Jul02 Jun16 May28 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
DIXIE MORNING Aug30 Jul27 Jun30 Aug06 Jul16 (carter angelle)KERR CHEYENNE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
AWESOME SPIRIT GAL (FR) Aug20 Jul29       (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.40 62% 0.60    
 
FE-6   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO BREANNA Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jul08 Nov04 (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 6.00    
SCR  SHEBATOWN Aug18 Jul29 Jul15 Jun16 Sep04 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 124 3.50    
KATCHY NAME Sep03 Aug18 Jul30 Jul21 Jul07 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00 8% 11.40    
ORBITING THE SKY Aug27 Aug13 Jul07 May21 Feb05 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
EASY ACCESS Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun16 Jun04 (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 124 15.00    
HEADING WEST Sep03 Aug27 Aug06 Jul22 Jul02 (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00    
REMEMBEROLDTYMES Sep03 Jul21 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 10.00 13% 6.40    
MIMI'S HOLIDAY Aug27 Jul22 Jul07 Jul01 Jun04 (robillard josh)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
FE-7   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMAZING SUCCESS Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 Jul21 (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00    
BEND IN THE RIVER Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 Dec03 Nov19 (robillard juli)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 8.00 9% 9.90    
BOUND LUCKY Sep03 Aug18 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 13% 7.00    
BRADY O'BRADY Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
EXCEED Aug18 Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.50    
HALF LIT Sep03 Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (keen howard)MORENO OMAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Aug18 Aug12 Jul30 Jul18 Jul04 (newland george)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 116 10.00    
 
FE-8   09/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT BELLE Sep03 Aug12 Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 (meli salvatore)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00    
J M R GEMMA Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
FRERET Sep03 Aug06 Jul22 Oct02 Sep19 (agostino geor)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  HIPNOTIZADA Aug14 Aug08 Jul28 Jul18 Jun27 (smith lawrence)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 8.00    
LOADED QUESTION Sep03 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun16 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00    
DIXIERIBSY Sep09 Jul18 May30 Apr28 Nov23 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
TAMANA Sep02 Jul30 Jul16 Jul07 Jun27 (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00    
MUSICAL RIDE Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun04 Nov14 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS J 115 10.00 14% 6.20    
CHROME'S BIG BREAK Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 (crete pierre)KERR CHEYENNE 117 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.