Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - August 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(8/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(8/4/1/3)-(7/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/1/3)-(7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(7/1/4)-(6/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(6/4/1)-(2/7/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(2/7/8/3)-(4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-6   WIN (2/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/3)-(4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/3)-(4/7)-(8/6/7/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/7)-(8/6/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(8/6/7/3)-(4/1/3/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (8/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/7/3)-(4/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-9   WIN (4/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/7/6)-(4/1/3/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARGARITA BLUEBIRD         (perez manny)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
2  ROGUE DIAMOND         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by ROGUEISH out of DIAMOND EYE by ZANJERO)
3  NOTIPTONI Aug01 Jul11       (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 119 3.50    
  (by MASTERY out of SHE'LL HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  SHE STOPPED SHORT Aug01         (campbell joe)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 5.00    
  (by UPSTART out of TWICE AROUND by JIMMY CREED)
SCR  ELIZA VANCE Jun23         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 4.50    
  (by MITOLE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
6  REIMAGINE Jul11         (roussel j)FELIX E 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of HEAVENLY SIS by HARD SPUN)
7  OMAHA STAMP         (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CLASSIC JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
HAW-2   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANITARIUM Aug04         (fosdick steve)HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
  (by RIDE THE LIGHTNING out of SHEZ HOME NOW by LION HEARTED)
2  FEATURED POWER Jul18 Jun23 May26 Nov14 Oct03 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
  (by GREYTAP out of SAM'S FARIT by WHEATON)
3  LIONS LAW Jul21 Jun01 May18 Apr20 Nov17 (young terr)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SHE IS A LIONESS by LION HEART)
4  IRISH SPARK Aug08 Jul18 Jun01 May18 May03 (divito james )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00 15% 5.90    
  (by FIRING LINE out of IRISH MARVEL by DAAHER)
5  JACQUEK Aug04         (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 120 15.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SPANISH HALO by COMIC STRIP)
6  I DID THE MATH Aug10 Jul23 Jun01 May12 Apr20 (rednour joh)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50    
  (by NOTIONAL out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
7  THE LAST THRILL Jul11 Jun15 May18 Apr20 Mar30 (lopez elias)EMIGH A 124 5.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of APT TO THRILL by APTITUDE)
8  ISABELLA'S BEAUTY Aug04         (hernandez armando)FELIX E 120 4.50 49% 1.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of SOPHIE GERMAIN by ALGORITHMS)
 
HAW-3   08/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELIOCHROME Aug01 Nov14 Jul22 Jun25 Jun05 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
2  LAWMAKER Aug01 Jul11 Jun23 May25 Sep19 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
3  HAY MOON Aug01 Jun30 Jun09 May18 May05 (reavis mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOURBON LIFE Jul18 Jun29 Jun23 Jun01 May04 (meraz antonio)FELIX E 118 4.00 12% 7.10    
5  EVEN THE WIND Jul21 Jul06 Jun08 Aug31 Aug16 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.00 ★    
6  BALADINE Aug01 Jul18 Jun22 May26 May12 (poulos dee)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 6.00    
7  ALL CHOKED UP Aug01 Jun23 Jun09 May25 Mar10 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
HAW-4   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MON AMI FUZZIE Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 May25 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
2  HATCHET CREEK Jul21 Jun29 Sep12 Aug16 Aug03 (dizeo dino)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 8.00    
SCR  MALIGATOR Aug08 Jul18 Jun30 Jun09 Apr27 (reid r)COLON H 122 2.50    
4  Z U SOON Aug04 Aug06 Jul26 Jun18 Jun04 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  PERFECT WAGER Aug04 Jul27 Jul13 Jul02 May21 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
6  ALPINE GHOST Jul28 Jul11 Jun23 Jun09 May26 (rodriguez )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.50    
7  LAKE MILLS Jul30 Jul09 Jun22 Jun08 May19 (martinez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
 
HAW-5   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISKY BOY Jul28 Jul07 Jun23 Jun15 May12 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00 10% 9.50    
2  IDEA MAN Jul28 Jul11 Jun22 May26 May12 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
3  MEDAL OF FACT Aug03 Jun29 Jun08 May21 May04 (martinez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
4  MAQAMAT Jul28 Jul11 Jun04 May26 Apr28 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 1.80 16% 5.10    
5  READTHETRANSCRIPT Jul23 Jul07 Jun23 May18 Mar24 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 12.00    
6  CHARLIE LIGHTNING Aug04 Jun23 Jun01 May11 Mar08 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  JOLIE RULER Jul27 Jul06 Jun16 May28 May04 (martinez r)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 110 5.00    
 
HAW-6   08/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAN ON ATTACK Aug04 Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 May18 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00    
2  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) Jun11 May21 May01 Apr17 Nov10 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
3  ATKINS Jun26 Jun07 May01 Apr07 Mar07 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GLUCKSTADT Jul21 Jul06 Jun09 May27 May04 (haran john)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
5  REALIGNMENT Jul27 Jun27       (block chris)MOJICA O 118 3.00    
6  NEW YEAR SURPRISE Aug04 Mar09 Feb12 Jan15 Dec17 (perez manny)FELIX E 122 20.00    
7  PROFESSOR HIGGINS Aug04 Jul06 Jun06 Feb10 Jan15 (poulos dee)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
8  SIMPLE LOGIC Aug01 Jul07 Jun22 May26 Apr06 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  HANDSOFFTHEGOODS Jul18 Jun30 Jun08 May26 May05 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
 
HAW-7   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET CRYSTAL Jul07 Jun16 May05 Aug03 Jul06 (robertson hug)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00    
2  JOCELYN Aug01 Jul07 Jun16 Jun09 May12 (campbell jo)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 12.00    
3  SHEZA HOOT Jul25 Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 May19 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 122 3.50 ★    
4  MYSTIC STORM Jul21 Jun30 Mar16 Dec16 Nov04 (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 1.40 68% 0.50    
5  RUNNERS HEAT Jun30 May25 May12 Apr27 Aug31 (wilson l)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
6  LUNARCHY Aug01 Jul11 Jun16 Jun01 May05 (flores j)COLON H 122 20.00    
7  TOP LOOK Jul25 Jul07 Jun15 May25 May04 (candelas blan)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
 
HAW-8   08/22/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLAMAND Aug01 Jun29 Jun09 Dec16 Oct27 (lopez elias)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
2  SALLY'S SUPRISE Aug01 Jul14 Jun22 May05 Apr13 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
3  WILD BOUT HILARY Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 May11 Mar30 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOON RAY (FR) Jul21 Apr20 Mar23 Mar03   (gutierrez faus)COLON H 122 6.00    
5  FACCIA BELLA Jul28 Jul06 Jun09 May04 Feb10 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 2.00    
6  MISS RIVER RAT Aug08 Jul06 Jun01 May05 Apr14 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
7  MY LADY SLEW Aug01 Jun23 May11 Apr07 Mar23 (rodriguez jos)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00 6% 17.10    
8  CAT ATTACK Jul14 Jun15 Apr14 Dec23 Sep04 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 3.50 54% 0.80    
SCR  GUANA CAY Jul14 Jun09 Apr30 Sep03 Jul23 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 122 3.00    
SCR  BABY GUNDIN Jul14 May04 Apr14 Mar13 Jan31 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 4.50    
 
HAW-9   08/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLICY OPTION Aug01 Jul18 Sep03 Jul30 Jun24 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
2  HONEST TO GOODNESS Jul11 Jun22 Sep21 Sep03 Apr16 (ramirez carlos)REYES ANGEL 122 30.00    
3  NILES CHANNEL Jul03 Jun13 Mar14 Feb13 Jan21 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 3.50 15% 5.90    
4  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Aug01 Jun16 May30 May13 Mar10 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
5  COMEDIC TIMING Aug01 Jul07 Jun02 Apr27 Apr06 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 12.00    
6  LOOKIN FOR REVENGE Jul28 Jul11 Jun15 May26 May03 (simonovich )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  WICKED SUPRISE Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 Jun02 May26 (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 ★    
8  SON OF GRACE Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 May11 Mar30 (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
9  ROGUE ELEMENT Aug01 Jun22 Jun01 Apr14 Mar31 (cook brian)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.