Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(9/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (9/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/2)-(9/1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/2)-(9/1/7/3/2)-(9/1/7/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TIME LOUIE Aug06 Jul01 Jun11 May28 Dec01 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  FREE SQUARE Aug13 Jul29 Jul07 Jun04 Apr30 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
3  ACE DESTROYER Aug13 Jul29 Nov27 Oct30 Oct10 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.60    
4  BOXER BRIEF Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun07 May24 (buttigieg ke)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 3.50    
5  MOBILIZER Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun07 (keen howard)RAMSAMMY E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLABORATIVE Aug12 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May31 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
2  GOLDEN WIND Aug12 Jul22 Jul12 Jun28 Jun09 (adamo anthony)MORAN PIETRO 117 1.40    
3  MISS D'S PRIDE Aug05 Jul21 Jul08 Jun11 Oct02 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 17% 4.90    
4  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Aug12 Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 Oct10 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 122 15.00    
5  OPEECHEE Aug13 Jul22 Jul07 Jun25 May28 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00    
6  PERSEVERE Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Dec15 (humber joseph)AEBLY FRASER 115 8.00 15% 5.90    
 
FE-3   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SING DIXIE Aug20 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  SAILINGTHEISLANDS Aug12 Jul22 Jul05 May31   (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE Aug13 Jul22 Jun21     (goldenberg j)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  INDY COWBOY Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun16 May17 (glazier michae)MORAN PIETRO 113 2.00    
5  BEER MOSA Aug13 Jul25 Jun06 May24 Dec02 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
SCR  SIGNONTHDOTTEDLINE Aug12 Jul30       (rag)DENNIS JEREMIAH 112 20.00    
 
FE-4   08/27/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKEN CHLOE Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 Jul11 Jun22 (humber joseph)AEBLY FRASER 117 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  GAMBLER'S POSE Jul21 Jun16 May28 Oct26 Oct13 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
3  ASHWICKEN Jul30 Jul15 Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.50 27% 2.60    
4  SILENT WARNING Jul30 Jul15 Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 (lister steven)BADAL MAX 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  THIRSTY DATE Aug12 Jun24 Jun16 Mar02 Feb18 (capi m)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
6  MISS SCHILLER Aug20 Jul30 Jul01 Jun24 May28 (ro)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00    
7  PICK A PENNY Jul15 May28 Nov02 Oct09 Sep26 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 ★    
8  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Aug20 Jul30 Jul21 Jul15 Jun24 (newland geor)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00    
SCR  BLONDE DYNAMO Aug01 Jul04 Jun15 May17 Oct20 (ross john )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 5.00    
SCR  ALWAY'S ROSIE Aug20 Jul29 Jul21 Jun25 Jun11 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00    
 
FE-5   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS SUEDOO Aug13 Jul16 Jun25 Dec10 Nov12 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ORBITING THE SKY Aug13 Jul07 May21 Feb05 Jan04 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
3  MORE SAVVY Aug06 Jun25 Jun06 May11 Apr27 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 124 2.50 27% 2.60    
4  HEADING WEST Aug06 Jul22 Jul02 Oct17 Sep26 (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
5  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 May03 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.50    
6  SO BREANNA Aug13 Jul22 Jul08 Nov04 Oct16 (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 4.50    
7  SWEET FINALE Aug13 Jul30 Jul21 Jun04 May11 (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 119 6.00    
 
FE-6   08/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSTON BAY Aug16 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun16 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of HERES MUD INYR EYE by COURT VISION)
2  JAVA POWER Aug05 Jul22 Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 (newland )BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00    
  (by JAVA'S WAR out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
3  BEST IN CLASS Aug05 Jul19       (humber joseph)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRIVATE CLIENT by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  TONKA WAKAN Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Dec15 Nov25 (steer tom)AEBLY FRASER 117 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of HIJIKI by GLOBALIZE)
5  SEPTIMO Aug05         (williams noel)GOBAY WILBERT 122 4.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of NAHEELAH by MR. LIVINGSTON)
6  JOEYBONES Aug16 Aug05 Jul22 Jul16 Jun28 (carter angelle)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S GOT FIRE by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
 
FE-7   08/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SERENADE Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 Jun20 Nov16 (raghunath er)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
2  DONNARUMMA Jul22 Mar06 Feb19 Feb08 Jan03 (buttigieg kevi)AEBLY FRASER 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  EMERALD LAKE Aug12 Jul04 Jun14 May17 Nov11 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 ★    
4  ANTIGONE Jul26 Jun27 May30 Oct03 Sep14 (krczmar ze)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 8.00    
5  TURF AND SURF Jul30 Jul04 Jun16 Dec14 Dec01 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00    
6  T'PRING Aug20 Jul16 Jul02 Jun25 Jun16 (clemmer krist)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 12.00    
7  PLUIE D'AVRIL Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Oct19 Oct03 (simms c)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 ★    
8  MIMI'S HOLIDAY Jul22 Jul07 Jul01 Jun04 Feb14 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00    
9  GLITTER BAY Jul29 Jun25 Jun16 May04 Apr20 (capi m)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.